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Volume 353, Issue 9155, Pages (March 1999)

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Presentation on theme: "Volume 353, Issue 9155, Pages (March 1999)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Volume 353, Issue 9155, Pages 802-805 (March 1999)
Hip fractures in Finland between 1970 and 1997 and predictions for the future  Dr, MD Pekka Kannus, Seppo Niemi, MD Jari Parkkari, MD Mika Palvanen, Ilkka Vuori, MD Markku Järvinen  The Lancet  Volume 353, Issue 9155, Pages (March 1999) DOI: /S (98) Copyright © 1999 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

2 Figure 1 Number and incidence (per 100 000 persons) of hip fractures in Finland in people aged 50 years or older between 1970 and 1997 The Lancet  , DOI: ( /S (98) ) Copyright © 1999 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

3 Figure 2 Age-adjusted incidence (per 100 000 persons) of hip fractures in Finland in women and men aged 50 years or older between 1970 and 1997 The Lancet  , DOI: ( /S (98) ) Copyright © 1999 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

4 Figure 3 Age-specific incidence (per 100 000 persons) of hip fractures in Finland in women (A) and men (B) aged 50 years or older between 1970 and 1997, and prediction of the incidences until the year 2030 (regression model) In the regression analysis the r2 and standard error of estimate (SEE) values of women, from the youngest to oldest age group, were: 0·34 and 4·7, 0·77 and 17·2, 0·96 and 49·9, and 0·84 and 226·9. In men the corresponding values were: 0·72 and 4·8, 0·91 and 12·0, 0·94 and 38·7, and 0·81 and 195·5. The Lancet  , DOI: ( /S (98) ) Copyright © 1999 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

5 Figure 4 Prediction of the number of hip fractures in Finland in people aged 50 years and older in the future (regression model) The number of people in this age group is estimated to increase from 1·1 million in 1970 to 2·1 million in 2030. The Lancet  , DOI: ( /S (98) ) Copyright © 1999 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions


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