1. Where We’ve Been and Where We’re Going
Utility Lighting Manager’s Summer Summit 2016

2. Outline Why We Do What We Do Tracking Program Accomplishments
Seventh Power Plan Findings
News and Goings On
What’s Bugging Me Most

3. Why We Do What We Do
…after a series of ridiculously expensive power industry missteps, Congress set the PNW on a course that established treating energy efficiency as a resource in power planning – just like generation

4. Pacific Northwest Region The 1980 Regional Power Act
In 1980, the Regional Power Act drew the region together for power planning and fish and wildlife enhancement and recovery on the Columbia River.
In simple terms, the Council was created, by Congress, to give the people of the region a voice in the development of power and fish resources of the Columbia River.
Of course Congress does not go around willy-nilly giving the people a voice
Two big mess up. 1) over-committed to building new thermal generation, bond default, 2x ws rates. 2) We nearly wiped out salmon and steelhead runs in the massive Columbia River Basin.
So Congress set up the Northwest Power and Conservation Council to do regional power planning and fish & wildlife recovery.
Every five years the Council does a regional power plan
Today’s talk springs from the making of the 7thPower Plan.
It’s the longest running electric IRP in the country. It’s had a run that surpasses the record of the Broadway musical ‘Cats’, which also debuted in 1981.
Scope is Regional (NO Gas).
Impact on ETO: Commissions & utilities pay attention to it for resource development recommendations: cons & generation

5. Major Elements of the Northwest Power and Conservation Act of 1980
Authorized States to form Council
Directed Council to develop 20-year load forecast and resource plan (“The Plan”)
Bonneville is given authority to acquire resources consistent with the Council’s Plan
Plan is to provide for the development of the least cost mix of resources
Conservation is defined as resource equivalent to generation and given a 10% cost advantage
Mandated public involvement in planning process.
slide 5

6. Tracking Program Accomplishments

7. Regional Conservation Progress Report
RCP

8. 2010-2014 Utility Funded Reported Energy Savings
1309 aMW

9. 2010-2014 Reported Energy Savings

10. Lighting Savings Are Largest Contributor
Water Heat
Refrigeration
Whole Building
HVAC
Electronics
Lighting

11. 2014 Energy Savings Results (Reported)11
48 aMW
262 aMW Total
1.2% of Regional Sales

12. 2014 Demand Savings Results (Estimated)
52 MW
250 MW
204 MW
512 MW Total

13. First-Year Utility Cost Levelized Utility Cost
Cost Data
Cost Data on 75%
First-Year Utility Cost
First-Year Total Cost
Incentives +
Admin cost
Incremental cost +
Admin cost
$/kWh and million $/aMW
$/kWh and million $/aMW
Levelized Utility Cost
Levelized Total Cost
Incentives + Admin cost
Weighted average measure life
Discount Rate (5%)
Incremental + Admin cost
Weighted average measure life
Discount Rate (5%)
$/kWh
$/kWh

14. 2014 Sector Results with Measure-Level Detail http://rtf. nwcouncil
Over 185,000 records

15. 2014 Residential Results Residential Energy Residential Demand
Check Electronics – TV load shape
118 aMW Total
250 MW Total

16. Top Residential Measure Categories
Measure Category
2014 aMW
Percent of Residential Total
Levelized Utility Cost
Lighting
39.7
34%
$0.036
Televisions
34.1
29% -
Behavioral
5.9 5%
$0.057
Showerheads
5.3
$0.019
Ductless Heat Pumps
4.7 4%
$0.032
New Homes*
4.3
Clothes Washers
3.2 3%
$0.069
Windows
2.9 2%
$0.026
Refrigerators
2.7
$0.061
Insulation
2.1
Air-Source Heat Pumps
2.0
$0.033
Duct Sealing
$0.031
Remove cost columns and add in Planning column & percentage of total res savings
Good to show percent of measures that are planning vs. proven
Cost data – appropriate at the measure level or sector level?
What are the top things that we’re seeing at the measure level? Include costs at that level (first year or levelized) (Different Slide)
Highlight the four cost metrics that we’ve created. Don’t make it too busy.
What are the costs that are reported? What’s in Utility vs. Total? Include a slide.
Slide on Units Data? Ex. How much of a market are we touching?
Next Slide – Planning vs Proven
* Includes NEEA savings from residential state energy codes

17. Residential NEEA & Utility Acquisition
NEEA Residential Savings
Televisions (34 aMW)
ENERGY STAR Homes (4 aMW)
Clothes Washers (2 aMW)
Lighting (2 aMW)
Refrigerators (2 aMW)
Ductless Heat Pumps (0.5 aMW)
Dishwashers (0.5 aMW)
HPWHs (0.25 aMW)

18. HVAC demand still under investigation
Commercial Results
2014 Energy Results (aMW)
2014 Demand Estimates (MW)
Splitting apart lighting: what do we know there? i.e. Solid-state, exterior.
Double check HVAC aMW to MW
Another slice in these pies: NEEA vs. Utility acquisition
CAVEAT:
HVAC demand still under investigation
85 aMW Total
204 MW Total

19. 2014 Commercial Lighting Details
Fully two-thirds of savings claimed are LED
CAVEAT
Distribution of lighting technologies from data with measure details SHOULD NOT be considered representative of the savings WITHOUT details

20. Commercial Energy Savings
2014 NEEA Commercial Savings
Com Desktops (8 aMW)
Commissioning & Retro-Commissioning (7 aMW)
Com Energy Codes (4 aMW)
Building Operator Certification (2 aMW)
Com Real Estate SEM; Health Care SEM (0.7 aMW)
Low Wattage T8s (0.4 aMW)

21. Commercial Measure Costs 2014

22. Over $100 Million in Lighting Incentives Reported and $350 Million in Lighting Costs Only ~75% of savings reported costs

23. Utility Cost Fractions Vary by Program Category

24. Trends in Program-Claimed Lighting Controls Savings

25. Industrial Results 2014 Energy Results (aMW)
2014 Demand Estimates (MW)
Is there an energy management component to motors/drives, process loads, compressed air
Ryan: agricultural – be interesting to know about SIS.
Decimal places comment from the peanut gallery…
Trend of Industrial Energy Management
Capital investments vs behavior
48 aMW Total
52 MW Total

26. Energy Management vs. Capital
Strategic Energy Management
Custom O&M
Track & Tune
Energy Project Management
HP Energy Management
Industrial System Optimization
Capital Projects
Lighting
HVAC Equipment
Compressed Air
Refrigeration

27. 2014 Agricultural Energy Results
Is there an energy management component to motors/drives, process loads, compressed air
Ryan: agricultural – be interesting to know about SIS.
Decimal places comment from the peanut gallery…
Trend of Industrial Energy Management
Capital investments vs behavior
11 aMW Total

28. You can manipulate these data yourself – go here:

29. 2014 Irrigation Results Irrigation Results
Irrigation accounts for 83% of Ag savings
Scientific Irrigation Scheduling
Hardware and Equipment
25% of irrigation savings is unknown
Request for more detailed data
Is there an energy management component to motors/drives, process loads, compressed air
Ryan: agricultural – be interesting to know about SIS.
Decimal places comment from the peanut gallery…
Trend of Industrial Energy Management
Capital investments vs behavior

30. 2014 is First Year Since 2005 that Utility-Funded Savings Alone Fell Short of Annual Targets

31. The Result Has Been Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride!
Northwest Efficiency Development Has Historically Been Tied To Current Market Conditions
The Result Has Been Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride!
Enlightenment?
Response to West Coast Energy Crisis
Short Term Memory Loss?
Response to “Restructuring Discussions” and surplus
Response to PNW Recession

32. Seventh Power Plan: Key Findings and Resource Strategy

33. Forecast Load Growth Over The Next Two Decades (Average Over 800 Futures)

34. Seventh Power Plan Least Cost Resource Strategies for Meeting Forecast Energy and Capacity Needs
Key Finding: Energy Efficiency and Demand Response can meet nearly all growth in energy and capacity needs through 2035

35. Cost-Effective Energy Efficiency and Demand Response can meet nearly all growth in energy and capacity needs through 2035

36. Region Has a System Adequacy Problem
LOLP (%) Heat Map for 2021
Imports
3400
2500
1700
Loads
High 22 24 26
Med 8 10 12
(Existing MW planned DR + standby generators
Low 2 4 6

37. Conservation Can Provide Capacity Benefits
Depending on WHEN a measure saves energy
Key Finding: Surprise inside!
It’s like a two-fer. Buy one get one free.

38. What Does 7P Suggest for EE Programs & Evaluators & Engineers ?
Steady as she goes
Lots of low-cost potential & challenges to acquire it
Spot market price is NOT the avoided cost for least-cost
Expand thinking beyond annual energy savings to kW
Need hourly savings profiles
Integration with DR programs
Baselines changing – programs adjust
Be smart & strategic about programs
Importance of EE research & performance
Hourly savings profiles important

39. 7P: New EE Goals & New Baselines
Conservation Energy Milestones by Fiscal Year in Average Megawatts
From around 200 aMW to over 300 aMW per year – from all sources

40. But What If We Don’t Need Energy or Capacity Today?
Plan Findings
Underlying load growth
Loss of existing generation
A steady EE build - 0ffsetting long-term net growth is least-cost and low-risk
Incremental sustained progress at low cost accumulates high value
Patient capital investment

41. Lots of EE Between Spot Market Price & Cost of New Generation
Gas CCCT
Spot Market
Between Spot Market Price of Electricity and Cost of New Gas Plant
About 1000 aMW of Energy
About 2000 MW of winter peak

42. Spot Market Price Is Not The Least-Cost Avoided Cost For EE
System costs and risk both increase by about 15 percent if spot market price is used as avoided cost
Plan Findings
Building about twice the EE than would be built with spot market as avoided cost
And reduces long-term system cost & risk & revenue requirements
Spot market price is not the least-cost avoided cost for EE
With spot market price as avoided cost for EE develop only 700 aMW by 2021 about 50% of least-cost development

43. And There Are New Measures
About 30 new measures
Nearly half of potential
Key new technology
SSL & Controls ~50%
HVAC ~25%
Electronics ~15%
Plug loads
Behavioral
New applications of old
And each market is different: Some fast, some slow, changing players, market dynamics, consumer uptake
Each will need tailored approach/strategy/clever intervention: Will need regional coordination to move forward. (e.g. Regional Strategic Market Planning effort would help get some of these off the ground)
Agriculture
Irrigation Efficiency
Lighting
Commercial
Advanced Rooftop Controller
Bi-Level Stairwell Lighting
Compressed Air
DCV Parking Garage
DHP
Exterior Building Lighting
LEC Exit Sign
Lighting Controls Interior
Low Power LF Lamps
LPD Package
MotorsRewind
Secondary Glazing Systems
Smart Plug Power Strips
VRF
Water Cooler Controls
WEPT
WHTanks
Industrial
Residential
Advanced Power Strips
Aerator
ASHP
Behavior
Clothes Dryer
DHP Ducted
EV Supply Equip
Lighting PPA
WIFI enabled tstats

44. Incorporate Value of Deferred Generation Capacity in B/C
Energy
Deferred Capacity
Avoided Annual O&M
Avoided Other fuel
Non-Electric Benefit
Avoided Periodic Replacement
Risk Avoidance
Capital
Program Admin
Annual O&M
Other fuel
Non-Electric Cost
Periodic Replacement
Benefits
Costs

45. What Does Revised Cost-Effectiveness Mean?
Will credit more value to measures that provide peak capacity reduction
And less to those that don’t

46. Avoided Cost to Beat Based on Hourly Profile of Savings for Select Measures - Winter Peak

47. Lighting Savings in Buildings

48. News & Goings On

49. News & Goings On Lighting Market Analysis & Simulation
Help for Program Planners
RTF Takes on Momentum Savings
Market Analysis Subcommittee
Litmus Test
Regional Strategic Approaches Mid-Stream
New HVAC Interaction Factors!
And “calibrated” simulation models

50. What’s Bugging me most

51. What’s Bugging Me Most Evaluating Elusive Intangibles:
Design & Application, Glare, Flicker, Color
Avoiding The Seductive Power of Easy
Target Chasing vs Resource Development & Better Lighting
Strategy Needed – Think Long Game
TLED vs Integrated Fixtures
Corralling Controls
Integrate analysis
Parsing out the hype
Getting some empirical data

52. Lighting Insights Ingredients: Design, SSL, Controls
Too many technology options appearing too fast to be prescriptive in programs
Reduce Power and Hours
Pace: Will new technology increase turnover?
‘Smart’ confounded & conflated with NEB
Significant market momentum, new market players, little stability

53. End

54. Cost-Effective Savings in All Sectors
100 Measures

55. What’s New? About 3o new measures Nearly half of potential
Key new technology
SSL & Controls ~50%
HVAC ~25%
Electronics ~15%
Plug loads
Behavioral
New applications of old
And each market is different: Some fast, some slow, changing players, market dynamics, consumer uptake
Each will need tailored approach/strategy/clever intervention: Will need regional coordination to move forward. (e.g. Regional Strategic Market Planning effort would help get some of these off the ground)
Agriculture
Irrigation Efficiency
Lighting
Commercial
Advanced Rooftop Controller
Bi-Level Stairwell Lighting
Compressed Air
DCV Parking Garage
DHP
Exterior Building Lighting
LEC Exit Sign
Lighting Controls Interior
Low Power LF Lamps
LPD Package
MotorsRewind
Secondary Glazing Systems
Smart Plug Power Strips
VRF
Water Cooler Controls
WEPT
WHTanks
Industrial
Residential
Advanced Power Strips
Aerator
ASHP
Behavior
Clothes Dryer
DHP Ducted
EV Supply Equip
Lighting PPA
WIFI enabled tstats

56. Commercial sector Efficiency

57. Results: Cost-effective 20-year Potential (aMW)
Commercial End-Use Category
1,686
(aMW in 2035)
Compressed Air 4
Electronics
345
Food Preparation 64
HVAC
423
Lighting
687
Motors/Drives 39
Process Loads 49
Refrigeration 70
Water Heating 6

58. Commercial Measures Cost-Effective Potential (aMW)
End-Use and Measure
2021
2026
2035
Compressed Air 1 2 4
Electronics 75
272
345
Data Centers 55
230
261
Desktop 13 28 56
Laptop
Monitor 6 12 24
Food Preparation 23 64
Cooking Equipment 63
Pre-Rinse Spray Valve
HVAC
135
296
423
Advanced Rooftop Controller 22 84
119
Commercial EM 44 62 69
DCV Parking Garage 8
DCV Restaurant Hood
Demand Control Ventilation 11 16
DHP 43 60
Economizer 19 26 27
Premium Fume Hood
Secondary Glazing Systems 7 15
VRF 80
WEPT 5 10
End-Use and Measure
2021
2026
2035
Lighting
244
479
687
Bi-Level Stairwell Lighting 2 4 10
Exterior Building Lighting 59
126
142
LEC Exit Sign 9 19
Lighting Controls Interior 6 13
Low Power LF Lamps 15 40
LPD Package
229
393
Parking Lighting 8
Street and Roadway Lighting 30 57 61
Motors/Drives 7 18 39
ECM-VAV 5 14 34
MotorsRewind
Process Loads 20 44 49
Municipal Sewage Treatment 32 35
Municipal Water Supply
Refrigeration 63 70
Grocery Refrigeration Bundle 37 52
Water Cooler Controls 11
Water Heating 3
Showerheads
WHTanks 1
Total
530
1,203
1,686

59. Savings from “New” Measures
What’s New?
Savings from “New” Measures
Measure Bundle
2021
2026
2035
Advanced Rooftop Controller 22 84
119
Bi-Level Stairwell Lighting 2 4 10
Compressed Air 1
Data Centers 55
230
261
DHP 12 43 60
Exterior Building Lighting 59
126
142
LPD Package
229
393
Motors Rewind 5
Secondary Glazing Systems 7 15
Showerheads 3
VRF 6 27 80
Water Cooler Controls 11 13
WHTanks
Low Power LF Lamps 40
Lighting Controls Interior
LEC Exit Sign 9 19
WEPT
Will need regional coordination to move forward. E.g. Regional Strategic Market Planning effort would help get some of these off the ground
Some emerging tech, some just new to 7P
Some research may be needed

60. New or Emerging Measures
Solid State Lighting
Embedded Data Centers
VRF
ARC
Smart Plug Power Strip
Energy Management
Not really new potential, but has a new name since 6P
Emerging programs such as SEM

61. Solid State Lighting

62. Notable Changes Federal Standards Step Up LED making inroads by 2016
HID fading
Previous lighting momentum savings: Gone
Cost of savings a big factor
Capacity value of savings a big factor
Baseline Step Up
9 Federal lighting standards since 6P
All states have more stringent codes
Market snap shot at end of 2015
LED making inroads, HID fading
Momentum savings
Previous momentum savings: Gone Gone Gone
New momentum savings ? ? ?

63. Standards will Reduce Baseline LPD in Existing Stock by about 14%
Before Standards w/sf
After Standards .86 w/sf
After all cost-effective measures

64. LED sales forecast also reduces remaining conservation potential
Assume 3% to 40% of all new sales are LED
Reduces load forecast

65. Commercial Lighting Measures Total Achievable Potential Available by Year (aMW)
TRC Lvl Cost ($/MWh)
Lighting
196
448
711
$17
Interior LPD Package (n ~40)
102
208
391
$13
Low Power LF Lamps 11 35 40
$24
Lighting Controls Interior 5 14 37
$130
Exterior Building Lighting 46
118
142
$12
Street and Roadway Lighting 24 53 61
$-34
Parking Lighting 8
$25
Bi-Level Stairwell Lighting 1 4
$79
LEC Exit Sign 3 19
Total of about 900 individual ‘measures’
A coal plant worth of energy savings by 2025
Mostly cost-effective: Exception Lighting Controls Interior

66. Lighting Savings in Buildings

67. Using Forecast 2017 Cost & Performance for LED

68. 7P Lighting Proxy Measures Linear Fluorescent Measures (New & NR)
Application
Measure
TRC Lvl Cost ($/MWh)
Savings (% Delta Watt)
New
New LED Fixture
$49
37% NR
LED Fixture or Kit
$51
LED Fixture or Kit with Redux Lumens
$12
50%
High Efficiency Fluor Fixture $6
33%
Tube LED Direct Line Voltage
$35
23%
Tube LED Direct Line Voltage Redux Lumens $4
38%
Low Watt Fluorescent Lamp (28W & 25W)
$24 6%

69. 7P Lighting Proxy Measures Linear Fluorescent Measures (Retrofit)
Application
Measure
TRC Lvl Cost ($/MWh)
Savings (% Delta Watt)
Retro
LED Fixture or Kit
$189
37%
LED Fixture or Kit with Redux Lumens
$116
50%
High Efficiency Fluor Fixture with Redux Lumens
$82
33%
Lamp Only - Tube LED Over Ballast
$196
15%
Lamp Only - Tube LED Over Ballast Redux Lumens
$68
32%

70. 7P Lighting Proxy Measures Recessed Can Measures
Application
Measure
TRC Lvl Cost ($/MWh)
Savings (% Delta Watt)
New
New LED Fixture (Halogen Base)
$ (80)
90%
New LED Fixture (CFL Base)
$ (19)
63% NR
$(78)
$ (12)
Retro
$ (56)
$ 82
Lamp Only – (Halogen Base)
$(71)
89%
Lamp Only – (CFL Base)
$ 5
59%

71. 7P Lighting Proxy Measures Plus Many Many More
Application
Measure Bundle
Number of Measures
TRC Lvl Cost ($/MWh)
Savings (% Delta Watt)
All
Display Track 10
($30) -$110
17% - 60%
High Bay 8
$2 - $86
37% - 66%
Omni Directional 3
($100) - ($7)
37% - 84%
Exterior Façade 4
($15) - ($20)
60% - 80%
Exterior Parking Lot 6
($3) - $7
Exterior Area Lighting
($40) – ($18)
Parking Garage
$30 - $80
70% – 80%
Street & Roadway
($100) - $20
50% - 70%
798 permutations indoor

72. Exit Signs Too! 40 watts 4 watts 0.4 watts
Two orders of magnitude in my career
About 4 million of these in PNW
LEC Light Emitting Capacitor: Better than LED exit sign
4 watts
0.4 watts

73. Lighting Insights Ingredients: Design, SSL, Controls
Too many technology options appearing too fast to be prescriptive in programs
Reduce Power and Hours
Pace: Will new technology increase turnover?
‘Smart’ confounded & conflated with NEB
Significant market momentum, new market players, little stability

74. Embedded Data Centers
Data Centers within Commercial Buildings Exclude Dedicated DC Buildings
Over 4 kWh/sf in office buildings with data centers
Over 2 kWh/sf in Offices

75. Embedded Data Center Savings 261 aMW
Total Savings 261 aMW
TRC Levelized Costs <$40/MWh

76. What is VRF? Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems
One outdoor unit connects to multiple indoor units through refrigerant lines
VRF systems can adjust heating and cooling outputs by adjusting the refrigerant flow and variable speed compressor
Separate ventilation system (e.g., DOAS)
Energy savings from:
Part load efficiency
Eliminated duct losses
Reduced simultaneous heating/cooling
Better ventilation control
Heat recovery
Optimized building design (new construction)
VRF

77. Variable Refrigerant Flow
Applies to new buildings and some major retrofits
Potential: 80 aMW over 20 years
Only 6 aMW by 2021 (sl0w ramp)
Significant part of savings is from DOAS
Needs further research and demonstration in PNW
Washington State code now has DOAS required for new buildings

78. Advanced Rooftop Controller
Advanced Rooftop Controller (ARC) – a controller applied to single zone rooftop systems with constant speed fans
Some commercial buildings are over-ventilated
Constant speed fans are set to run when the building is occupied
The controller modulates the supply fan to reduce energy consumption

79. Advanced Rooftop Controller (ARC) Retrofit: Field-Test Results
The ARC measure is based primarily on the ARC Retrofit study conducted by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.
Study completed in 2013

80. ARC Savings Components
There are four primary components to the ARC savings:
Supply Fan Speed Controls (significant portion of total savings)
Integrated Air-side Economizer Controls
Cooling Capacity Controls
Simple on/off, and staged cooling
Demand-Controlled Ventilation Controls
Return-air CO2
Cost effective potential includes:
22 aMW by 2021
84 aMW by 2026
119 aMW by 2035

81. HVAC Energy Management
Measures for commercial buildings, excluding single-zone ducted systems
Focused on making HVAC systems work better mostly through controls changes, operations & commissioning

82. EM Measure Assumptions
Savings= 18.5% of heating energy for electric heated buildings and 15% for gas heated buildings
Compared the savings values with some limited data from ETO on commercial SEM. For office buildings, the data show about 7% total EUI savings. This translates to approximately 18% electric heating EUI savings; very similar to the 6P assumption.
Baseline adjustments were made to reflect the reduced EUI's in the 2013 CBSA compared with the 2009 CBSA
Sources: program data from LBL, PECI, NEEA, SMUD
For retro Cx, savings range 1 to 2.2 kWh/sf from these programs. Savings range 0.5 to 1.2 kWh/sf for New.
Significant achievements between 2010 and 2015
Saturation is 19% per 6 going on 7 data for "Energy Management Systems/System Controls" category
Reduced the lifetime to 5 years (7 years in the 6P)

83. EM Potential EM potential
44 aMW by 2021
62 aMW by 2026
69 aMW by 2035
Represents four percent of commercial 2035 potential

84. Chasing Plug Loads

85. Smart Plug Power Strips
One way to get at it – likely other approaches IoT
Measure data from RTF
Based on turning off cubical ancillary
(Not including computers)

86. Seventh Power Plan: Industrial Sector EE Potential

87. Key Measure & Practices
Paper: Medium Consistency Pump
Mech Pulp: Refiner Replacement
Mech Pulp: Premium Process
Mech Pulp: Refiner Plate Improvement
Kraft Pulp: Effluent Treatment System
Kraft Pulp: Efficient Agitator
Paper: Efficient Pulp Screen
Paper: Premium Fan
Paper: Material Handling
Wood: Replace Pneumatic Conveyor
Wood: Hydraulic Press
Cold Storage Retrofit
Cold Storage Tuneup
Fruit Storage Refer Retrofit
CS Retrofit -- CO2 Scrub
CS Retrofit -- Membrane
Fruit Storage Tuneup
Groc Dist Retrofit & Tuneup
Air Compressor Demand Reduction
Air Compressor Equipment
Air Compressor Management
HighBay Lighting
Lighting Controls
Motors: Efficient Rewind VSD Controls
Motor Management Program
Fan Efficient Centrifugal
Food: Fans and Blowers
Other: Fans and Blowers
Fan ASD Control
Premium Pump
Pump ASD Control
Transformers
Synchronous Belts
Food: Cooling and Storage
Food: Refrig Storage O&M
Metal: New Arc Furnace

88. Seventh Plan Industrial Potential*
*Total Technical Potential = 661 aMW
Lost some pulp and paper production
Total potential by 2035:
Technical Potential = 661 aMW
Achievable Potential = 555 aMW
Cost-Effective Potential = 553 aMW
Almost all of the achievable potential identified is cost-effective
Less than 6P, but still strong potential

89. Annual Incremental Potential (Industrial, Cost-Effective, by End-Use)

90. Summing Up

91. Since 1978 Utility Funded Programs and Codes and Standards have Produced Nearly 5800 aMW of Savings

92. What’s the Value of 5800 aMW?
It’s represents enough energy savings to save the region’s electricity consumers nearly $3.73 billion in 2014
It lowered carbon emissions in the Pacific Northwest by an estimated 22.2 million MTE

93. Energy Efficiency Was The Region’s Second Largest Resource in 2014
Based on 2014 Actual Dispatch and Hydro Resource Output from EIA

94. 50 Years to Develop the PNW Hydro-System Energy Efficiency Can Extend That Legacy