1. Key findings from the Draft LEA
Ian Denness, Dorset County Council

2. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
Christchurch
North
Dorset
East
West
Purbeck
Weymouth
& Portland
Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole
= “BDP Area”
“DCC Dorset”
Bournemouth
Poole

3. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
London Southampton
London
Bristol
Exeter
Exeter M5
Bristol
Bath
Salisbury
London Southampton
Urban areas house 54% of population
Town areas house 21% of population
Total urban + town = 75%
Defra classification 2005
Many urban/town areas are not served by railway links
Two Universities – Bournemouth, University of Arts at Bournemouth
Three Colleges – Weymouth, KM and B&P College

4. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
1) The BDP area has a high proportion of service sector workers
“Service sector” = anything that isn’t primary (mining, agriculture) or secondary (construction, manufacture, energy etc)
Source: Annual Business Inquiry, 2008

5. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
2) The BDP area has a large public sector workforce
Source: Annual Business Inquiry, 2008
For every 100 full time equivalent jobs shed in the Public Sector locally there would be an additional 34 (19 in private sector) jobs lost, including:
15 additional public sector jobs
6 in distribution and retail
4 in business services
2 in hotels and catering
2 in other services
2 in transport and communications

6. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
3) The BDP area has a large number of small/new businesses
In BDP approximately 84% of firms employed fewer than 10 people (2008)
In comparison the national figure was 83%
These “micro” firms provided 25% of all local employment
In comparison the national figure was 21%
Source: UK Business: Activity, Size and Location – 2009, ONS/Department of Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR)

7. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
3) The BDP area has a large number of small/new businesses
In 2008 there were 77.7 new businesses established for every 10,000 residents
The figure for England was 74.8
50% of Dorset’s firms established in 2003 had survived through to 2008
The figure for England was 46.4%
Source: UK Business: Activity, Size and Location – 2009, ONS/Department of Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform (BERR)

8. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
4) The BDP area has a high proportion of resident older people
BDP Area
DCC Dorset
Source: ONS mid year estimates 2009

9. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
5) The proportion of working age in BDP is expected to decline
56.9%
49.2%
Source: ONS population projections

10. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
6) The knowledge intensive sector is important in the BDP area
The knowledge intensive sector consists of a range of business types from the…
…manufacturing sector (electronics, chemicals, medicine, etc)
…service sector (financial, real estate, telecommunications, etc)
These are important as they make a disproportional contribution to GVA figures

11. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
6) The knowledge intensive sector is important in the BDP area
Source: ?

12. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
7) Land for commercial development is in short supply in BDP
The BDP Workplace Strategy (2008) identified
Demand for new land by 2026 will be 184ha
50/50 split between offices and industrial
Identified 216ha of land that could be available
BUT only 74ha (34%) available in the short term
For economic growth more available land needs to be brought forward
Source: BDP Workplace Strategy (2008)
Based on predicted demand before the recession
184 ha needed by 2026
50-50 split between office and industrial
There’s 216 ha available in total, but only 74 ha available in the short term

13. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
7) Land for commercial development is in short supply in BDP
Locally the Strategy identified:
Bournemouth: under supply of employment land – especially land suitable for office use
Poole: adequate supply, but a shortfall of land (for offices) in the short term
Dorchester/Weymouth: a very tight supply of land
Rural Area: adequate supply, but some too remote
Source: BDP Workplace Strategy (2008)
“very tight” = balance between supply and demand

14. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
8) The BDP area is generally wealthy, but deprivation does exist
Source: Index of Deprivation 2007

15. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
9) Unemployment in the BDP area is low…
% working age popn
“working age” = 16 to 64
Source: Nomis (ONS)

16. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
9) …but long term unemployment is increasing
Source: Nomis (ONS)

17. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
10) Wages in DCC Dorset are relatively low
Source: ONS Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (2009)

18. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
11) Local housing is amongst the least affordable in the country
Sources: Land Registry, ASHE

19. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
12) BDP is not as productive as some other areas
Source: Regional Accounts

20. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
13) Businesses in the BDP area are experiencing a skills gap
Vacancies considered “hard to fill”:
Bournemouth 10%
DCC Dorset 17%
Poole 10%
Employers with a “skills gap”:
Bournemouth 21%
DCC Dorset 24%
Poole 21%
The National Employers Skills Survey, Learning and Skills Council, 2009

21. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
14) BDP has some infrastructural disadvantages
Limited commercial land
Lack of affordable housing
Road network is often congested
Quality broadband is not universally available
In some areas the availability of public transport restricts workers’ flexibility

22. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
14) BDP has some infrastructural disadvantages
Image shows travel Tuesday and return to to tertiary, secondary and primary employment sites
BDP LTP

23. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
15) The BDP area has economic sectors that are currently strong…
Source: Regional Accounts

24. Key Findings from the Draft LEA
15) …and have potential to grow
Source: South West Growth Scenarios, Oxford Economics for South West Observatory, June 2010.

25. That’s What We Think…
…Have We Got It Right?