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Chapter 5 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

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Presentation on theme: "Chapter 5 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation"— Presentation transcript:

1 Chapter 5 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Chapter 5 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation FV of annuities PV of annuities PV of unequal cash flows Finding the payment Finding the # of payments Finding the rate Perpetuities Effective interest Loan amortization 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

2 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 FV of annuities If I invest $100 at the end of each year for 3 years at an interest rate of 10%, what will the value of my investment be at the end of 3 years? What if I invest the $100 at the beginning of each year for 3 years? (annuity due) 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

3 FV of annuities (ordinary annuity)
5/22/2018 FV of annuities (ordinary annuity) If I invest $100 at the end of each year for 3 years at an interest rate of 10%, what will the value of my investment be at the end of 3 years? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

4 FV of annuities (annuity due)
5/22/2018 FV of annuities (annuity due) What if I invest the $100 at the beginning of each year for 3 years? (annuity due) 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

5 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 PV of annuities I win a $10,000 “mini-lottery”! But I get $1,000 per year starting now for 10 payments. The appropriate interest rate for this cash flow is 6%. What is the present value of the lottery proceeds? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

6 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 PV of annuities I win a $10,000 “mini-lottery”! But I get $1,000 per year starting now for 10 payments. The appropriate interest rate for this cash flow is 6%. 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

7 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Annuity formulae FV(annuity) PV(annuity) 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

8 Clicker Question (finding the payment amount)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question (finding the payment amount) How much should I save at the end of each year to accumulate $100,000 at the end of 10 years if interest rates are 9%? A. $ 6,582 B. $ 7,749 C. $ 9,534 D. $10,000 E. $12,000 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

9 Clicker Question (finding the number of payments)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question (finding the number of payments) If I save $2,000 per year (end of year), how many years will I need to save $20,000 if I receive interest of 6.3%? A years B years C years D. 10 years 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

10 Clicker Question (finding the interest rate)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question (finding the interest rate) What return is required to obtain a future value of $200,000 in 20 years given $3,000 payments per year? (beginning of each year) A. 8.43% B. 9.79% C % D % 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

11 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question What has a higher future value in 3 years, if interest rates are 8% (not a calculator question)?  A. $100 payments, 3 year ordinary annuity B. $100 payments, 3 year annuity due C. $200 lump sum received today D. $300 lump sum received in 3 years E. all answers produce the same future value 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

12 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Perpetuities What is the value of a $6 annual payment in perpetuity if the relevant interest rate is 12%? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

13 PV of unequal cash flows
5/22/2018 PV of unequal cash flows A real estate investment will generate the following cash flows (end of year): Year 1: -$500 Year 2: $500 Year 3: $1,000 Year 4: $50,000 If the opportunity cost of funds is 12%, what is the present value of this investment? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

14 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question What is the net present value (NPV) today of the following cash flows if interest rates are 8%? year 1: $500 year 2: $1,000 year 3: $1,500 A. $1,235 B. $2,511 C. $2,999 D. $3,163 E. $6,945 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

15 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question What is the net future value (NFV) today of the following cash flows if interest rates are 8%? year 1: $500 year 2: $1,000 year 3: $1,500 A. $1,235 B. $2,511 C. $2,999 D. $3,163 E. $6,945 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

16 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Effective interest Stated/quoted interest rates versus effective annual rates (EAR): Is 1% interest per month the same as 12% interest per year? Example 1 I invest $1,000 for 10 years at 12% per year I invest $1,000 for 10 years at 1% per month Example 2 A bank pays 12% per year (compounded monthly) on an account; what is the effective annual rate paid? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

17 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Effective interest Example 1 I invest $1,000 for 10 years at 12% per year I invest $1,000 for 10 years at 1% per month 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

18 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Effective interest Example 2 A bank pays 12% per year (compounded monthly) on an account; what is the effective annual rate paid? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

19 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Effective interest EAR Formula: 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

20 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Loan amortization Establish an amortization table for the following loan: $10,000 loan for 3 years at 10% annual interest rate with annual repayment of principal and interest. Step 1: establish payment amount Step 2: develop amortization table 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

21 Clicker Question (amortization)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question (amortization) What is the regular payment for a $10,000 loan for 3 years at 10% annual interest? A. $2,500 B. $3,333 C. $4,021 D. $5,000 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

22 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Loan Amortization Period Begin Balance Payment Principal (Payment – interest) Interest 10% (of begin balance) Ending Balance (Beg bal – principal) 1 2 3 Total 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

23 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question What is the monthly payment for this mortgage: $250,000 borrowed at 8% APR for 30 years amortized on a monthly basis. A. $ 416 B. $ 1,834 C. $ 2,765 D. $ 4,609 E. $ 22,207 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

24 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question How much total interest will I pay on a $250,000 loan at 8% annual interest paid monthly over 30 years? Take a guess… A. $168,000 B. $264,000 C. $306,000 D. $410,000 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

25 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 How much total interest will I pay on a $250,000 loan at 8% annual interest paid monthly over 30 years? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

26 $250,000 loan at 8% annual interest paid monthly over 30 years
5/22/2018 $250,000 loan at 8% annual interest paid monthly over 30 years Payment Principal Interest Balance 1st 180th 270th Total (360 pmts) 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

27 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 What if I pay $2,000 per month, rather than $1,834 on a $250,000 loan at 8% annual interest paid monthly? How more quickly will the loan be paid off? 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

28 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question I planned to save $5,000 per year for 30 years (at 7%). How much more would I have if I saved for 35 years? Take a guess….. A. $ 37,000 B. $ 85,000 C. $147,000 D. $220,000 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

29 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 I planned to save $5,000 per year for 30 years (at 7%). How much more would I have if I saved for 35 years? Savings Length FV Principal Interest 30 years 35 years 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

30 Chapter 4: Time Value of Money (lump sums)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question At what age do you want to retire (no longer have to work)?  A. less than 55 years old B. 55 – 60 years old C. 60 – 65 years old D. 65 – 70 years old E. over 70 years old 5/22/2018 Chapter 4: Time Value of Money (lump sums) Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

31 Chapter 4: Time Value of Money (lump sums)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question How much money do you plan to have saved (in today’s dollars) by the time you retire?  A. less than $500,000 B. $500,000 - $750,000 C. $750,000 – $1 million D. $1 million – $1.5 million E. over $1.5 million 5/22/2018 Chapter 4: Time Value of Money (lump sums) Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

32 Chapter 4: Time Value of Money (lump sums)
5/22/2018 Clicker Question What overall, long term return do you expect to get from your future investments? A. 3 – 7% B. 7 – 10% C. 10 – 13% D. 13 – 16% E. over 16% 5/22/2018 Chapter 4: Time Value of Money (lump sums) Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

33 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question How long will it take to become a millionaire if you save $5,000 per year, starting next year, if your investment return is 9%? A years B years C years D years E years 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

34 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question When you retire in 35 years, your retirement account pays a fixed $90,000 per year (starting at retirement). If inflation is 3.5% between now and retirement, what is the purchasing power of the $90,000 payments today? A. $26,998 B. $36,452 C. $66,789 D. $78,962 E. $97,254 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

35 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
5/22/2018 Clicker Question When you retire in 35 years (60 years old) your retirement account pays a fixed $90,000 per year (starting at retirement). If inflation is 3.5% between and retirement, what is the purchasing power of the first $90,000 payment today? A. $ 26,998 B. $ 36,452 C. $ 66,789 D. $ 78,962 E. $ 97,254 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

36 Keys to Savings Success
5/22/2018 Keys to Savings Success Start saving/investing EARLY Save in tax sheltered vehicle Get company match (401k) Earn more---SAVE more Leave savings ALONE Save mostly in equities (stock funds) Diversify to reduce risk 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Chapter 3: Working with Financial Statements

37 Chapter-end Homework Problems
5/22/2018 Chapter-end Homework Problems Chapter 5 Problems 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 19 5/22/2018 Chapter 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation


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