1. Trends in Global Business

2. Trends in Global Business
Globalization
Internationalization of U.S. Markets and Businesses
PewResearch Opinion Poll
Decreasing Economic Dominance of the U.S.?

3. Trends in Global Business
Growth of Prospering Regional Trade Areas
EU, NAFTA
Disappointment of Regional Trade Areas
ASEAN, MERCOSUR
Growth of Multilateral Trade Agreements
TPP is dead but others are alive
Move toward free market system by countries in Asia and Eastern Europe
Increasing Skepticism about free markets
Capitalism’s Waning Popularity
Republicans, especially Trump supporters, see free trade deals as bad for U.S
New Tendencies of Protectionism

4. Trends in Global Business
Decreasing Power of WTO
Populism in Latin America
Large Emerging Markets such as China, Russia. India, and Brazil
China’s Leadership and Capitalism
What Do Chinese and Japanese Think about Each Other?

5. Trends in Global Business
Russia’s Oil Wealth, Dutch Disease, and Crumbling Democracy
India’s two worlds
Arab Spring, Civil War, and Refugee Crisis
Europe’s migrant crisis in numbers
Ideological Divide shifts from Economy to Religion

6. Environmental—Economic
Trends in Global Business
Sustainability
Economic—Social
Ethical business practices
Fair trade
Worker’s rights
“Meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”
Environmental—Economic
Energy efficiency
Less pollution
Environmental-Social
Environmental justice
Stewards of the environment
Adapted from UNLV Urban Sustainability Initiative Presentation

7. Trends in Global Business
Sustainability: Fact or Fiction?
Fair Trade
What is Fair Trade?
A Tesla for the U.S.
What is U.S. electricity generation by energy source?
Are You Saving the Environment by Driving a Tesla
A Diesel for Europe
Critical evaluation of the European diesel car boom

8. Trends in Global Business Increasing Divide Between Rich and Poor
Gini Index:
Forget the 1%

9. r ˃ g (r = rate of return on capital and g = rate of growth of economy)
„When the rate of return on capital significantly exceeds the growth rate of the economy (as it did through much of history until the nineteenth century and as is likely to be the case again in the twenty-first century), then it logically follows that inherited wealth growth faster than output and income“ Piketty, Thomas (2014), Capital in the twentyfirst Century, p. 26, Cambridge: the Bellnap Press of Harvard University.
The Importance of Inheritance (France)

10. Trends in Global Business
Aging Population in most Developed Countries and China
Aching Health Care and Retirement Systems
Aching Health Care System: U.S. Perspective
Why is the US health spending so high?
U.S. Health Care Data
Evolving Global Middle Income Households
E-Commerce
Increasing ideological divide between Islamic and Western countries

11. Trends in Global Business
Offshore Outsourcing of highly skilled labor
Capital Movements ($ 400billion/day) exceed Trade ($15 billion/day)
Deflationary Forces Driven by New Market Economies
Low Real Interest Rates due to Global Saving Glut
Large Trade Imbalances

12. Trends in Global Business
Increasing Tensions in the EU
Diverging Competitiveness of Countries (North-South divide)
Unsustainable Debt in Southern Countries
Investors loose confidence, flight of capital,
Questionable Rescue Funds and Eroding Trust in Euro

13. Trends in Global Business
Global Financial Crisis and Recession
Deleveraging Quantitative Easing Gouvernement Bailouts
Deflation or Inflation?
Dollar Crisis or Euro Crisis?
End of Paper Money?
Default of Governments?
Psychological and Political Consequences:
End of Deregulation?
Is the Paradigm of Free Markets Loosing its Dominance?
End of Globalization?

14. Trends in Global Business
Perspective of the National Intelligence Council: Global Trends 2030