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Option Strategies and Greeks

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Presentation on theme: "Option Strategies and Greeks"— Presentation transcript:

1 Option Strategies and Greeks
Diving deeper into the rabbit hole

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3 Naked vs. Covered

4 Advantages

5 Black Scholes Formula

6 1st Greek Delta Think ‘directional’ when visualizing delta
Larger the delta, the more money you make or lose when the underlying moves $1 Positive Delta Negative Delta 1st Greek

7 2nd Greek Gamma Option prices do not move in an up or down line
Gamma is an acceleration measurement 2nd Greek

8 Theta Time is always working against you when trading options Picture of flowing stream and a fish either choosing to swim against the current or with the current Positive Theta means you will be making money as time passes Time decay is based on the number of days left in the contract 3rd Greek

9 Vega Vega is an estimate of how much the theoretical value of an option changes when volatility changes 1% Higher volatility = higher option premium Implied volatility is a perception Forward looking 4th Greek

10 Higher interest rates typically result in higher call premiums
Due to present value of the strike price Higher interest rates correspond to lower present values Recall the interest rate to present value inverse relationship Other Greek: Rho

11 Implied Volatility

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14 Vertical Spread Two options
A short option (above the long) A long option (below the short) Both options have the same expiration date and quantity One option makes money, while the other losses Offsetting in theory but not equally Vertical Spread

15 PE Ratio Over or Undervalued?

16 What is the P/E Ratio? Its simple, Price over Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Stock A is currently trading at $43 per share and has an EPS of $1.95 43/1.95= 22.05 You must compare this ratio to other companies within the same sector Tech Sector tends to have high PE Ratios and Utilities tend to have low PE Ratios The average PE of the S&P 500 is 18 What is the P/E Ratio?

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18 Lets Compare… Tech Sector Average PE Ratio: 17
HP PE Ratio: 7.72 Apple PE Ratio: 13.66 Google PE Ratio: 28.64 Adobe PE Ratio: 54.85 Lets Compare… Tech Sector Average PE Ratio: 17

19 Stocks with high PE Ratios relative to their sector indicate high expectations for company growth
These companies are high growth companies that trade at high prices relative to current earnings, because investors expect their earnings to grow substantially in the future. The downfall is that they also serve as a warning that a stock may be over priced... Where are these growth expectations coming from? Stocks with low PE Ratios relative to their sector indicate that the company may be undervalued or is doing extremely well in comparison to past performance and other firms. These tend to be more established mature firms that are no longer experiencing intense growth… or on the other side, they can be small firms where their future is vague What does it mean?

20 Which PE Ratio will you choose?
Trailing: Based upon earnings in the most recent four quarters Current: Based upon earnings in the most recent financial year Forward: Based upon expected earnings in the next financial year Which PE Ratio will you choose?

21 Dig deeper than the surface Don’t take things as they appear In other words… Stop and think!

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23 If high PE Ratios indicate expectations for growth & with growth comes risk, why do low PE Ratios historically have higher returns?

24 Are things really as they seem?
Remember, the PE ratio indicates what an investor is willing to pay for a firms earnings… An investor requires compensation for taking on risk Are things really as they seem?

25 Companies A & B are in the same industry, their industry has an average PE of 27
If Company A is currently trading at $40 and has an EPS of $1, that gives it a PE Ratio of $40 Company B is currently trading at $20 and has an EPS of $1, that gives it PE Ratio of $20 This would seem like the better choice… think again Company A can grow earrings and revenue faster with a PE of 40 than a company with a PE of 20… thus commanding a higher price to pay Company A MAY have reliable estimates on future growth and B’s growth MAY be questionable. Think About It…

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