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0 TRANSNET PRESENTATION TO PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE OF PUBLIC ENTERPRISES BRIEFING BY STATE OWNED ENTERPRISES ON BUDGETS AND STRATEGIC PLANS 2009/10 Mr Chris Wells Acting Group Chief Executive 17 June 2009

1 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – Achievements Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 1

2 INTRODUCTION Shareholder Mandate Transnet’s key role is to assist in lowering the cost of doing business in South Africa and enabling economic growth through providing appropriate ports, rail and pipeline infrastructure and operations in a cost effective and efficient manner and within acceptable benchmark standards Transnet is self-funded and does not receive subsidies from the State. Vision and Mission Transnet is a focused freight transport company, delivering integrated, efficient, safe, reliable and cost-effective services to promote economic growth in South Africa This is to be achieved through increasing our market share, improving productivity and profitability and by providing appropriate capacity to our customers ahead of demand Values We would like our customers: to prefer us because we are reliable, trustworthy, responsive and safe; and because: our employees are committed, safety conscious, accountable, ethical, disciplined and results orientated 2

3 TRANSNET STRUCTURE Luxrail arivia.kom * 3 3

4 Pipeline Infrastructure
KEY STATISTICS Port Infrastructure 9 Commercial Ports 19 container berths 3 automotive terminals 26 dry bulk berths 39 break bulk berths 13 liquid bulk berths Current Volumes (TNPA) – Containers: 3.8 m TEUs Dry bulk: 122 mtpa Auto: units Liquid: 49 mtpa Break Bulk: 7.5 mtpa Rail Infrastructure km of track route km Network Electrification: 50kV AC (861km), 25 kV AC (2309km) 3kV DC (4935km) Axle loading: Main lines at 22t / axle Coal and ore lines 30t / axle (coal line operates at 26 ton) Current Volumes – GFB: 78mt Coal: 62mt Iron Ore: 37mt Pipeline Infrastructure Crude line: 580 km Design Cap = 6,8 bill. l/a Current Cap = 5,8 bill.l/a Refined line:725 km Design cap = 3,5 bill. l/a Current cap = 4,3 bill. l/a Avtur: 94 km Design cap = 1,2 bill. l/a Current cap = 1,1 bill. l/a

5 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – Achievements Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 5

6 % TRANSNET HAS EFFECTED A SUCCESSFUL FINANCIAL TURNAROUND OVER THE PAST FIVE YEARS CAGR R billion Revenue +7% Continuous increase in revenue showing results of initiatives to grow the business, with revenue increasing from R25.3bn in 2004/05 to R30.1bn in 2007/08 (19.0% increase) – 2008/09 in process of being finalised Budget 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 EBITDA Improvements through: Operational efficiency improvements, effective cost cutting initiatives mainly due to reengineering projects Sale of discontinuing non-core businesses Improvement from R7.3bn in 2004/05 to R12.8bn in 2007/08 (75.3% improvement) +13% Budget 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 Gearing (%) Balance sheet restructuring and cost effective debt structures yielding positive results with consistent below target gearing from 61% in 2004/05 to 30% in 2007/08 (50.8% improvement) This enables Transnet to fund capital investments more cost effectively and without government guarantees 61% -11% 50% Max 46% Budget 39% 39% 30% 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 6 6

7 SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCIES
% SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCIES Key Performance Indicators Rail Net Ton Kilometre per Wagon (GFB ‘000) Net Ton Kilometre per Loco (GFB ‘000) Weighted Loco Availability (GFB, Coal and Ore - %) Improvement in asset utilization releasing the pressure on rolling stock requirements. +3% +15% +7% 88% 82% 04/05 08/09 04/05 08/09 04/05 08/09 Ports Moves per Crane Hour (No. of moves) Containers per Berth (No.) Sweating the Port assets to create additional capacity and alleviate pressure on investment +26% 189,989 150,261 04/05 08/09 04/05 08/09 04/05 08/09 DCT CTCT PE 04/05 08/09 Pipe-lines Capacity Utilisation (%) Production Interruptions (Internal & External - Hours) Operational improvements and introduction of Drag Reducing Agents allow TPL to exceed design capacities for Refined products -22% 965 755 04/05 08/09 04/05 08/09 04/05 08/09 Refined Crude Avtur 06/07 08/09 * Net ton kilometer excluding the weight of the wagon 7

8 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – Achievements Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 8

9 KEY MESSAGES: CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
2008/09 Budget 2009/10 KEY MESSAGES: CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT GDP (%) 2008/09 The financial crisis sparked the worst worldwide recession since the Great Depression. Expectations of a quick resolution to the credit crisis have not been realised The IMF has revised its global GDP 2009 forecast to 0.5%, from 2.2% in November 2008 5.0% 08/09 CP = 4% 0.2% -1.8% -6.4% The global recession cause both commodity prices and inflation to ease further on the back of weak demand Commodity prices have fallen sharply since September 2008. Oil has fallen more than 60% from its peak and is forecast to increase to an average of $60 -$70/barrel in 2009. Iron Ore price had declined by almost 70% before recovering slightly. Thermal coal price has fallen by more than 50% since July 2008 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Baltic Dry Bulk Index $000/Tonne 11.5 11.5 11.4 11.6 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 International trade is projected to decelerate sharply, with global trade volumes falling by 2.8% in 2009. The Baltic Dry Index has fallen over 90% in the past 6 months Drewry forecasts container growth of only 2.8% in 2009 Container volumes through US ports have been negative for 17 consecutive months Lower ocean freight rates benefit SA GFB Volumes (mt) -9% -20% Q2 Q3 Q4 Transnet’s short term focus will shift towards sustaining the business Transnet is well equipped to weather the storm The growth strategy will continue to provide the strategic framework The timing of the implementation of the growth strategy will be delayed as a result of revisions to volume forecasts The short term focus is on protecting volumes and preserving cash Containers (000TEUs) +4% -14% Q2 Q3 Q4 9

10 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – Achievements Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 10

11 GROWTH STRATEGY: THE NEXT HORIZON OF THE TRANSFORMATION PROCESS
6.5 GROWTH STRATEGY: THE NEXT HORIZON OF THE TRANSFORMATION PROCESS Transformation horizon Three turnaround horizons Grow Integration: Accelerated rollout of operational improvements Integrated business model End-to-end corridor view Integrated customer view Achieve world class performance Optimise Stabilise Interactions: Leveraging benefits of an intermodal business Effective commercial management of the network business Operational and functional teams jointly optimise their interaction areas Individual programme focus: Getting the basics right Stabilising operations Four-point turnaround strategy Four-point growth strategy 2005 2007/2008 2010 Corporate governance and risk 1 4 3 2 Balance sheet restructuring Growth through : Reengi-neering – integration, productivity and efficiency Capital optimisa-tion and financial manage-ment Safety, risk and effective governance Human capital execution Redirect and re-engineer Human capital development Positioning the Company for growth in the future 11

12 TRANSNET’S GROWTH STRATEGY
Client orientated planning and execution through integrated commercial management Growth through Governance and performance management Re-engineering, integration, productivity and efficiency Capital optimisation and financial management Safety, risk and effective governance Human capital execution Financial strength and sustainability Enterprise wide performance management linked to benchmarked operating KPIs Risk and safety management Transnet culture charter Focusing on 5 key corridors, providing end-to- end logistics services to customers Focus on key commodities Productivity and efficiency improvements Investment plans Replacement and expansion of existing infrastructure to support growth Integrated investments of R80bn across rail, ports and pipelines Maintenance of core asset base Disposal of non-core properties (e.g. hostels/houses) 12 12 12

13 GOVERNANCE – MEDIA REPORTS
Article attempted to conflate two different issues both apparently the subject of leaks from employees with their own agendas Succession Totally incorrect and without foundation Capital Projects Report has neither served at Board or provoked discussion at prior Board meetings therefore has of course no bearing on succession discussion Acting CEO, Chris Wells informed Board in January 2009 that he was not available to be appointed as CEO. This also is in Public Domain. Board united on process. Capital Project Internal Audit Report Alleged evidence of financial mismanagement Transnet Internal Audit outsourced to Ernst & young Strong control environment in line with best international practice Audit report in question was the result of a normal audit and evidence of proactive and very thorough governance processes Senior Ernst & Young partner responsible issued press release saying that issues are “not material” and are part of normal process. Normal forensics in place to find source of leaks as this was a breach of Transnet’s ethics and employment contract and sought to bring harm to Transnet Other Transnet has an independent tip-offs line for any anonymous reports of alleged corruption or malpractice. 13 13 13

14 STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION THROUGH CORRIDOR APPROACH
Benefits of corridor approach NOC Procurement Transnet as a network business needs to operate in an integrated manner throughout the logistics corridor Provide a common transformation and long-term planning backbone Maximise growth opportunities across all operating divisions (rail, port, pipeline) Capture operational and functional synergies across operating divisions through integrated solutions Improve efficiency and effectiveness of logistics supply chain Providing an end-to-end logistics service to customers Provide optimal capital base for network infrastructure evolution Focus on key commodities and aligning capital investment to high-growth potential corridors Maintenance Functions Yards Projects Sentrarand Kaserne Yard Depot Example Newcastle Port Corridors Danskraal Durban DCT Messina Beit Bridge Ellisras Louis Trichardt Soekmekaar Thabazimbi Drummondlea Pietersburg Middelwit Vaalwater Chroomvallei Phalaborwa Rustenburg Northam Nylstroom Naboomspruit Zebediela Hoedspruit Roossenekal Marble Hall Steelpoort Graskop Mafikeng Vermaas Welverdiend Coligny Lichtenburg Krugersdorp Pretoria Cullinan Rayton Witbank Ogies Belfast Plaston O/fontein Welgedag Sentrarand Komatipoort Ottosdal Potchestroom J’burg Hawerklip B/plaas Breyten Machadodorp Baberton Hotazel Pudimoe Schweizer-Reneke Ancona Makwassie Orkney Klerksdorp Vierfontein Wolwehoek Bethal Standerton Lothair Nakop Naroegas Erts Upington Palingpan Sishen Postmasburg Manganore Westleigh Vrede Charlestown Newcastle Warrenton Bultfontein Theunisen Glen H Whites Kroonstad Arlington Warden Utrecht Golela Kakamas Kimberley Winburg Virginia Marquard Bethlehem Bergville Harrismith Glencoe Vryheid Hlobane Prieska Douglas Bloemfontein Ladysmith Sannaspos Ladybrand Moorleigh Kranskop Eshowe Nkwalini Empangeni Richards Bay Copperton Belmont Koffiefontein Maseru Underberg Hilton Howick Greytown Network Stanger Bitterfontein Sakrivier De Aar Springfontein Bethulie Matatiele Donnybrook Mandonela Franklin Richmond Mid Ilovo Durban Calvinia Kootjieskolk Aliwal North Kokstad Harding Simuma Rosmead Noupoort Dreunberg Jamestown Barkley East Maclear Port Shepstone Kelso Hutchinson Schoombee Hofmeyer Queenstown Umtata Klawer Beaufort West Tarkastad Qamata Saldanha Porterville Hamlet Prins Alfred Klipplaat Somerset East Cookhouse Beaufort Fort Seymour Amabele Blaney Cape Town Atlantis Franschhoek Worcester Touwsrivier Ladysmith Stellenbosch Riversdale Calitzdorp George Oudtshoorn Avontuur Patensie Uitenhage Kirkwood Port Elizabeth Alexandria Port Alfred East London Simonstad Strand Protem Bredasdorp Mosselbaai Knysna 14

15 KEY OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
JOH-TRX BP-X1 KEY OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL STRATEGIC INITIATIVES Growth Strategy Growth through Reengineering integration, productivity and efficiency Capital optimi-sation and financial management Safety, risk and effective governance Human capital execution 1 2 3 4 5 Key Focus Areas Revenue optimisation- Deliver on committed volumes for export coal and iron ore Domestic coal Containers on rail Optimise Capex on value creating growth and sustainability Targeted cost reduction including introducing shared services & procurement review Improve key productivities and operational efficiencies Implement funding plan at cost effective rates Financial Value Creation Proactive cash management Gearing to remain <47% and cash interest cover >3 times over 5 year plan Target coal (74mt) and iron ore (60mt) volumes by 2013/14 R80,5 billion Capex spend over five years on key corridors Maintain operating cost increases below revenue increases over the 5 year plan Drive KPI’s to benchmark levels 15 15

16 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – Achievements Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 16

17 REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
The following Acts impact on the operations of the business National Port Act (2005) – Transnet National Ports Authority responsible for ensuring safety efficient and effective functioning of the ports. Setting of tariffs. Ports regulatory body appointed Petroleum Pipelines Act (2003) – to licence petroleum pipelines and storage facilities and to set tariffs Nersa as regulated body Port directives/regulations not finalised as yet which makes it difficult to manage and plan future revenues Pipeline regulations /directives issued but principles inconsistently applied between years Significant uncertainty on future revenues do not allow for alternative funding options No policy on funding for capital work in progress Regulation in its current form and application is not conducive for investment in major infrastructure projects.

18 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – Achievements Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 18

19 Export volumes (excluding iron ore and coal) Revenue growth 8.8% y-o-y
SALIENT FEATURES: TRANSNET CORPORATE PLAN 2009/10 (as submitted to Shareholder) Economic recession put Transnet volumes under pressure (-4.7% average growth against 2008/09) and lower volumes specifically in: General Freight Containers Export volumes (excluding iron ore and coal) Revenue growth 8.8% y-o-y Cost containment to keep cost increases to 8.4%, notwithstanding sharp increases in input costs such as electricity, fuel and other input costs. Profitability (EBITDA) of the Group increases by 9.6% y-o-y The 5 year capital investment program remains on a R80bn level and approximately R21bn to be invested in 2009/10 Cash from operations will remain a healthy R10.6bn in 2009/10 Gearing and cash interest cover remain within set limits over the 5 years 19

20 KEY COMMODITY VOLUMES AND TARIFF INCREASES: 5 YEAR PLAN
KEY COMMODITY VOLUMES AND TARIFF INCREASES: 5 YEAR PLAN All numbers reflected as per Corporate Plan Commodity Volumes Average Tariff increases Containers (000 TEUs) 4,059 5.9% 3,710 3,666 Average tariff increase impacted by underlying product mix (Containers & GFB) Including negotiated contract tariffs (export coal and iron ore) to: Increase infrastructure capacity to meet customer demand, and Service requirements of clients 3,315 Average 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 09/10-13/14 Export Iron Ore (mtpa) 7.4% Average 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 09/10-13/14 Export Coal (mtpa) 9.7% Average 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 09/10-13/14 GFB (mtpa) 6.3% Average 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 09/10-13/14 20

21 INCOME STATEMENT – CORPORATE PLAN 2009/10
8 JOH-TRX BP-X1 All numbers as per Corporate Plan INCOME STATEMENT – CORPORATE PLAN 2009/10 Budget 33 615 (21 569) 12 046 (5 329) 6 717 2 682 (2 477) 205 (921) (716) 8.0 (11.5) 1.7 (17.3) (10.7) Critical to maintain profitability to be able to fund major component of capex plans through internal funding sources Operating Profit Margin (%) 19,7 20,8 16,5 17,1 15,0 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 21 21

22 EXTERNAL REVENUE CONTRIBUTION BY DIVISION – 5 YEAR VIEW
JOH-TRX BP-X1 EXTERNAL REVENUE CONTRIBUTION BY DIVISION – 5 YEAR VIEW All numbers as per Corporate Plan TPL Specialist Units TRE 6% 8% 1% TPT 14% 33.6 53% TFR TNPA Budget 22 22

23 OPERATING COST CONTRIBUTION – 5 YEAR VIEW
JOH-TRX BP-X1 OPERATING COST CONTRIBUTION – 5 YEAR VIEW All numbers as per Corporate Plan Materials & OtherMaterials & Other 30% 21.6 56% Personnel 6% Electricity Fuel Budget Labour cost increase over 5 year period on average 6% (reduction in numbers 3%) Electricity cost increases by 158% from 2008/09 to 2013/14 23 23

24 All numbers as per Corporate Plan
3 JOH-TRX BP-X1 BALANCE SHEET All numbers as per Corporate Plan Budget 8 454 54 216 12 661 41 555 41 988 13 217 Must maintain headroom to be able to withstand unforeseen economic circumstances Gearing (%) 46,4 46,8 50 44,6 43,1 39,3 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 24 24

25 CASH FLOW : CORPORATE PLAN 2009/10
4 JOH-TRX BP-X1 CASH FLOW : CORPORATE PLAN 2009/10 All numbers as per Corporate Plan * Excluding the redemption of current loans Cash Interest Cover (times) Critical ratio for investors to ensure sufficient cash to service and repay loans 4,4 3,6 3,6 3,3 3,5 3,1 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 25 25

26 SALIENT FEATURES OF FIVE YEAR CAPITAL INVESTMENT PLAN
The 5 year capital investment plan approved in the 2008/09 Corporate Plan amounts to R80.5bn Latest approved 5-Year Investment Plan amounts to R80.5bn. Projects in plan have been reviewed and re-prioritised as well as rescheduling of cash flows over 5 years to - Remain within the financial parameters - Ensuring that revised customer demands are still met - Capacity is created on time to meet future volume demands Of the planned Capital Investment of R80.5bn spending will be as follows: 32% in rolling stock (R25.8bn) 59% in Infrastructure related projects (R47.5bn) 9% in Acquisition of machinery & equipment and floating craft (R7.2bn) The capital expenditure over the next three years of R57.7bn will be funded by borrowings of R28.4bn and cash from operations of R29.3bn. 26

27 TRANSNET 5 YEAR CAPITAL HISTORICAL SPEND AND INVESTMENT PLAN
R billion Average investment per annum 2000/01 – 2004/05 80.5 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 Cumulative 3 yr ActualCumulative 3 yr Actual 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 5 yr plan Invested cumulatively the last 4 years more than the previous 15 years 27

28 CAPITAL INVESTMENT: 5-YEAR PLAN R80.5bn
7,718 JOH-TRX BP-X1 CAPITAL INVESTMENT: 5-YEAR PLAN R80.5bn Expansion Sustaining Annual Capex (Rbn) Sustaining vs Expansion (3 year view) 21,912 19,442 9,071 16,336 8,121 13,331 42% 7,180 9,480 58% 9,439 12,841 11,321 7,718 9,156 3,892 1,762 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Capex per Division Other R1.2bnOther R1.2bn TPL R11.1bnTPL R11.1bn Capital spending will be closely monitored during year to ensure that financial metrics are maintained 14% TPT R6.3bnTPT R6.3bn 1% 8% TFR R43.5bnTFR R43.5bn 54% 20% TNPA R16.3bnTNPA R16.3bn 3% TRE R2.1bnTRE R2.1bn 28

29 CAPITAL INVESTMENT: PLANNED SPENDING PER CORRIDOR
All numbers as per Corporate Plan Capex spread over the Country 29

30 Latest Estimated Total Cost (ETC) Spending since inception
MAJOR EXISTING PROJECT TNPA: DURBAN HARBOUR ENTRANCE CHANNEL WIDENING Spending (Rm)  Latest Estimated Total Cost (ETC) 2008/09 Spending Spending since inception Actual 3 756 1 942 1 176 Overview The Durban Harbour Entrance Channel Widening and Deepening project is essential in enabling the Port of Durban to accommodate larger vessels through its entrance and to improve the safety of navigation. The widening of the entrance to 330m will enable the super post panamax container vessels to enter the port without any constraining factors. Current Status Excavation of the North revetment continues and is progressing well. Armouring of the new north grove and the south breakwater is making good progress. Design of the sand bypass system at A-berth is nearing completion while commissioning of the temporary bypass system is scheduled for June The project has reached a 60% stage of completion. Investment Criteria Cost Time Quality Local Content Safety Risk 30

31 Spending since inception
MAJOR EXISTING PROJECTS FREIGHT RAIL: ORE LINE EXPANSION TO 47mtpa Spending (Rm) 2008/09 Spending Latest ETC Spending since inception Actual 2 800 1 264 516 Overview The aim of the ore line expansion project is to increase the ore carrying capacity on the Sishen to Saldanha corridor from 41mtpa to 47mtpa. The project entails the upgrading of infrastructure and the procurement of rolling stock to enable the increase in the conveyance of the additional tonnages. The Ore Line is an expansion project aimed at increasing capacity for ore exports. A project to further increase capacity to 60mtpa to address client demand has been approved with the feasibility having been completed and the early stage of execution of the project in progress. Current Status New control software to improve reliability of tipplers, conveyors and reclaimers has been successfully implemented. Passing loops are handed over to operations after completion on a continual basis. Various contracts for the power upgrade and material acquisition are underway. The project is 56% complete. Investment Criteria Cost Time Quality Local Content Safety Risk 31

32 Spending since inception
MAJOR EXISTING PROJECTS FREIGHT RAIL: COAL LINE EXPANSION TO 78 mtpa Spending (Rm) 2008/09 Spending Latest ETC Spending since inception Actual 4 989 1 749 546 Overview The aim of this project is to increase the coal carrying capacity of the line from the mines in Mpumalanga to the Port of Richards Bay. This is an expansion project and of major economic importance as it affects exports. The expansion of the Coal line entails the upgrade and building of new infrastructure as well as the acquisition of rolling stock. Current Status Rail and power infrastructure work is progressing well and is progressing well. Locomotive upgrades and wagon refurbishments are progressing according to plan. Investment Criteria Cost Time Quality Local Content Safety Risk 32

33 Spending since inception
MAJOR EXISTING PROJECTS TNPA: NGQURA CONTAINER TERMINAL Spending (Rm) 2008/09 Spending Latest ETC Spending since inception Actual 4 142 1 372 1 009 Overview Ngqura Container Terminal is a Greenfield project with the objective of providing a full service container terminal together with rail links to the port. The scope is to develop a 4 berth container terminal and further extending the port infrastructure for a small craft basin, tugs, buildings and other landside infrastructure for the functioning of a container terminal. The project will provide TEUs/a capacity when complete. Current Status 30 hectares of paving have been completed behind the first 2 berths while work on the trailer park and admin buildings is progressing well. The terminal handled its first two vessels in September Transformers for Eskom and cargo handling equipment for Port Terminals were offloaded from these vessels. Investment Criteria Cost Time Quality Local Content Safety Risk 33

34 Spending since inception
MAJOR EXISTING PROJECTS TPL: NEW MULTI-PRODUCT PIPELINE Spending (Rm) 2008/09 Spending Latest ETC Spending since inception Actual 12 600 3 278 2 565 Overview The aim of this project is to build a 550 km new trunk line from Durban to Jameson Park (Gauteng), 24 inch in diameter, addressing the increased demand for fuel in Gauteng and surrounding areas. The trunk line will connect an inland and coastal terminal with significant storage capacity. The existing pipeline is 40 years old and needs replacing. With the front-end engineering design phase completed, Transnet was granted licence to construct the NMPP by NERSA. It also entails the replacement of two northern network pipelines that have outlived their sustainable life. Given the energy problem facing South Africa, the Board has granted unconditional approval to commence construction in February This project is considered a strategic project for the Company, and is of national importance.  Current Status In May 2008 a R3.3 Billion contract was awarded to Spiecapag Group 5, a South African French Consortium for the construction of the NMPP. Favorable Environmental Approvals for the project scope has also been received. Manufacturing for the 16” pipe commenced in April 2008 and all 105 000 tons of steel for the main 24” pipe has arrived in South Africa. As at end March 2009, the first 6 out of a total of 170 km of 16” pipe had been laid in the Kendall/Waltloo area. It is expected that the last phase of this project will be completed at the end of 2011. Investment Criteria Cost Time Quality Local Content Safety Risk

35 COMPETITIVE SUPPLIER DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME (CSDP)
551 1.0 COMPETITIVE SUPPLIER DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME (CSDP) The aim of the Transnet Competitive Supplier Development Programme (CSDP) is to localise Transnet supply chain to a reasonable level and to promote South Africa as an off-shore source of goods and services for Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM’s). This will secure source of supply, provide industrialisation opportunities for national businesses and reduce lead times Initially, the programme is being piloted over three years with rolling stock and port equipment purchases as its focus. The following is the progress to date: Company & Investment Programme Kalmar - R350 million port equipment and maintenance Kalmar has a previous NIPP obligation. They are first building a Cargotec (port handling equipment and freight solutions) training school. Their initial obligation for CSDP will be for free training hours and a discount rate per R10 million purchased Working with Kalmar on skills transfer to local organisations in respect of motor and engine maintenance EMD - R800 million :5 year parts deal EMD has already committed to the transfer of Intellectual Property to TRE in building a world class traction motor assembly line (EMD’s estimate of $15 million value) EMD - R800m contract “50 Like New” Locomotives Local assembly and engineering done by TRE and with transfer of skills, TRE now able to do substantially more of the total Loco’s build. Mitsui (VENUS /MARS) - Extension of the 19E contract - electric locomotive - by 35 vehicles – R600 million Original contract has NIPP obligations – Significant portion of assembly & engineering done locally. Mitsui will build a training facility to satisfy their NIPP obligations. We have also negotiated free training for TRE maintenance practitioners Current 100 Locomotive tender (first time CSDP was used in a tender) - Both companies are proposing approximately a R1 billion investment over several years Adjudication process currently underway. Locomotive steering Committee set up to ensure adequate governance 35

36 5-YEAR FUNDING REQUIREMENT PER 2009/10 CORPORATE PLAN
All numbers reflected as per Corporate Plan Budget Projections 2009/10 R million 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Cash flow from operating activities 10 572 11 696 13 169 14 474 16 941 Cash flow from investing activities (23 438) (21 137) (18 765) (14 140) (10 151) Capital investment (21 912) (19 442) (16 336) (13 331) (9 480) Capitalised borrowing cost (1 850) (1 854) (2 212) (663) (489) Other investing activities 324 159 (217) (146) (182) Net cash surplus / (shortfall)* (12 866) (9 441) (5 596) 334 6 790 * Excluding the redemption of current loans More than 50% of the funding requirements for the 2009/10 financial year has already been raised to date on the strength of Transnet’s balance sheet. 36

37 TRANSNET FUNDING SOURCES TO TAP INTO
The following funding sources have been initiated. The amounts are indicative & subject to market conditions Domestic bonds (TN17, TN23 and T27 Bonds)(±R6 bn) Currently tapping R1 bn per month and plan to launch at least 1 new bond & increase the size as liquidity increases ECA Supported Funding (R2 bn) 1st transaction with Finvera to be concluded by early April 2009. Development Finance Institutions (R4bn) JBIC loan agreement signed 26 March –first drawdown mid April 2009 approximately R2 bn and balance (R2bn) in line with project payment dates AfDB at due diligence stage expected to conclude end May 2009 Domestic Loans (R7 bn) Rand Bilateral loans from banks(8) and other financial institutions(2) International Bond (±R5 bn) Close to concluding documentation & update with year-end financials, if not implemented will replace with domestic bonds Other International Initiatives AFLAC Loan (±R1.5 bn) – legal documentation finalized - still negotiating pricing levels Commercial Paper Bi-weekly issues of CP varying between R500m and R750m – plan to replace maturities with bonds. Pipeline Financing Considering a ring-fenced financing structure to align with regulatory environment. Transnet has committed banking facilities in excess of R4 billion that can be utilised when required

38 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – 2008/09 Preliminary Results Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Strategic Priorities 2009/10 Conclusion 38

39 Mitigating plans are in place to manage the key risks
GROUP’S KEY RISKS (as at May 2009) Strategic residual risks heat map 1 Revenue/Volume Growth Non compliance with Safety and Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) Economic Regulation (Ports Regulator and National Energy Regulator of South Africa) Funding/Liquidity Risk Delivery of capital projects on time and within budgets and affordability thereof Asset Performance and Maintenance Regime Human Resources Capability to deliver on growth strategy Environmental Risks Input costs including: Energy (electricity), Fuel, Steel, Pricing & Supply Commodity & Concentration Risks (Third Party Supplier Risks) E D C B A 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 9 3 2 3 10 6 4 7 5 Likelihood Rating 8 4 5 6 7 Consequence Rating Priority I risk – Transnet Group CE and Board level Priority II risk - Operating Divisions’ CEOs Level Priority III risk - General Managers’ level Priority IV risk – Managers’ level Priority V risk – Employees’ level 8 9 10 Mitigating plans are in place to manage the key risks 39

40 IMPLEMENTED A DYNAMIC MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK WITHIN EPM OPERATING MODEL
Performance interactions Assessment and Rewards Strategy and Targets Track and monitoring Creating Realistic Budgets and plans EPM Dynamic Management Framework to actively assess performance and plan/reallocate resources to achieve goals Weekly Activity Reporting Focus on weekly trends volume trends, year end estimates and impact analysis on Group Revenue Dynamic Process Where we are? (measurement) Where we planned to be? (evaluation) Corrective measures (action) 80% 90% Monthly Performance Assessment Monthly assessment of performance, success of cost cutting and capex initiatives and updated year end estimates 95% 100% Quarterly Performance Assessment Quarterly workshop (Ext. Exco) on year-to-date results, year-end estimates and effectiveness of initiatives 105% Corporate Plan 40

41 2009/10 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY WEEKLY ACTIVITY REPORTING
8% 2009/10 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY WEEKLY ACTIVITY REPORTING Extract of Week 11 Report Week 11 Results – Key Commodities June 2009 Estimate Budget Actual Previous year Budget -9,5% 4,1% -17% +9% -3,6% 1.1% Current Estimate 1,35 1,41 1,37 1,24 0.83 66,644 0.69 61,102 7.39 1.0% 6,1 -1,0% 5,8 3.68 3.72 5.89 5.95 5,1 271 268 2.50 251 GFB (mt) Export Coal (mt)Export Coal (mt) Export Iron Ore (mt)Export Iron Ore (mt) Containers (TPT)Containers (TPT) -49% -34% -3% GFB (mt)GFB (mt) Export Coal (mt)Export Coal (mt) Export Iron Ore (mt)Export Iron Ore (mt) Containers (000 TEUs)Containers (000 TEUs) 872 166,613 369,753 358,376 447 109,400 Global Bulk Indicators Current Year Prior Year Liquid Bulk (TNPA) Break Bulk (TPT) Other Bulk (TPT) Analysis of Volume and Revenue Variance - Year end Estimate (2009/10) Size Revenue contribution to Group Iron Ore (TPT) Iron Ore (TNPA) Petroleum Iron Ore (TFR) Spot Price $/Tonne Coal Spot Price $/Tonne Iron Ore Baltic Dry Bulk Index $/Tonne Comments The Transnet weighted volume variance estimate for 2009/10 is negative 1.4% (estimated 2.5% negative for June 2009). Group revenue (all commodities) is estimated to be 4.7% below budget for the 2009/10 year, mainly due to limitation on petroleum tariff increases, container volumes and negative price mix, export coal volumes and other bulk commodities. The Group revenue variance for 2009/10 would only be 2.0% below budget if the impact of TPL’s tariff increases are excluded. Liquid Bulk GFB % Volume Variance Coal (TNPA) Coal (TFR) Containers Automotives Other Bulk TRANSNET STATUS Level 1 Negative 4.7% revenue variance, including TPL tariffs Gas Negative 2% revenue variance, excluding TPL tariffs -42% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% % Revenue Variance 41

42 CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION
Introduction Overview – 2008/09 Preliminary Results Changes in Economic Environment Transnet Strategy Regulatory Environment 2009/10 Corporate Plan Risks and Mitigating Plans Conclusion - Strategic Priorities 2009/10 42

43 CONCLUSION - 2009/10 STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
Volume and revenue opportunities Increasing export iron ore volumes by 11.6% above the budget to contractual levels (47.9mt compared to budget of 43mt); Increasing current throughput in domestic coal to at least achieve the budgeted volumes of 21.5mt; Containers on rail to increase by 10% above the current budget of TEUs to TEUs; To maintain at least the current trends in magnetite and cement volumes which are on average 70% and 20% in excess of budgets respectively. Whilst most divisions have made good progress on committing to cost savings initiatives, we have only managed to obtain plans to substantiate R1bn savings compared to the R1.4bn (level 1) required. It is essential that the cost structures must be reduced through efficiency improvement and elimination of non-revenue related costs. The Group minimum requirement remains R1.4bn reduction in costs and operating divisions will be measured monthly against these targets going forward. Cost savings Focusing on the execution of the capex plans with optimal phasing Committed to investing R80.5bn over the next 5 years Capital optimisation The objective is to reduce the number of incidents and the cost of losses by 33% from 2009/08 actual levels (approximately R200m reduction at Group level). Environmental compliance has been elevated as a key priority in Transnet and we agreed to perform the following at all main areas of operations: Review of maintenance and implementation of proper and structured maintenance programmes Getting housekeeping up to standard and comply with all environmental requirements To start with a compliance review/audit to identify areas of non-compliance/unsatisfactory standards Safety and environment We will drive to achieve “a world-class” (otherwise known as best-in-breed) operational performance in each key area of operations, in the near future. Accordingly, the KPI project will be driven hard this year with the focus on at least achieving the KPIs set out in the Corporate Plan Operational efficiencies 43

44 END OF PRESENTATION THANK YOU


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