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Blair Morris – GM Commercial 31 August 2016

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1 Blair Morris – GM Commercial 31 August 2016
Supply chain collaboration – Global freight solutions Blair Morris – GM Commercial 31 August 2016

2 New Zealand’s ocean freight challenge
NZ SHIPPING – Global context  6 M TEU 22 M TEU 24 M TEU Global main trade flows 1 M TEU NZ main trade flows (NZ westbound) 0.2 M TEU NZ secondary trade flows (NZ eastbound) 0.4 M TEU Data source: Kotahi estimates based on FIGS and industry analysis Bigger ship Bigger ship

3 Impacts on NZ services coming?
IDLE CONTAINERSHIP (units idle breakdown by size range >1,000 TEU) Circa 1.6 M TEU idle vessel capacity… now higher than during GFC! 2016: Demand growth 1.8%; Supply growth 4.3% M TEU capacity still coming! Shipping lines already in the red, some only hanging in due to low bunker and charter rates Parallels to GFC situation. Small change e.g. fuel will be tipping point Expect further rapid industry consolidation AVERAGE CARRIER* OPERATING MARGINS BY QUARTER (%) AFTER GFC TODAY Impacts on NZ services coming? 2009 2010 2015 2016

4 Kotahi works together with exporters, importers and industry partners
to create a sustainable export supply chain, and drive greater efficiency for customers and partners.

5 Kotahi = Collaboration
Our greatest strength lies in collaboration, not competition JOSEPH RAIN, Author & entrepreneur Coming together is a beginning, staying together is progress, and working together is success. HENRY FORD

6

7 Kotahi capacity management benefit
Ensures efficient sustainable service in all market conditions. SMOOTHING DEMAND TO ENSURE EXPORTER SPACE AVAILABILITY Overall capacity Kotahi space requirement Small exporter space requirement WEEK

8 Larger ships are the future for NZ exporters
CONTAINERSHIP COST PER TEU SLOT MILE J..PLM, Cents/TEU mile -26% TEU Costs per TEU Capacity in TEU MARITIME SHIPPING TRANSHIPMENT INLAND TRANSPORTATION

9 Enhanced Maersk Line Triple Star, 9500 TEU
Fast transit to North Asia Greater range of connections over China ports Uniquely high proportion of refrigeration plugs Fuel efficient 22% carbon reduction per container Stable capacity with more flexibility

10 Building an efficient supply chain through collaboration
AUCKLAND TAURANGA KEY Imports  Export Efficient big ship routing Matched north/south freight flows Intermodal network (Savill Drive IFH) PALMERSTON NORTH Fully developed deep water port  Domestic Rail

11 Supply chain collaboration (Video)

12 Processed lumber International competitiveness Sustainable services
Port availability

13 Key points Ocean freight volatility = exporters need to take control of our future We’re on the journey = building a collaborative supply chain Larger ships arrive = keeping NZ competitive on the world stage ? Watch out? Over investment in landside and port infrastructure

14 We’re on the journey… …stay in touch.


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