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Spring Vanderbilt University Poll

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Presentation on theme: "Spring Vanderbilt University Poll"— Presentation transcript:

1 Spring 2017 - Vanderbilt University Poll
May 4-15 John G. Geer & Joshua D. Clinton, Co-Directors May 30, 2017 1,004 registered voters in Tennessee MoE: +/- 3.3 percentage points

2 Approval of Haslam & State Legislature Over Time
Among TN Registered Voters We might combine slide 2 and 3 to document the across the board decline between nov and may. Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3 %

3 Approval of Tennessee Senators Over Time
Among TN Registered Voters Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3 %

4 Approval of State Leaders by Party ID
Among TN Registered Voters We need party id over time for lamar and corker too or libcon. We will show only the haslam only slide for gov meeting and then use the others when we meet with the senators…. Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

5 Trump Favorability/Approval November 2016-May 2017
Among TN Registered Voters We need a prior slide of overall approval and then stack those numbers against fav/unfav for trump in Nov Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,005 &1,004

6 Approval of President Trump by Party ID
Among TN Registered Voters Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

7 Among TN Registered Voters
“Re-Assessment” of How President-elect/President Trump Will Change Washington Among TN Registered Voters Do you think that President-elect/President Donald Trump will/is changing the way things are done in Washington for the better, for the worse, or do you think the way things are done in Washington will pretty much stay the same? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,005; N=1,004

8 Among TN Registered Voters
Increase in President Trump is Changing Washington “for the worse” by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters We need a prior slide of overall approval and then stack those numbers against fav/unfav for trump in Nov Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,005 &1,004

9 Among TN Registered Voters
Views on Whether President Trump Cares About What People “Like Me” Think By Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Please tell me if you think this phrase describes President Trump or not: cares about what people like me think. Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE +/- 3.3%

10 Name Recognition of Potential Gubernatorial Candidates
Among TN Registered Voters Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004 & 846 (Green)

11 Among TN Registered Voters
Name Recognition of Potential Republican Gubernatorial Candidates By Republicans Among TN Registered Voters Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=1,004 & 846 (Green)

12 Among TN Registered Voters
Name Recognition of Potential Democratic Gubernatorial Candidates By Democrats Among TN Registered Voters Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004

13 Top 3 Priorities of TN State Government Over Time
Among TN Registered Voters Which of the following do you think should be the top priority of the Tennessee state government? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3 %

14 Perceptions of the Economy
Among TN Registered Voters Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

15 Attitudes Towards Scientific and Medical Research
Among TN Registered Voters People have frequently noted that scientific research/medical research have produced benefits and harmful results. Would you say that on balance, the benefits of scientific research/ medical research have outweighed the harmful results, or have the harmful results been greater than the benefits? Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=469 & 535

16 Future of the Health Care System Over Time
Among TN Registered Voters Which of the following comes closest to your view of the future of the U.S. health care system? Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=485, 493 & 512

17 Among TN Registered Voters
Views on Allowing Health Insurance Companies To Deny Coverage Due to Medical History Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose allowing health insurance companies to decide whether or not to provide coverage based on a person’s medical history? Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

18 Among TN Registered Voters
Views on Allowing Health Insurance Companies To Charge Different Rates Due to Medical History Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose allowing health insurance companies to charge different rates for the same benefits based on a person’s medical history? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

19 Among TN Registered Voters
Views on Allowing Young Adults To Stay on Their Parents’ Health Insurance Plan Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose allowing young adults to stay on their parents’ health insurance plans until age 26? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

20 Views on Providing Coverage For Alcohol/Drug Addiction Treatment
Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose health insurance companies providing coverage for treatment services for alcohol or drug addiction? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

21 Views on Illegal/Undocumented Immigrants
Among TN Registered Voters Which comes closest to your view about illegal/ undocumented immigrants who are currently working in the U.S.? (a) They should be allowed to stay in the country and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship, (b) they should be allowed to stay in the country only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S. citizenship, or (c) They should be required to leave the country * * Beginning in May 2017, wording was changed from “illegal” to “undocumented” immigrants. Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=550

22 Views on Undocumented Immigrants by Party ID
Among TN Registered Voters Which comes closest to your view about undocumented immigrants who are currently working in the U.S. (a) They should be allowed to stay in the country and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship, (b) they should be allowed to stay in the country only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S citizenship, or (c) they should be required to leave the country Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=550

23 Views on Children of Undocumented Immigrants and In-State tuition
Among TN Registered Voters Now thinking about children of undocumented immigrants who are brought to this country when they are young…If these children attend Tennessee public schools, graduate from a Tennessee high school and are accepted at one of Tennessee’s public colleges and universities, do you think they should be eligible for the in-state tuition rate, or shouldn’t they? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/-3.3%

24 Among TN Registered Voters
Views on Children of Undocumented Immigrants and In-State tuition eligibility by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Now thinking about children of undocumented immigrants who are brought to this country when they are young…If these children attend Tennessee public schools, graduate from a Tennessee high school and are accepted at one of Tennessee’s public colleges and universities, do you think they should be eligible for the in-state tuition rate, or shouldn’t they? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/-3.3%

25 Among TN Registered Voters
Support For State-funded Scholarship Program for Higher Education In Tennessee Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about higher education in Tennessee, do you support or oppose a state-funded scholarship program that would allow all Tennessee adults to attend a community college tuition-free? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=499

26 Among TN Registered Voters
Support For State-funded Scholarship Program for Higher Education In Tennessee by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about higher education in Tennessee, do you support or oppose a state-funded scholarship program that would allow all Tennessee adults to attend a community college tuition-free? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=499

27 Among TN Registered Voters
Opinions on Abortion Among TN Registered Voters As you may know, the state legislature has discussed bills that would further regulate abortion within the state. As I read the list, please tell me whether you would favor, neither favor nor oppose or oppose each of the following in Tennessee. Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

28 Views on Believability of the News Media
Among TN Registered Voters In general, how much of what you see, hear, or read in the news media these days do you think you can believe? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=504

29 Views on Believability of the News Media By Party ID
Among TN Registered Voters In general, how much of what you see, hear, or read in the news media these days do you think you can believe? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=504

30 Views On Greatest Threat to U.S. National Security
Among TN Registered Voters Which ONE of these countries or entities, if any, poses the greatest threat to U.S. National Security? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

31 Views on Marijuana Legalization
Among TN Registered Voters Which comes closer to your view about the use of marijuana by adults? Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=505


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