1. 3
data

2. 1: Colour codes in RAISEonline

3. This is statistically significant (sort of)
These are statistically significant based on 95% confidence interval
These are statistically significant based on 95% confidence interval + an arbitrary threshold

4. And this isn’t! Diff (no. of pupils)
Presents the gap from national average as a number of pupils.
E.g. If you have 20 pupils, each pupil is worth 5%. Therefore a gap of 15% equates to 3 pupils.
Gap 18% = 3 pupils (1 pupil = 5%): dark green
Gap 4% = 1 pupil (1 pupil 3%): light green
Gap -16% = 1 pupil (1 pupil 14%): light red
Gap -9% = 3 pupils (1 pupil = 3%): dark red

5. 2: KS2 Writing progress measure

6. Prior Attainment Group (PAG) KS1 average points score
Average KS2 Reading Score for PAG
Average KS2 Writing Score for PAG
Average KS2 Maths Score for PAG 1
>0 to <2.5
77.48
77.39
78.23 2
>=2.5 to <2.75
80.79
80.11
81.53 3
>=2.75 to <3
82.92
82.05
84.14 4
>=3 to <6
85.58
84.01
87.50 5
>=6 to <9
87.87
85.94
90.05 6
>=9 to <10
90.76
89.14
92.11 7
>=10 to <12
93.96
92.60
95.55 8
>=12 to <13
95.77
94.21
97.69 9
>=13 to <14
97.26
96.69
98.33 10
>=14 to <14.5
98.38
98.22
99.77 11
>=14.5 to <15
99.23
100.66 12
>=15 to <15.5
100.62
100.75
101.50 13
>=15.5 to <16
102.46
101.67
102.14 14
>=16 to <16.5
102.60
102.06
103.58 15
>=16.5 to <17
104.13
102.78
104.50 16
>=17 to <18
105.56
104.10
104.97 17
>=18 to <19
106.81
104.74
106.33 18
>=19 to <20
107.96
105.77
107.54 19
>=20 to <21
109.04
106.11
109.41 20
>=21 to <21.5
111.58
108.68
110.57 21
>= 21.5
115.70
110.40
114.51

7. Nominal Scores for teacher assessments
Not applied to HNM and EXS in reading and maths unless special consideration granted (80 points)
PKS codes:
PKG: 79
PKE: 76
PKF: 73
BLW: 70
Writing codes:
WTS: 91
EXS: 103
GDS: 113
NB: Only used for purposes of progress measures
To ensure that progress measures “reflect the progress made by all pupils”

8. The progress loophole of despair
Teacher Assessment
Test Status
Score
Included in Average score?
Included in progress measure
PKS
Did not take test
70-79 No
Yes
Did take test but not enough marks to achieve scaled score
Took test and enough marks to achieve scaled score
80+
HNM
Took test but not enough marks to achieve scale score
No score

9. VA for all possible KS2 Writing outcomes Prior Attainment Group (PAG)
Prior Attainment at KS1
KS2 Estimate
VA for all possible KS2 Writing outcomes
Prior Attainment Group (PAG)
KS1 average points score
Average KS2 Writing Score for PAG
BLW
PKF
PKE
PKG
WTS
EXS
GDS 70 73 76 79 91
103
113 1
>0 to <2.5
77.39
-7.39
-4.39
-1.39
1.61
13.61
25.61
35.61 2
>=2.5 to <2.75
80.11
-10.11
-7.11
-4.11
-1.11
10.89
22.89
32.89 3
>=2.75 to <3
82.05
-12.05
-9.05
-6.05
-3.05
8.95
20.95
30.95 4
>=3 to <6
84.01
-14.01
-11.01
-8.01
-5.01
6.99
18.99
28.99 5
>=6 to <9
85.94
-15.94
-12.94
-9.94
-6.94
5.06
17.06
27.06 6
>=9 to <10
89.14
-19.14
-16.14
-13.14
-10.14
1.86
13.86
23.86 7
>=10 to <12
92.60
-22.60
-19.60
-16.60
-13.60
-1.60
10.40
20.40 8
>=12 to <13
94.21
-24.21
-21.21
-18.21
-15.21
-3.21
8.79
18.79 9
>=13 to <14
96.69
-26.69
-23.69
-20.69
-17.69
-5.69
6.31
16.31 10
>=14 to <14.5
98.22
-28.22
-25.22
-22.22
-19.22
-7.22
4.78
14.78 11
>=14.5 to <15
99.23
-29.23
-26.23
-23.23
-20.23
-8.23
3.77
13.77 12
>=15 to <15.5
100.75
-30.75
-27.75
-24.75
-21.75
-9.75
2.25
12.25 13
>=15.5 to <16
101.67
-31.67
-28.67
-25.67
-22.67
-10.67
1.33
11.33 14
>=16 to <16.5
102.06
-32.06
-29.06
-26.06
-23.06
-11.06
0.94
10.94 15
>=16.5 to <17
102.78
-32.78
-29.78
-26.78
-23.78
-11.78
0.22
10.22 16
>=17 to <18
104.10
-34.10
-31.10
-28.10
-25.10
-13.10
-1.10
8.90 17
>=18 to <19
104.74
-34.74
-31.74
-28.74
-25.74
-13.74
-1.74
8.26 18
>=19 to <20
105.77
-35.77
-32.77
-29.77
-26.77
-14.77
-2.77
7.23 19
>=20 to <21
106.11
-36.11
-33.11
-30.11
-27.11
-15.11
-3.11
6.89 20
>=21 to <21.5
108.68
-38.68
-35.68
-32.68
-29.68
-17.68
-5.68
4.32 21
>= 21.5
110.40
-40.40
-37.40
-34.40
-31.40
-19.40
-7.40
2.60

10. 3: Floor standards and the coasting measure

11. Primary floor measures
65% or more meet expected standard in reading, writing and maths combined, or
Pupils make ‘sufficient’ progress in reading (score >= -5), and
Pupils make ‘sufficient’ progress in writing (score >= -7), and
Pupils make ‘sufficient’ progress in maths (score >= -5)

12. Alternatively……. Ditch the attainment component
Remove writing TA from progress measures
Have single combined progress measure for Reading and Maths
This is what the floor standard should be based on

13. My proposed alternative floor standard (combined CVA measure)-4

14. (below 85% & any progress threshold)
Coasting
2014
(below all)
2015
2016
(below 85% & any progress threshold)
Attainment
L4+ RWM
85%
EXS RWM
Progress
2LP R
94%
VA R
-2.5
2LP W
96%
97%
VA W
-3.5
2LP M
93%
VA M
* Coasting if below all 4 measures in 2014 and 2015, and below 85% EXS and any one progress threshold in If below just one threshold in 2016, that threshold must be sig- to be defined as coasting.

15. Alternatively, remember these?
If school plots ‘significantly’ in this zone 3 years running then it’s coasting

16. and relax