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Potential Investment Opportunities (M&A)*-
Update – August 2012 Potential Investment Opportunities (M&A)*- Strategic Priorities *Broadly defined to include multiple forms of deal structure (e.g. partnerships, joint venture, outright acquisition, equity stake, etc.)
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Agenda I: Update on meetings to date Status
Fit (go, no go, priority, etc.) Next steps, if any II: Align on meetings going forward Targets Strategies Attendees Timing III: Objective and priorities (e.g. VMS & packaging) largely remain the same See Exhibit 1
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Exhibit 1 I: Our Objective: Establish proactive approach to high priority investment opportunities Develop actionable strategies Identify new growth opportunities Maximize value at exit II: Establish priorities (set a “call list”) Proactively pursue targets Develop relationship with potential candidates “Get on the radar” III: Criteria Size (Target $ equity investment and smaller platform/role-up opportunities with high potential to achieve minimum size criteria within three years) Categories Channels/Geographies Branded and Private Label Capitalize on Key Trends
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Target Opportunities Play Across CPG & Healthcare (synergistics)
Food & Beverage Healthcare Personal Care/ Household Products [Natural/Organic – add onto existing platform] Natural Personal Care Nutritional Supplements (e.g. whey protein) Ingredient Flavoring Houses Copackers Functional Foods Pharmacy/OTC Ingredient/Aroma/ Flavoring Houses
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Opportunity Identification
Category Level Analysis e.g. Nielsen, Willard Bishop, Euromonitor, category review Develop category profiles Size, growth, profitability, segmentation, competitive set Specific and distinctive capabilities and likely sources of value creation Growth drives, strategies, international trends Investment Proposition Identify Key Categories Fundamentals, competitive landscape, entry vehicles, sources of value creation Develop Investment Proposition Strategy, preliminary rationale, key assumptions, proactively identify pursued targets
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Develop Actionable Strategies
Essence of strategy….guides choice and execution Internal Analysis External Analysis Strategic Alternatives Investment Choice
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Develop Actionable Strategies: External Analysis
Markets Which markets are attractive? Consumers How are consumers changing? What trends create the greatest opportunities and challenges to your business? Customers How will customers evolve over time? How will that affect our business? Competition Who is our competition? What are their strengths? How are they positioned for the future? Costs How will our business costs change? What are the greatest threats and challenges to our business? Context How will our business climate change? Any expected changes in government regulation, media, etc?
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Develop Actionable Strategies: Internal Analysis
Assets What assets do we have? What are most strategic or important to our success? (Experience – [$13 bn] of equity invested in over 100 companies since 1974) Capabilities What capabilities do we have? Which are most strategic or most important to our success? (Generated superior returns for our investors and operating partners) Competitive Advantage How do we uniquely combine those assets and capabilities to create competitive advantage? How sustainable is that advantage? Economic Model How do we generate profit? (Through growth in enterprise value rather than simply reducing leverage) Sales/Marketing How will target go to market with their “branded”/private label products? How will that change over time? Replace second person words with first person “youwe”
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Develop Actionable Strategies
Identification of Strategic Growth Platforms Define the Opportunity Set Vision Attractive Quantitative Characteristics Attractive Secondary Characteristics Strategic Assessment Strong Fit with Capabilities Actionables Growth Platforms Growth Platforms External Analysis Internal Assessment Key Issues/Risks/ Opportunities Growth Strategy
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Key Trends Impacting CPG & Health
Global and US Trends US Market Implications Aging Longevity drives aging, health & wellness Shifting of Wealth Emerging global affluence US affluent population growing US middle class shrinking Obesity Expanding across globe Consumers investing in solutions Globalization Decreasing migration Digital technology Environmental concerns Markets exploding offering health and wellness benefits Consumers looking for: American products Added convenience Value propositions Consumers of all types looking for weight management solutions Growing diversity in population Consumers’ palette broadening to new product varieties Sustainability and simplicity as big opportunities Health & Wellness Convenience Private Label Changing Demographic Aging Population
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Trends: Health Aging Population Obesity “60 is the new 50”
Active aging Forever young 77 million baby boomers ( ) begin turning 65 By 2015 boomers will own 60% of US wealth and 40% of spending Obesity Medicare spends 34% more on obese seniors than healthy ones Global issue WHO projects 1 billion overweight, 300 million obese Obesity concerns: Heart health, Type II diabetes, weight management
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Trends: Convenience In-home eating occasions in decline
Smaller households Dashboard Dining “is in” Cooking from scratch is becoming a lost art Active lifestyles increasing; increases “on the go” eating Mom wants to feel good about the food offering Channels of distribution – consumers aren’t shopping more but are shopping at more places Millenials (80 million consumers have strong preference for convenience) Digital marketing Social media Innovation Health
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Trends: Private Label Gaining share
Improved quality & packaging Better acceptance Often at parody with branded in consumer tests Increasing sophistication (e.g. functional, ethnic & organic fair trade options) Bringing innovation Value added Opening price points to premium Greater percent of market share gains likely to stick (85-90% of consumers who traded down will continue to purchase private labels even after the recession)
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Trends: Changing Demographics
Growing diversity in US population 1 in 4 babies born in the US are Hispanic Hispanic population estimated at 133 million by 2050 (with $1.5 trillion in spending power) Distinct tastes and food preferences Searching for authenticity Consumers palette broadening to new product varieties, textures, and flavors McDonalds does 40% of its business with ethnic minorities Mass marketing is less effective Impact of social media
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15 Most Attractive Categories/Growth Platforms - Category Summary
Financial Characteristics U.S. Sales ($MM) Sales Growth (03-07 CAGR) Unit Pricing Estimated EBIT % on Deal $ % Consumer/Channel Dynamics Consumer (U.S.) Penetration +/- LY Buy Rate Channels (U.S.) Grocery Supercenters Alternative Channels Consumer Target Index (U.S,) Young Transitionals (Singles) Start Up Families Established Couples - Competitive Dynamics (U.S.) Top 3 Shares (ex PL) Private Label Share Brand (Company) Size $ % +/-LY Trends Health and Wellness Convenience Private Label Changing Demographic Fit with Strategies/Capabilities (As Platform Is Established) Product Innovation Margin Expansion Geographic Expansion Channel Expansion Consumer Brand Building Manufacturing & Distribution Sales Summary Strong growth On trend with health, convenience, etc. Over-indexed with young singles etc. Key Challenge: e.g. Distribution and increased awareness Strategic Options Company: Company Sales: Rationale: 1: Market Position 2: Strong Growth Target: XYZ Company Sales: $ 1: Strong Growth 2: Innovation Positive Ambivalent Negative 15
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Health & Wellness Offers significant opportunity across vertical
Food & Beverage Personal Care Household Products etc. Healthcare Large and growing category (e.g. U.S. nutrition > $100bn category) On trend Aging Population (e.g. echo boomers) Preventive Healthcare Desire for Active Lifestyles Obesity Epidemic Rising Healthcare Costs Consumer Awareness (“Green”)
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“Better for You” Snacking**
Large and Growing On Trend (Health & Wellness Convenience) Attractive Margins Branded & Store Brands $69† billion global category. 1 **all temp states † less likely opportunity (Greek Style over priced, PepsiCo/Miller joint venture, excess capacity, pricing?/margin structure) 1 Nutritional as opposed to performance
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“Better for You” Snacking** Potential Targets
Snack Bars* Refrigerated Yogurt/Dips/Spreads Trail Mix/Grain Snacks think † † † LOGOS † † † *Separate from performance bars. **All-temp states. †Platform opportunity
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Example: Healthy Snacking Platform
Acquire Midsize Player Roll Up 3-5 Smaller Players Grow US Business Expand Outside US Variety Packs Frozen Treats Smoothies Innovation Expand Channels Create New Snacking Platform New Markets VMG Snack Portfolio
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Qualitative Strategic Leverage Points
Extendability into other categories, temperature states Marketing mix allocation Distribution efficiency (e.g. multipack) Supermarket relationships – Alternative channel capability (single serve) Productivity: High performance manufacturing work systems and cost disciplines (e.g. economies of scale bring synergies) Sales force via Acosta Reverse synergies – food service, industrial
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Consider Acquiring a Flagship Weight Management Brand
On-Trend Two-Thirds of U.S. Population Overweight (One-Third of Those Obese) – Leads to Other Disease States/ Opportunities (e.g. Heart Health, Type II Diabetes) Attractive Margins Access to Established Brands, Distribution, and Technology Access to Readily Available Innovation (Omega 3, Digestive Health, etc.)
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Weight Management: Potential Targets
† † † Platform Play
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Spices, Seasonings, Flavoring, Aroma Houses Roll Up
Growing market opportunity that plays to big trends & CPG Changing demographics Aging population Health Consumers looking for diversity in flavors, intensity of seasoning. World cuisine is a growing category. Unlocking health, convenience & portability is “the trifecta” in CPG Potential Targets:
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Health: “Better For You”
VMS (See Exhibit II) Dietary Nutrition HPC & Personal Care Other † † †Platform Opportunity
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Supplement Industry Drivers (Exhibit II)
Aging Population Proportion of population 65+ years old projected to increase from 16% in 2000 to 22.5% in 2020 – senior citizens are largest base of supplement users Rising Healthcare Costs Increases in per capita healthcare spending have far outpaced GDP and personal income, growing at 9% CAGR since 1970; more proactive and preventative practices being adopted to help combat rising costs Lack/Risk of Pharmaceutical Solutions Frequency of drug recalls and awareness of negative side effects of pharmaceutical products pushing consumers to seek alternative/natural solutions Obesity Epidemic 2/3 of population is overweight and 1/3 is deemed clinically obese; growing prevalence/risks of chronic disease among general population increases demand for dietary and condition-specific products Focus on Fitness Gym memberships have more that doubled since 1987 – consumers increasingly seek to enhance both health and vanity effects of exercise Consumer Awareness & Education More proactive and knowledgeable average consumer – 85% of Americans believe supplements provide a health benefit with 55% actively seeking health information
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U.S. Nutrition Industry Overview
Strengths Strong macro-industry growth prospects due to compelling demographic, lifestyle and healthcare trends Rapidly growing condition-specific supplement categories – cardio, digestive care, anti-aging, pre-workout Increasing scientific support as to benefits of supplementation and, especially, specific categories such as probiotics, calcium, protein, omega-3 and Vitamin D Increased regulatory attention is driving unsafe and poor quality companies out of the industry DTC/Internet is fastest growing channel in the industry and is still in early stage of development Highly fragmented industry ripe for consolidation with few platforms capable of serial acquisitions Ability to leverage a high-quality product base to reach multiple consumer segments across multiple channels $26.9 billion market (2009) Source: Euromonitor
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Global Cuisine Portfolio
Large and Growing On-Trend (e.g. Mexican population growth, aging population, “World Cuisine” trend) Attractive Margins Channels/Temp States/Meal Occasions Targets: Authentic Mexican Thai Indian Includes all temperature states, prepared foods, ready-to-eat foods, frozen appetizers, hors d’oeuvres, hot snacks, and alternative channels of distribution.
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Global Cuisine Potential Target
Hispanic Indian Asian
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Condiments (Plays changing demographics, convenience meals, savory snacks, H&W)
Roll up opportunity exists with the right operating and tax structure Individual, standalone platforms exist via divestiture from large cap companies Strategic growth opportunities exist beyond today’s offering (e.g. licenses, channels, demographics, packaging)
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Convenient Meals Large and Growing On-Trend Attractive Margins
Multiple Temp States Plays Branded and Private Access to Label Access to 3rd Party Innovation Includes all temperature states, frozen appetizers, hors d’oeuvres, hot snacks, and alternative channels of distribution.
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Convenience Meals Potential Target
Refrigerated Deli Meals/Sides Hot Snacks Other Pineridge Baskets
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Convenience Meals Add on Targets Grow US Leverage Expand Outside US
Enabling Acquisition Add on Targets Grow US Leverage Expand Outside US Innovation Single-serve for alternate channels Multi-Serve Meals/Snacks at Retail Marketing & Advertising Alternative meal occasions Health North American Platform Central Europe Barilla Rana Additional multiple acquired targets exist outside U.S.
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CPG Opportunities (Broadly Defined)
Acco Brands/Esselte/Whalen Breville Bushnell Choice Hotels International The Colomer Group Coppertone Dr. Scholl’s (Schering-Plough) Estee Lauder Helen of Troy Henkel Herbalife Hunter Indulgence: Ice Cream/Ice Cream Novelty: Wells Dairy/Deans/Blue Bell/Interstate Bakeries Knowlton Development Libbey/Oneida/Hoffmeister Newell Rubbermaid Nuskin Perrigo Prestige Brands Recreational Arctic Cat Brunswick Polaris Sealy Select Comfort Snap-On Spectrum Brands Sun Products/Church & Dwight (detergents) Targus USANA World Kitchens
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Other Fats & Oils/Food Ingredients CHS (Ventura Foods/Mitsui JV)
ACH/Stratus JV Penford Distributors/Suppliers KeHe Wholesalers Victory Wholesalers Dawn Products Beverage Arizona Dr. Pepper/Snapple National Beverage Teavana
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Large Company Divestitures (Focus to Date Largely Food and Beverage)
ABF (ACH & Stratus JV) Baxter International Con Agra: Portfolio rollup (Chef Boyardee, La Choy, Libbey’s, Manwich); Snacks (David’s Seeds, Slim Jim, Orville Redenbacher, Act II, Crunch ‘N’ Munch, Jiffy Pop, etc.) Corn Products Fortune Brands/Beam Hormel (Ethnic Brands) Kellogg’s (Eggo, Morning Star Farms) Kimberly Clark (Healthcare products) Kraft (Planter’s, bev) Mars (Uncle Ben’s, Seeds of Change) Nestle (Buitoni, Maggi) PepsiCo P&G (Iam’s, Salon Care) Unilever (Slimfast, Skippy, Wishbone, Ragu)
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Recommended Opportunities
Category Potential Targets Highest Priority “Better for You” Snacking Hearthside, VMG snacks portfolio, Network Path, Good Sense Second Priority The recommended opportunities are a mix of near-in and further-out initiatives.
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Recommended Opportunities
Category Potential Targets Highest Priority Second Priority The recommended opportunities are a mix of near-in and further-out initiatives.
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Summary High potential exists for M&A in our CPG/Healthcare vertical
Networking has opened a lot of doors: Platform opportunities Add on opportunities Getting “On the Radar” of the larger players Alternative deal structures will open additional opportunities (e.g. Partnerships with Cargill, Schwan’s, Con Agra, Church & Dwight, for instance) Strategies appear on target Our initial meeting, plus meetings to date, have helped provide more focus (e.g. VMS, highly fragmented with small players, ice cream, ex novelty, packaging…)
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Meetings Have Occurred…
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Platform Opportunity within Existing Strategic Platform
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Amy’s Frozen Foods Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
Natural and Organic Frozen and Shelf Stable Meals Berliner’s (Mom; Rachel; Dad; Andy; Daughter Amy) Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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ACH & Stratus Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
50-50 JV in fats and oils Branded Foods Fats and Oils Joint Venture CEO: Richard Rankin, Jack Straton Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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Brunswick Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Marine, Fitness, Bowling, and Billiards SVP, CFO Peter Hamilton Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
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Baxter International Medical Products & Services Treasurer: Steve Meyer Chief Counsel: Pat Fitzsimmon Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform
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Carolina Beverage Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Contract packer for bev. Water Beer Distilled spirits Monster beverage Queso for FL Co-President Cliff Ritche Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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Cargill Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Agri / Sweeteners / Packaging Pat Bowe – Corporate Vice President (Potential Partnership) Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
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Church and Dwight Household Personal Care Products (Arm & Hammer, Trojan, First Response, Nair, OxiClean, etc.) Specialty Products (industrial, institutional, medical, food, etc.) Bryan Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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Choice Hotels Int’l Hotels/Lodging: Comfort Inn, Cambria Suites, Econolodge, etc. President and CEO Stephen Joyce Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform
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Clorox Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
Condiments – KC Masterpiece, Hidden Valley Ranch Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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CHS (Ventura Foods) Agri grain foods (fats, oils, Mari’s Dressings)
J.V. w/ Matsui Energy 1.5bn (Rev), .1bn (EBITDA) EVP, COO – Jay Debertin, Mark Palmquist
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Corn Products Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Value Added Ingredient Solutions Food & Bev (sweeteners & starches) H&W, Personal Care, Biomaterials, Pharma, Industrial, Animal Nutrition Cheryl Beebe – EVP & CFO Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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ConAgra Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
CEO – Gary Rodkin (former General Mills) Potential Partnership / divestitures Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform
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Dr. Pepper Snapple Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
President & Chief Executive Larry Young Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform
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Diamond Foods Snacking – shelf stable – platform
Nuts – Emerald Diamond Retail & Culinary Microwave Popcorn – Pop Secret Chips – Kettle Chips, Pringles CEO – Matt Yost SVP, CFO – Rick Wolfort
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East Balt Bakery Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Primary bakery supplier to McDonald’s EVP, CFO – Edward Gin Has been sold Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform
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DSM (Martek) Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Life and sciences Animal nutrition Crop protection Food, bev. & dietary suppleis Personal care/cos. Auto Building Construction Paint Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Platform Opportunity Within Existing Strategic Platform
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Fortune Brands Home & Security
Beam – CEO – Matt Shattock Beam – CFO – Bob Probst Fortune – CEO – Chris Klein Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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Group LeDuff Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested
Baked Goods – food svc. QSR’s (Del Arte, Brioche Doree, Bridor, La Madeline, Bruegger’s…) Louis LeDuff – Founder (owner) Claude Bergeron – CEO, North America TSG looking at $30-50 investment Follow Up Meeting Availability/Suggested Add on Opportunity to Strategic Platform
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