1. GLMNet Model Prediction for the Oscars
Keith R. Everett

2. Model Variables 1994-2014 Training Data NY and LA Film Critics Awards
Golden Globe Awards
Screen Actors Guild Awards
BAFTA Awards
Independent Spirit Awards
Oscar Nominations and Wins

3. Model Variables Previous Nominations and Wins for each Nominee
Opening Weekend Number of Screens Shown
Inflation Adjusted Opening Weekend Gross per Screen
Rotten Tomatoes Critics Score
Rotten Tomatoes number of Critics scored

4. Model Predicted Winners
Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Best Actress
Brie Larson – Room
Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale – The Big Short
Best Supporting Actress
Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
Best Director
Alejandro González Iñárritu – The Revenant
Best Picture
The Revenant – if Iñárritu wins for Director
Bridge of Spies – if Iñárritu not Best Director

5. What May Change Model Outcomes
BAFTA and Independent Spirit Winners
Real time Oscar Awards for other categories
E.g. Beat Director linked with Best Picture on previous slide
See you in March with the final results and model details