1. Group differences in Party support
Oct 20, 2016

2. Early 20th Century Religion/ethnicity Region Economic issues
Relation to urban/rural
Region
The “solid South”
Economic issues
Major division was within parties

3. New Deal Growing importance of social class
White south remains Democratic
Blacks begin shift towards Democrats
Parties more distinct on economic issues

4. 1960s-1970s Blacks become overwhelmingly Democratic
Southern whites turn Republican
Educated move towards Democrats
Growing division by religiosity
Rising importance of civil rights; appearance of “cultural issues”

5. More recent “Gender gap” Large difference by education in 2016
Traditional pattern
Modern (after about 1980) pattern
Large difference by education in 2016
Winners vs. losers in globalization?
Specific features of the candidates?
Implications of the two explanations