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IN-Delegation Visit at UZH, 7 May 2012

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1 IN-Delegation Visit at UZH, 7 May 2012
Internationally coordinated glacier monitoring and the data situation in the Hindu Kush Himalaya Region Michael Zemp World Glacier Monitoring Service, Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Switzerland

2 monitoring versus science
“Free and unrestricted international share of high-quality, long-term and standardized data and information products is one of the basic requirements for advances in research.” Data from: WGMS

3 Glacier monitoring: internationally coordinated since 1894
internationally coordinated glacier monitoring Glacier monitoring: internationally coordinated since 1894 1894: International Glacier Commission “variations périodiques” global vs. regional development terrestrial vs. extraterrestrial forcing Ice Age origin observations for the generations to come Today: Global Terrestrial Network for Glaciers (GTN-G) climate change sea level rise runoff hazards François-Alphonse Forel, 1841–1912

4 internationally coordinated glacier monitoring
Global Terrestrial Network for Glaciers (GTN-G) Steering Committee Advisory Board Executive Board World Glacier Monitoring Service US National Snow and Ice Data Center Global Land Ice Measurements from Space Dr. H. Frey K. Naegeli available funding for operational work

5 internationally coordinated glacier monitoring
=> GTN-G Steering Committee with clearly-defined generic structure and terms of reference.

6 WGMS General Assembly of National Correspondents 2010
internationally coordinated glacier monitoring WGMS General Assembly of National Correspondents 2010 Find our summary report, as published in the NASA Earth Observer, Vol. 23,4: 28-31, on our website:

7 A worldwide scientific collaboration network
internationally coordinated glacier monitoring A worldwide scientific collaboration network WGMS (2008) WGMS National Correspondents for: Antarctica, Argentina, Austria, Bolivia, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Ecuador, France, Germany, Greenland, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Iran, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Mexico, Nepal, New Zealand, Norway, Pakistan, Peru, Poland, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Russia, Tanzania, Uganda, U.S.A., and Uzbekistan

8 Global Terrestrial Network for Glaciers: strategy
internationally coordinated glacier monitoring Global Terrestrial Network for Glaciers: strategy main goals of long-term observations: process understanding model validation change detection impact assessments Haeberli et al. (2000) change detection: rate of change acceleration trends pre-industrial variability change patterns A multi-level, integrative strategy combining: local process understanding with global coverage, in-situ measurements with remote sensing, and traditional observations with new technologies integrated / tiered observing strategy Tier 1: multi-component obs. system across environmental gradients Tier 2: process understanding and model calibration => extensive energy/mass balance, flow Tier 3: regional indicators => mass change (index stakes, photogrammetry, LIDAR) Tier 4: regional representativeness => cumulative length change; DEM differencing Tier 5: global coverage => inventories (remote sensing/geoinformatics)

9 internationally coordinated glacier monitoring
Time and space time repeat inventory mass balance length change area/volume/thickness change repeat inventory fluctuations of glaciers mass balance length change area/volume/thickness change base inventory glacier inventories space

10 Global glacier distribution
internationally coordinated glacier monitoring Global glacier distribution 100,000 glaciers Basierend auf Luftbildern Basierend auf Satellitenbildern Estimated total (D&M 2005) 160’000 glaciers 680,000 sqkm WGI 100,000 glaciers 240,000 sqkm GLIMS 82,000 glaciers 263,000 sqkm 130,000 glaciers UNEP (2007) WGMS (2008)

11 Glacier fluctuation series
internationally coordinated glacier monitoring Glacier fluctuation series 1,000 glaciers photo by S. Kappeler 100 glaciers Front variation 37,000 observations 1,850 glaciers Mass balance 3,700 observations 240 glaciers Volume change 177 observations 80 glaciers photos by M. Zemp and H. Machguth WGMS (2008)

12 www.wgms.ch ¦ www.nsidc.org ¦ www.glims.org ¦ www.gtn-g.org
One-stop data-portal on FoG WGMS WGI WGMS / NSIDC GLIMS NSIDC Glacier photos NSIDC

13 Terminology, guidelines and standards, assessment reports
¦ ¦ ¦ Terminology, guidelines and standards, assessment reports Kaser et al. (2003) WGMS (2008) Cogley et al. (2011) Zemp, M. (2011): Glacier monitoring at local, mountain, and global scale. Habilitation Thesis, Faculty of Science, University of Zurich, Switzerland.

14 available glacier data for hkh region
Motivation I climate change glacier change run-off change water availability hazard situation Ok, but... - instrument data series? - glacier coverage? - glacier fluctuation series? - other run-off components? - monsoon influence? - ... ASTER

15 HKH mass balance observations
available glacier data for hkh region HKH mass balance observations recent series, > 31 obs recent series, < 32 obs X discontinued series Maliy Aktru, SU: 1962–2009, 48 Leviy Aktur, SU: 1977–2009, 33 No. 125, SU: 1977–2009, 33 Urumqihe, CN: 1959–2010, 52 Ts. Tuyuksuy, SU: 1957–2010, 54 Chhota Shigri, IN: 2003–2010, 8 Hamtah, IN: 2001–2006, 6 30 ceased series, avg of 11 obs. IRD works on Mera Glacier, NP

16 HKH front variation observations
available glacier data for hkh region HKH front variation observations recent series, > 29 obs recent series, < 30 obs X discontinued series Maliy Aktru, SU: 1936–2005, 51 Leviy Aktur, SU: 1975–2005, 30 Korumdu, SU: 1936–2005, 38 4 others (avg of 22 obs) Lapate No. 51, CN: 1964–2005, 7 Urumqihe, CN: 1995–2010, 15 Ts. Tuyuksuy, SU: 1902–2010, 49 Hamtah, IN: 2000–2005, 5 11 others (avg of 1 obs) 299 ceased series, avg of 4.4obs

17 available glacier data for hkh region
Recent review paper in Science by Bolch et al. (2012)

18 HKH glacier inventories
available glacier data for hkh region HKH glacier inventories ESRI‘s DCW World Glacier Inventory WGI Update 2012 WGI until 2011 WGI, former SU, WGI, Buthan, 1978/82 WGI, China, 9999 WGI, Nepal, 1977/80 WGI, India, 1966/68 WGI, Pakistan, 1934/77 WGI, Afghanistan, 1959/60

19 HKH glacier inventories
available glacier data for hkh region HKH glacier inventories ESRI‘s DCW World Glacier Inventory GLIMS WGI, former SU, WGI, Buthan, 1978/82 WGI, China, 9999 WGI, Nepal, 1977/80 WGI, India, 1966/68 WGI, Pakistan, 1934/77 WGI, Afghanistan, 1959/60 GLIMS, China, mid 20th century GLIMS, Nepal,

20 Available data of Central Asia in worldwide context
available glacier data for hkh region Available data of Central Asia in worldwide context WGMS (2008) Note: in this table, Central Asia does not include the Altay (=> Northern Asia)

21 Glacier monitoring in the HKH region: present state
available glacier data for hkh region Glacier monitoring in the HKH region: present state Tier 1: mainly regional or national scientific studies Tier 2: lack of detailed long-term observations for process understanding and model validation; only potential site are Ts. Tuyuksu (KZ Tien Shan) Urumqihe South No.1 (CN Tien Shan) Tier 3: lack of ongoing mass balance studies Tier 4: many discontinued front variation series, lack of ongoing observations, few recent programmes in India Tier 5: national glacier inventories available from former SU (WGI) as well as form China and Nepal (GLIMS)

22 Glacier monitoring in the HKH region: future needs
available glacier data for hkh region Glacier monitoring in the HKH region: future needs Tier 1: Cover spatial diversity and elevation belts, include available (disc.) measurements, overcome national boundaries, planning of monitoring network must be based on feasibility and relevance; remote sensing & in-situ Tier 2: establish at least one detailed process-oriented observation programme for long-term studies in each country of HKH Tier 3: establish additional 3-10 mass balance programmes with reduced stake networks in each country of HKH to cover glacier change variations of different regions Tier 4: reconstruct and continue front variation series; use global and national digital elevation models (e.g. SRTM3) for large scale volume change studies Tier 5: complete national inventories, plan repeat inventories for changes assessments (LIA, 1970s, 2000, 2020) Special issues to be addressed: monsoon, debris cover, surges, hazards, ... Make all data and related meta-information freely available through GTN-G

23 www.wgms.ch ¦ www.nsidc.org ¦ www.glims.org ¦ www.gtn-g.org
take home message Free and unrestricted international share of glacier data is one of the basic requirements for advances in climate change related research. The HKH region still lacks both in a complete glacier inventory and in long-term fluctuation series. India has a great potential for improving the glacier monitoring situation in the HKH region. ¦ ¦ ¦


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