1. Anticipating tomorrow’s world, today… …or, being ‘Future Ready’
Giles Perkins, Technical Director

2. Transport for the North’s Strategic Transport Plan
“Thinking to the future is a key part of TfN’s work and so the possible impacts of social, technological, economic, political and environmental change will be considered. The Strategic Transport Plan should seek to deliver a transport system that is user-centric, smart, autonomous and integrated, as well as resilient and sustainable. Given the uncertainties around the changing needs of the economy, the policy measures and transport interventions proposed must be flexible.”
Our strategy work in the East of England, home counties and in the North looking out to 2030, 2040 and beyond – top down approach to innovation and change – evidence led

3. “An epic struggle looms… it will transform daily life as profoundly as cars did in the 20th century: reinventing transport and reshaping cities…”
The Economist, September 2016
What is the trajectory to change, solving today’s challenges but anticipating a different future and being agile to it

4. Global trends and challenges
Demographic challenges: growing & ageing population, health, wellbeing & loneliness, net migration, urbanisation
Social change: rise of the ‘sharing’ economy, expectation of ‘immediacy’, customer centricity
Environmental focus: climate change, scarcity of resources, role of renewables
Economic shift: rise of the ‘gig’ economy, development of ‘new’ business models
Political landscape: devolution of decision making, globalisation and protectionism of markets
Global top level trends that will influence transport

5. ‘Transport’ disruptors
Digital connectivity: movement of data between people, other people, vehicles, assets and systems
Data, Artificial Intelligence: application of data-led, self- learning systems
Automation and robotics: replacement of human tasks with technology
Propulsion and energy: decarbonisation of energy consumption
Collaborative consumption: sharing of services and assets vs. ownership
Trends that influence transport, accessibility and connectivity

6. People, places and activities
Individuals and businesses accessing opportunities and needs
Social interactions
Employment opportunities
Educational attainment
Healthcare needs
Leisure and tourism
Goods and services
Raw materials, crops and products
Fundamental economic activities
But it’s all about the economy – every city, towns, communities – urban and rural

7. Achieving meaningful ‘future’ outcomes
Customer / user centric experience
Seamless access and connectivity
Balancing choice, demand and supply
Improving efficiency of assets and services
Reducing congestion and pollution
Maximising capacity, improving reliability and resilience
Improving safety and security
Facilitating sustainable development
Enabling economic growth
Not change for change’s sake, not technology for technologies sake – meaningful change

8. Being agile and ‘Future Ready’
Why think about change?
What might change, and when, realistically?
What do we really need to be worried about?
How applicable and what are the risks?
How can we improve our services and networks?
Investment programmes?
Business cases?
Revenue requirements?
Operational regimes?
Horizon scanning to influence decisions // capitalising on opportunities // Sharing knowledge // Building partnerships // shaping and influencing

9. Thank you Giles Perkins, Technical Director