1. AMPHORE - Interreg III B Medocc
Application des Méthodologies de Prévisions Hydrométéorologiques
Orientées aux Risques Environnementales
Leader: ARPA Piemonte
Start date of the project: JULY 1st 2004
Duration: 27 months
Partners: ARPA Piemonte (I), ARPA-SIM Bologna (I), ARPA Liguria (I), CIMA (I), Regione Calabria (I), Department of Civil Protection (I), MeteoFrance (F), University J. Fourier - Grenoble (F), University of Barcelona (E), University of Balearic Islands (E)
Overall objective:
Improvement of meteo-hydrological forecast for the prevention of natural hazards, in particular for sever precipitation and flood events
Experimentation of new techniques, based on ensembles, for the high resolution forecast of precipitation over defined zones

2. Test Cases (poor-man ensemble):
Piedmont (Italy), 25 November 2002
Reno-Emilia Romagna (Italy), 7 November 2003
Montserrat (Spain), 9 June 2000
Gard (France), 8 September 2002
Test Cases (super-ensemble):
Cambrils (Spain), 6 September 2004
Calabria (Italy), 12 November 2004
Gard (France), 2 November 2004
Piedmont (Italy), 15 September 2004
Meteorological models involved:
ECMWF 0.5° (00 UTC and 12 UTC)
ALADIN (France), 7 km
BOLAM (Italy), 21 km
COSMO LEPS (Italy), 10 km
MM5 (Spain), 7 km

3. PIEDMONT 15 September 2004: +24/+48 Forecast
Aladin 00
Bolam 00
ECMWF 00
ECMWF 12
COSMO LEPS 12
MM5 00
POOR-MAN
SUPER-ENSEMBLE

4. GARD - November 2004

5. Spring School on Mediterranean storms driven flash flood
14-19 May 2006
Montpezat en Provence, France
Objectives
One week courses dedicated to thesis students, scientist and engineers from Universities, research institutes and operational services.
High level international course on the meteo-hydrological features of the Mediterranean storms related to flash floods. Designed as a multidisciplinary course with a wide diversity of scientific matter and methods.
Excellent opportunity for the participants to broaden their scientific horizon and to improve their knowledge of flood risk management.
General multidisciplinary courses
Convection, Climatology of Mediterranean storms, Synoptic environments, Flash-flood hydrological science, Specificities of Mediterranean basins, Introduction to the vulnerability of the territory, Risk predictors, Meteo-hydrological field experiments, Radar hydrology, Predictabilities issues.

6. Conclusions
In the project we implemented this method for the first time with LAM’s and GCM’s.
In the selected test cases, results are really good for temperature fields, reasonable (or at least promising !) for precipitation fields.
Results are quite interesting and deserve a deeper analysis to explore the application of multimodel methods for QPF.