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Presented by John Brand
Lessons from Marikana Presented by John Brand
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Introduction Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
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Content The Marikana conflict – a tentative analysis Manifestations
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich The Marikana conflict – a tentative analysis Manifestations Trigger Causes Aggravators Moderators
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Content Courtesy: Greg Marinovich CONSEQUENCES
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Content Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Lessons
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The Marikana Conflict Dynamic
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich The Marikana Conflict Dynamic
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manifestations moderators aggravators trigger causes
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manifestations Disregard for the law Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
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manifestations Hostility Disregard for the law
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manifestations Violence Hostility Disregard for the law
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Violence Hostility Disregard for the law
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manifestations Violence New Players Disregard for the law Hostility
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Violence New Players Disregard for the law Hostility
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manifestations Violence Hostility Police Action Disregard for the law New Players
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manifestations Violence Grief New Players
Hostility Grief Disregard for the law Police Action Courtesy: Greg Marinovich New Players
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manifestations Violence Police Action Hostility FARLAM Disregard for the law New Players Grief
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CONSEQUENCES
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CONSEQUENCES 45 deaths Hundreds injured
Lonmin workers did not get a 22% increase as a result of the strike CONSEQUENCES
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The maximum actual increase to rock drillers at Lonmin was 3%
10% 2011 agreement increment R750 drill allowance previously agreed 3% settlement increment Lonmin workers lost ±12% of annual wages in the strike due to no work no pay ±9000 Lonmin contract workers got nothing CONSEQUENCES
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All lost more in lost wages than they got in wage increases
The Lonmin contagion Direct losses in gold and platinum amounted to R10.1 billion Coal losses R180 million Gold output fell 12% to 167 tonnes – lowest since 1905 Gold industry loses R349 million per day of strike action CONSEQUENCES
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CONSEQUENCES R15.3 billion lost across all mining sectors
There was a R12.5 billion reduction in export revenues in 2012 GDP growth forecast down from 3% to 2.5 The 2014 Platinum strike CONSEQUENCES
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LONMIN SHARE PRICE AFTER MARIKANA
“Lonmin one of the cheapest JSE shares” - Moneyweb (22 August 2012) “Lonmin facing loan covenant breach” – Moneyweb (22 August 2012) “Lonmin – now so cheap you can buy company for cost of single mine shaft” - Biznews (3 June 2015) “For private investors, there will rarely be a better time to buy so cheaply into the platinum sector.” Source: Biznews.com
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trigger
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manifestations moderators aggravators trigger causes
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The monetary wage? causes
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R10 000 R3 000 Rock drillers earn ±R10 000 per month
The average South African worker earns ±R3 000 per month
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few workers have all 3 rock drillers have all 3
Of the average South African worker: 59% have pension 40% have medical aid 77% have UIF few workers have all 3 rock drillers have all 3
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∴ Was a poverty wage a cause?
causes
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures Politicians “The Social Wage” Bargaining Skills NUM causes
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Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
“The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Education Health Transport Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Education Health Transport Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Source: Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Source: Austin Andrews Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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“The social wage” Housing Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Refuse Removal Electricity Security Sewerage Education Health Transport Water Roads “The social wage”
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures Politicians “The Social Wage” Bargaining Skills NUM causes
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Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
Working conditions
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Health and Safety Migrant Labour Wage Differentials Labour Brokers
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Migrant Labour Wage Differentials Labour Brokers Unemployment Money Lenders Garnishee Orders Recovery Attorneys Discrimination Lack of Concern Lack of Respect
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures Politicians “The Social Wage” Bargaining Skills NUM causes
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Bargaining Structures
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures Politicians “The Social Wage” Bargaining and conflict handling Skills causes
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Bargaining and conflict handling skills
causes
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures “The Social Wage”
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures “The Social Wage” Bargaining and conflict handling Skills NUM causes
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NUM
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures Politicians “The Social Wage” Bargaining and conflict handling Skills NUM causes
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Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
Politicians
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Poor service delivery Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Corruption
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R25billion lost to corruption in government procurement
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures
Working conditions Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue Bargaining structures Politicians “The Social Wage” Bargaining and conflict handling Skills NUM causes
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Lack of tri-partite dialogue
Courtesy: Greg Marinovich Lack of tri-partite dialogue
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manifestations moderators aggravators trigger causes
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PAST UNRESOLVED CONFLICT MISTRUST ILLITERACY INNUMERACY
UNREALISTIC EXPECTATIONS INACCURATE PERCEPTIONS MISREPRESENTATION POOR COMMUNICATION THE MEDIA POLITICS POLITICAL OPPORTUNISTS DEMONIZING POOR POLICING POOR MEDIATION aggravators
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manifestations moderators aggravators trigger causes
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Church Need for pay moderators
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manifestations moderators aggravators trigger causes
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Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue
manifestations Violence Hostility POLICE ACTION Disregard for the law New Players FARLAM Grief Past unresolved conflict Mistrust Illiteracy Innumeracy Unrealistic expectations Inaccurate perceptions Misrepresentation Poor communication The media Politics Political opportunists Demonizing Poor policing Poor mediation Church Need for pay moderators aggravators trigger POLITICIANS Bargaining structures Lack of Tri-partite Dialogue NUM Working conditions Bargaining SKILLS “The Social Wage” causes
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Lessons
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lessons Workers’ living conditions – need to address the social wage
Bargaining and conflict handling skills – need to address Illiteracy and innumeracy – need to address Industrial relations and collective bargaining – need to bring it closer to the “coal face” Industrial relations – need for relationship building Workers’ working conditions – need to address aggravators
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CONCLUSION
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