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Crude Oil Dynamics With Matthew Baller Title goes here.

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1 Crude Oil Dynamics With Matthew Baller Title goes here

2 FX Renew Disclaimer The information on this site is not directed at residents in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. This website is owned and operated by FX Renew Pty Ltd ABN the holder of an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL) to carry on financial services business in Australia, limited to the financial services covered by its AFSL no Any advice included in this webinar is general advice only and is based solely on consideration of the investment or trading merits of the financial products alone, without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs (i.e. financial circumstances) of any particular person. Before making an investment or trading decision based on the general advice, the recipient should carefully consider the appropriateness of the advice in light their financial circumstances and should carefully review the FSG and terms and conditions of this website. FX Renew is not liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Past results are not a guarantee of future performance. RISK DISCLOSURE: Trading foreign exchange carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage available can magnify profits and as well as losses. You can lose more than your initial deposit. Before trading, please carefully consider the risks and inherent costs and seek independent advice as required. Please contact us, to discuss any questions or concerns you may have, we are here to help.

3 Thanks! My name is Justin Paolini… Welcome to this Webinar.
10 years of experience trading FX of which 3 were spent first as a Sales Trader and then as a Broker. 6 years of experience as an educator, with contributions published on Yahoo! Finanza, Trend Online, FX Street Lecturer for the University of Ancona on Trading and Market Dynamics (since 2012) My name is Justin Paolini… Welcome to this Webinar.

4 Today’s Guest: Matthew Baller
Lehman brothers/Nomura equity volatility desk Built and and ran Eagle commodities Crude Oil Options desk Present - Managing partner M&M Oil Associates  market leading position in most underlyers we brokered top 3 shop across oil options “Much of what I do and what is vital in the oil options market of today is sourcing “liquidity”, when working out to the very back end of the curve the broker needs to be able to find liquidity for his clients, the price is secondary in some situations. I broker right from the active front month contract out until Dec 2021 (rolling) which not a lot of people do as they don't have the relationships in place to deal with these type of flows.” – M.B.

5 Crude Oil Dynamics Matthew’s firm (M&M) sources liquidity for clients along the futures curve all the way into In order to find liquidity (i.e. The other side of the trade) for large orders (think 15 Million barrels of crude oil) it’s all about contact network. Who you know is much more important than what you know. M&M brings buyers (usually energy-focused hedge funds & trading houses like Trafigura) and sellers (usually large producers like BP). Producers need to hedge huge volumes, and usually do so by purchasing PUT options. 1. So BP would likely call M&M and say “I need a price for a December 2020 Put for 15 Mln Barrels”. 2. M&M would call out to their network of clients that might want to take the other side of that bet, hence offering liquidity. M&M would also attempt to negotiate a fair price that finds BP and the seller in agreement. When & where BP would hedge it’s production depends on the cost of production. The cost of production depends on where in the world it’s drilled, and whether a government contract is in place. Governments like to deal with fixed (and advantageous) prices. How to Hedge Funds and trading houses know whether to take the other side of the trade or not? They spend millions of dollars on research projects, to find out what the future oil production around the world (in the various oil fields) looks like. Generally, energy-based hedge funds are structurally LONG crude oil.

6 THANK YOU!


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