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Making Sense of a topsy-turvy world

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1 Making Sense of a topsy-turvy world
Economic Update Radisson, Sydney 27 August 2015 Making Sense of a topsy-turvy world 2016 & Beyond Phil Ruthven Founder & Director WHERE KNOWLEDGE IS POWER 1

2 Topics Our Business Environment Some Influential Environments
Some Operating Environments Outlook For Industries Profitability Patterns Keys To Success

3 1. Our Business Environment

4 The Environment for our Business
WORLD NATIONAL RESOURCES E C O N O M Y 4 Influential Environments LABOUR GOODS GOVERNMENT MARKETPLACE ANZSIC / SIC / NAICS CLASS OUR INDUSTRY FINANCE Our Business DEVELOPED NATURAL 6 Operating Environments (Cash flow, P&L) Trainer’s Instruction: Go through slide, notes below: Everyone in business operates in a company, and each company is able to organize and control many factors influencing its operations. However, companies are influenced by factors, and some of these are beyond a manager’s direct control. Successful firms interpret the factors that can be managed, hedge against the risks that can’t be controlled and exploit external trends that open new markets. The all-encompassing “environment” in which a company operates is in fact ‘the industry’. Managers must understand their industry to be successful (e.g. competitors, barriers to entry, industry life cycle and factors such as regulation and taxation). The most successful companies emulate (or surpass) world’s best practice benchmarks to ensure a competitive edge in the marketplace – taking advantage of the factors they can control. Operating Environments: These can be a source of revenue or a cost center. The generation of positive cash flow or profit depends on how a firm relates or reacts to the operating environments. Influential Environment: These do not directly affect revenue, costs or profits, but impinge on results via the operating environments (e.g. weather, war, world prices, demographics). SERVICES © IBISWorld

5 So, how much do you need to know or worry about . . .
The Influential Environments (4) 1. The world environment, growth, regions, nations, demography etc. ? 2. The resources environment, developed/natural (incl. ecological) ? 3. Our community, its changing demography, lifestyles and spending ? 4. The economic environment, the “business weather” conditions ? The Operating Environments (6) 5. The market, local and global 6. The government environment, laws, taxes, policies, incentives ? 7. The finance market, equity, debt, exchange/interest rates, treasury ? 8. The services market, to outsource none-core activities and functions ? 9. The labour market, for executives, employees and customers ? 10. The purchases market, raw materials, semi-/finished goods, prices ? The Immediate Environment Your industry, WBP, size, growth & disposition, competitors etc. ? Your Own Business Its IP, financials, sales, operations, TQC, productivity, R&D, HR etc. ?

6 2. Some Influential Environments

7 The World Environment (Global perspective)

8 World GDP Growth Real growth (PPP), 1950-2016 (F)
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms % % % 2.8% (F) growth in US$ market terms * The world decline in 2009 was -2.0% when measured in $US market price terms IMF/OECD/Economist//IBISWorld: 12/06/15

9 World’s 30 Largest Economies 2015 (E)
Poland 0.9% Argentina 0.9% Thailand 0.8% Thailands 0.8% Netherlands 0.8% S. Africa 0.7% Pakisthan 0.6% Egypt 0.6% Malaysia 0.6% Colombia 0.6% Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms Rest of World (200 nations) 15.0% th Nations 7.0% 19.0% USA 11th – 20th Nations % Mexico 16.9% China France Russia UK Brazil India 2.1% Germany Japan 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 5.9% 5.2% Italy 2.1% S. Korea 1.9% Canada 1.7% Spain 1.6% Indonesia 1.5% Turkey 1.4% Australia 1.1% 17th Iran 1.1% Saudi Arabia 1.1% Taiwan 1.1% World’s 230 nations US$ 97 trillion IMF/IBISWorld 05/01/15

10 Economic Growth: 2016(F) 20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking)
World Growth 2016 (F), 2.8% Economist/IBISWorld 24/08/15

11 Asia Growth 2015 (E) Major Asia Pacific and Indian S-C nations (ppp ranking)
Mega-Regions Growth Asia % World (8 regions) % M.E & Africa % Americas % Europe % Growth % (GDP) IMF/IBISWorld: 12/07/15

12 The Community Environment (generational differences, incomes, spending and wealth)

13 Our many Generations In 2015
Older Civics (91+ years) 0.8% Silents 73-90 years Gen Zers (<14 years) Baby Boomers 50-72 years “old fashioneds” 7.2% 17.8% 26.0% “the thoughtfuls” Net Generation (Y) 14-33 years “spoilt generation!” 26.5% 21.7% Generation X 34—49 years “free-rangers” “quiet achievers” Most powerful generations Generational Types Civics Adaptives Idealists Reactives Australia 24 million persons (F2015) IBISWorld 08/05/15

14 Household Income $ 1407 billion ($ 154,600/household)
By Source (% of total basis) Year to March 2015 Non-life insurance receipts( 2.4%) Transfers (3.0%), Workers compensation (0.8%), (imputed and non-cash) Dwelling ownership 6.9% Other 6.3% Invest. Income 13.7% 54.3% Wages Mixed Income 9.5% Welfare 9.3% Unincorporated enterprises sole traders, partnerships (wages & profits combined) $ 1407 billion ($ 154,600/household) Source: IBISWorld 07/07/15

15 Australian Household Expenditure Year to March 2015
Depreciation % Dwell/Propty Interest % Consumer Debt Int % Unincorp. Interest % Transfers % H’Hold durables 2.7% Motor vehicles % Other % Taxes (& social contributions) Savings 6.3% Capital Related 4.7% Durables 14.3% 12.7% Fin. & Ins. Serv. 7.9% 16.4% Non-durables Rent % Health Hospitality Other Services Education Mobility 6.4% (& other dwelling costs) 4.1% 2.9% Entertainment (Gambling 3.3%) 2.6% 4.4% 3.5% Communicns. 1.5% Fares 2.0% Food % Alc.& Tobacco 2.3% Clothing % Utilities 1.6% Veh. Operation 3.1% Other % Notes: 1 includes imputed rent (home ownership) million in F2015 (ABS) Reduces to $140,625 without imputed rent $ 1407 billion ($ per household2) Source: ABS5206/IBISWorld 08/06/15

16 Australian Households Net Worth1 June 2014
$ 7864 billion ($ 845,600 /household) Including Unfunded superannuation Super. & Life Housing (owner-occupied) 27.8% 34.6% Shares 7.9% Including Securities & Loans 10.9% Deposits 9.7% (& currency) Housing (investment) 3.1% Other Prop. Other 2.2% Durables 3.8% Equipt. 2.2% 1 Net worth is after deducting the following liabilities Housing mortgage Other pers. loans Unincorp. bus. loans Equipment, IP, Inventories H’hold durables, collectables Commercial & Rural Sources: Reserve Bank Statistical Tables B20; ABS , 24/11/14

17 House & Flat Prices Across Australia Median F2015(June quarter)
Apartments/Flats Houses Average of nation’s 9.6 million dwellings (incl. non-capitals) $595,000,000 in June 2015 Price $‘000 Source:: Domain/ IBISWorld 23/07/15

18 Sydney Residential Prices ABS Index to March 2015
Years, ended June Source: IBISWorld:

19 The Economic Environment (The business weather conditions)

20 Australia’s Economic Growth Annual real GDP growth (%) progressed in quarters to March (and forecast to December 2018) 3.5% pa (52 years) 3.2% pa (since 1987) Years, ended June Source: IBISWorld: 07/07/15

21 The Australian Marketplace Year to March 2015
Exports 17% Consumption Expenditure 62% Capital Expenditure 21% Exports of Goods & Services Government CapEx 3.7% 16.6% Household Consumption 46.7% Dwellings 5.6% Bus. CapEx % Consumption1 5.8% 9.0% Consumption1 Nat. Govt. State & Local Government 1 Mainly on behalf of household 2 Incl. inventory change Gross National Turnover of Goods & Services $1.94 trillion (current prices) Source: ABS/IBISWorld 08/06/15

22 Consumption Expenditure Growth 4 qtr moving average to March 2015
3.7% pa (52 years) 3.0% pa (since 1987) Recessions do not occur from collapsing consumption expenditure (mainly households), but from capital expenditure which does go severely negative every 8.5 years. Source: ABS B 04/06/15

23 Exports of Goods & Services Growth 4 qtr moving average to March 2015
5.4% pa (52 years) 5.6% pa (since 1987) Year, ended June Source: ABS: /06/15

24 Capital Expenditure Growth 4 qtr moving average to March 2015
4.6% pa (52 years) 5.3% pa (since 1987) Recessions occur when GFCE falls more than 8% Years, ended June Source: ABS B 04/06/15

25 3. Some Operating Environments (where money is exchanged)

26 The Finance Environment (interest costs, dividends)

27 Indicator Lending Rates Australia F1975 -2015
Credit Cards Overdraft (small business, variable) Interest Rate (%) Mortgage (standard bank) Year, ended June Source: IBISWorld/Reserve Bank

28 Indicator Lending Rate Maximum Overdraft Rate 1863-2015
Prima facie’ 50 year cycles IBISWorld 08/07/15

29 Exchange Rate - $US To $A Monthly average, to August 2015
For the $A to rise in value against the $US (after the current collapse) as per the upward tunnel would require much higher inflation in the USA as the aftermath of the extraordinary quantitative easing (QE) of the past 5-6 years and a substantive recovery in mineral prices. Less likely. If neither occur, the mid-value/average of the $A could be around $US 0.87 over the next decade. August $US 0.72 Source: Reserve Bank of Australia/IBISWorld forecasts 08/07/15

30 The Government Environment (our taxes on value added, wages and profits)

31 Ethics & Honesty Ranking
Respected OK Borderline ! Untrustworthy Dodgy/ dishonest The pollies and unions Source: Roy Morgan 2014

32 Government Initiatives: are they being addressed? (Yes/No)
1. Balanced budgets, the first rule of good government No 2. Tax reform that includes GST and shifts taxes to spending Yes/No 3. IR reform that understands work and workers in the New Age No 4. Innovation, IP and productivity; and how to get them No 5. Fully embrace the digital era for international competitiveness No 6. Long range vision, especially our role in the Asia Pacific region Yes/No 7. Reduce subsidies going to yesterday’s industries that won’t survive Yes 8. Privatization of low-productivity government activities Yes/No 9. Rational energy policy that includes carbon, nuclear power No 10. Developing the top part of our continent (especially top ⅓) Yes/No

33 Taxation In The Major Economies % of GDP basis 2014
“Nanny state” risk? OECD average Average Developed economies Developing economies Total taxation & other revenue as a share of GDP Source: IBISWorld 04/05/15

34 The Labour Environment (wages & supplements)

35 Source: ABS 6203-D IBISWorld 27/07/15
Employment By Industry Sectors Australia June Share of Total Employment Primary Sector (4%) Secondary Sector (18%) Quinary Sector (26%) Personal & Other Services Cult. & Recn. Services Agriculture Mining Utilities 1.2% 1.9% 4.1% 2.5% 1.9% Health & Comm. Services 7.8% Manufacturing 8.8% Construction Hospitality % 12.6% 3.4% Wholesaling Education 7.8% 10.4% Retailing Govt. Admin 6.3% Adm & Support Serv 5.2% Transport Professional & Tech. Services Finance & Ins. 3.5% 8.7% 3.3% Tertiary Sector(19%) Quaternary Sector (34%) Media & Communications 11.8 million employed Source: ABS 6203-D IBISWorld 27/07/15

36 Sources: ABS. IBISWorld, 12/07/15
Australia’s New & Lost Jobs By Industry Year to June Share of total basis 3 times more jobs have been created than lost Construction 4.7% Manufacturing Arts & recreation Services 9.7% 1.9% 2.8% W’Sale 7.3% Transport & Postal Health 25.1% Agriculture 21.3% Rental & Real Estate 12.4% Prof. & Tech Services 23.6% Mining 24.9% Fin. & Ins 9.3% Housing (investment) Retailing 13.5% Hospitality 13.9% Education 36% 4.3% Admin/Support 3.5% Pub. Admin 2.4% 2.2% Utilities Manufacturing Net new jobs 255,600 New jobs 390,000 Lost jobs 134,400 Sources: ABS. IBISWorld, 12/07/15

37 4.8% Admin & Support Services
Australia’s New & Lost Jobs By Industry 5 years to June Share of total basis Personal/ Other Services 3.2% Utilities 0.3% The nation created nearly 8 times more new jobs than it lost Mining 5.0% 0.8% Finance &Insur 1.7% Rental/Real Est Arts & Recreation 3.4% 4.7% Construction 4.2% Retail 2.3% Transport/Postal Info media/ telcos 8.7% Health 26.9% Wholesalng % 19.2% Prof. & Tech Services Agriculture 47.0% Housing (investment) Manufacturing 37.7% Hospitality 8.1% 4.8% Admin & Support Services Education 10.5% 4.9% Govt./Safety Lost jobs 128,200 Net new jobs 870,400 New jobs 998,600 Sources: ABS. IBISWorld, 12/07/15

38 Full Time Adult Wages Growth in nominal wages, % per annum, to June 2014
Source: ABS6302.0

39 4. Outlook For Industries

40 Australia’s Industry Mix Shares of GDP, in F2013 price terms Year to March 2015
Pers. & Other Serv. Cult & Rec. Serv. 0.8% Agriculture 2.3% Hospitality Mining 8.6% Utilities % Health 6.5% 1.8% Education 4.6% 6.2% Manufacturing Ind. Taxes1 6.5% 7.8% Construction Govt. Adm. 5.3% 2.8% 3.9% W’Saling Prof. & Tech Serv 6.0% 4.5% Retailing O’Ship Dwells. 8.4% 8.6% 4.6% Transport Finance & Insurance Includes postal, warehousing 2.9% Admin. & Support Services Rental, Hiring & Real Estate Info Media & Communications Sectors Primary Secondary Tertiary Quaternary Quinary GDP $1587 billion Note 1: Less subsidies, but ncludes stat. discrepancy (0.2%) ABS IBISWorld 08/06/15

41 Australian Industries Growth 5 years Growth to March 2015 (IGP @ F2012 prices), % p.a
Percent Source: IBISWorld 08/06/15

42 Australian Industries Growth Forecast (% pa), 5 years to June (value added basis, constant prices) If staying on trend Incl. imports Percent Source: IBISWorld 28/01/15

43 Digital Disruption

44 Power the major utility
Australia’s Ages Of Economic Progress Constant F2011 Prices and onwards Hunting Age Agrarian Age Industrial Age Infotronics Age Enlightenment Age ? Industrial Age Imbedded intelligence, GDP $ billion Transport the major utility Power the major utility (electricity) and telephony IC&T Year, ended June IBISWorld 08/07/15

45 Enabling Utilities In Each Age Of Development
Hunting Age ( ) No pervasive utility (even the wheel was not a pervasive utility) Agrarian Age ( ) Transport (including the wheel and carts, roads, water transport etc.) Industrial Age ( ) Mechanical Power (water wheel and steam engines) in Stage 1 Electrical Power (electricity & telephony) in Stage 2 Infotronics Age (1965-late 2040s) ICT (information and communication technologies) in Stage 1 to 2006 ICT enhanced by high speed broadband plus cognitive computing, learning systems, analytics and more in Stage 2, the Digital Disruption Era, from 2007 to the late 2040s: the newest utility.

46 Digital Disruption The second stage of the Infotronics Age from 2007 has seen the advent of digital communication protocols: fast broadband, smart hardware such as mobiles, tablets, PCs, TVs, etc and AI. All have led to digital disruption. It is fast, it can be destructive, but it is facilitatory. And unstoppable. Some of the new products that have emerged in the new age are like electronic guardian angels, in the form of heart pacemakers, hearing implants, bionic eyes, haptic implants (soon), lifesaving DSC and ABS on cars, CTV security systems and myriads of others here and on the way. But the application to new products and industries is more far-reaching in terms of the economy and jobs. The new age is centred on services: functions outsourced from households and businesses; and services outsourced to us from overseas such as tourism, education and health services. All benefit from digital protocols

47 (included in categories,
The Retail Goods Market F2016 (E) Revenue $374 billion (% of total basis) Food % Household % Auto % Online/direct shopping c. 6.0% (included in categories, excludes M/V et al) Trailers, /caravans Motor cycles Tyres M/V parts Motor vehicles 17.2% Service Stations 9.7% 24.9% Supermarkets Other Auto % Other Household 8.2% Other Food outlets Meat, Poultry, Fish Chemists Dept. Stores Furn./ Floor Hardware 5.7% 1.7% 3.3% 2.4% 4.1% 5.2% 4.8% 2.8% Clothing Footwear Household Appl. Other 8.5% Antique/Used Goods Fabrics.soft goods Flowers Garden eqpt Watches/Jewellers Personal accessorties Computers Housewares Stationary Cosmetics Tobacconists Duty Free Convenience 1.1% Bread & cakes 1.5% Fruit & veg % Entertainment 3.5% Photo eqpt Sport & Camping Videos, music Toys & games News & bookstores Marine eqpt Revenue $ 374 billion

48 Main Media Advertising Expenditure 1900 - 2020 (F), % of total
Print Outdoor Radio FTA TV Pay TV Internet Cinema Source: CEASA/IBISWorld estimates 16/06/15

49 5. Profitability Patterns

50 Profitability of Australia’s Largest Enterprises Number, by profitability range (ROSF after tax (%), 5-Year Average to F2014 Average ROSF for 1241 enterprises (c. 48% of national revenue) was 8.3% over the 5-years to Rises to 15.5% if loss-makers removed Average (8.3%) in this bracket and 761 enterprises (61%) did better than the bond rate 240 enterprises (>19% of the 1241 enterprises) operated at an average loss over the 5-years to 2014 Number of enterprises Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15

51 Includes multinational
Australian Profitability By Industry1 Return on Shareholder Funds (after tax) Largest Enterprises3 5 years to F2014 24 companies 65 companies 62 companies 66 companies 17 companies 188 companies 89 companies 37 companies 42 companies 1241 companies 16 companies 169 companies companies Simple average basis Rises to 15.5% if loss-makers removed Includes multinational importers/marketers 25 20 50 Notes: 1 Includes GBE and private enterprises 2 Simple average basis for each industry 3. Top 1241 companies, c. half nation’s revenue. Excludes companies with negative shareholder funds or thinly capitalized (equity < 5% of assets) 45 companies 90 enterprises 74 enterprises 16 enterprises ROSF Percent Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15

52 Includes multinational importers/marketers
Australian Profitability Best 100 Companies1 Return on Shareholder Funds (after tax) 5 years to F2014 6 companies 7 companies 7 companies 18 companies 3 companies 15 companies 13 companies 2 companies 17 companies 7 companies 1 company 3 companies 1 company 1 company Includes multinational importers/marketers Note: 1 Includes GBE and private enterprises 2 Simple average basis within each industry ROSF Percent Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15

53 Note 1 Same industry division Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15
The 100 Best Companies ROSF after tax (%), 5-Year Average to F By Industry Sector Number ROSF 3 Primary (Agriculture, Mining) % Secondary (Manufacturing, Construction, Utilities) % Tertiary (Wholesale, Retail, Transport/Storage/Postal) % Quaternary (Information and/or finance related) % Quinary (Hospitality, Health, Recreation and other Services) % % Note 1 Same industry division Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15

54 50 Best Performing Australian Enterprises 5 years average ROSF, after tax, (%) to 2014
Revenue ($mill) 1. Finite Group 199.8 238 26. PharmaCare 52.4 236 2. Philip Morris 169.0 3043 27. JB Hi-Fi 52.2 3484 3. Sydney Ports 142.6 112 28. Sunstate Cement 129 4. FedEx Australia 110.8 221 29. WorkPac 52.0 492 5. British American Tobacco 103.6 2072 30. Tamawood 81 6. Hatch 101.8 526 31. DuluxGroup 51.2 1618 7. Hays Recruitment 93.6 1370 32. Dick Smith 51.0 1228 8. Winslow Constructors 91.8 330 33. Garry Crick Auto Group 74 9. Inghams 91.0 2393 34. Monadelphous 50.8 2349 10. Bakers Delight 78.0 35. Kane Constructions 474 11. Cater Care 72.2 182 36. Zara 49.3 141 12. Metro Trains 68.4 1203 37. Apple 49.2 6256 13. Emerald Grain 65.0 1100 38. Coca-Cola South Pacific 48.2 145 14. Lenard's 63.4 628 39. Grant Thornton Australia 47.4 217 15. Lorna Jane 63.0 168 40. Five D 47.2 189 16. OrotonGroup 62.8 125 41. Hyder Consulting Holdings 46.8 104 17. ISGM 62.5 417 42. Boehringer Ingelheim 45.4 356 18. GR Engineering 61.2 119 43. Colliers International 45.0 311 19. Hassell 60.2 84 44. S J Higgins Group 20. Dredging International 59.6 796 45. Jaguar and Land Rover Australia 44.5 682 21. Novo Nordisk Pharm. 59.2 209 46. Morris Corporation 44.0 227 22. Wotif.com 55.0 151 47. GHD Group 43.4 942 23. Revlon Australia 54.6 98 48. Talent International 43.2 316 24. Carsales.com 53.0 49. Interactive 136 25. Platinum Asset Manag. 323 50. Australian Rugby League 43.0 351 Source: IBISWorld 10/06/15

55 Next 50 Best Performing Australian Enterprises 5 years average ROSF, after tax, (%) to 2014
Revenue ($mill) ROSF (%) 51. Inchcape Australia 42.8 2215 76. Green's Foods 36.7 198 52. Flinders Port 213 77. GRM International 36.5 315 53. Pandora 42.6 166 78. Navitas 36.2 879 54. Imperial Tobacco Australia 42.0 656 79. Omya Australia 100 55. Nick Scali 143 80. Diamond Gas Resources 36.0 367 56. ADP 40.8 126 81. QIC 314 57. Mars 40.6 1392 82. REA Group 35.6 447 58. Yarra Trams 40.4 416 83. McMillan Shakespeare 35.4 348 59. Unisys Australia 183 84. BOC 34.6 1189 60. LifeHealthcare Group 40.0 87 85. Compass Group 34.4 1831 61. Reckon 39.6 101 86. Mitsui Iron Ore Development 1793 62. Brighton Toyota/Lexus 39.4 197 87. Sealink Travel Group 33.8 104 63. Terry Shields Toyota 39.0 159 88. Penfold Motors Group 33.2 368 64. AMA Group 64 89. Procter & Gamble 32.6 470 65. Motor Accident Commiss. 38.8 570 90. Ferrero Aust 32.4 182 66. Metso Minerals 38.6 401 91. Australian Fleet Sales 118 67. Blue Star Group 38.5 279 92. UPS 85 68. Data#3 38.4 834 93. CSL 32.2 5857 69. Fortescue Metals Group 38.2 12616 94. Accenture Australia 1408 70. Mazda Australia 2436 95. ResMed Holdings 32.0 1529 71. Country Road 37.2 856 96. Coopers Brewery 232 72. ACCO Australia Pty Ltd 127 97. Beca 31.8 88 73. Dicker Data 37.0 663 98. J & P Richardson 31.6 120 74. MSS Security 36.8 382 99. SMR Automotive 31.4 137 75. De Costi Seafoods 116 100. Knorr-Bremse 30.8 134 Source: IBISWorld 10/06/15

56 25 Best Performing Listed Companies
Company ROSF 5 yr average to 2014 (%) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Div Yield 2015 % 1. Oroton 62.8 80.0 83.5 68.6 59.2 22.4 5.81 2. GR Engineering 61.2 175.1 51.7 31.1 18.3 30.4 9.04 3. Carsales.com 53.0 48.6 53.6 55.8 54.8 50.9 4.77 4. Platinum Asset Man. 52.4 60.7 60.8 51.3 37.5 50.6 4.74 5. JB Hi Fi 52.2 40.5 72.0 56.7 47.7 43.6 4.26 6. Tamawood 52.0 30.5 18.2 92.7 58.3 61.4 6.42 7. Dulux Group 51.2 72.1 67.3 48.9 32.5 35.8 3.62 8. Dick Smith Holdings 51.0 - 89.6 11.9 6.82 9. Monadelphous 50.8 57.7 49.2 55.9 50.7 40.4 10.2 10. Nick Scali 42.0 52.5 45.3 33.0 44.0 35.5 3.89 11. LifeHealthcare 40.0 47.0 4.16 12. Reckon 39.6 33.5 31.8 39.0 37.0 56.4 4.04 13. AMA Group 71.3 62.9 31.2 16.6 12.7 2.67 14. Data#3 38.4 41.8 49.7 42.1 6.18 15. Fortescue Metals 38.2 39.3 41.9 41.4 36.0 5.28 16. Dicker Data 31.9 36.6 44.6 45.9 25.4 4.34 17. Navitas 36.2 62.1 32.4 31.3 31.6 24.4 4.30 18. REA Group 35.6 36.5 34.9 34.7 34.8 36.7 1.68 19. McMillan Shakespeare 35.4 50.3 38.0 32.3 24.6 4.38 20. Sealink Travel 33.8 53.2 27.1 53.3 22.8 13.4 3.01 21. CSL 32.2 25.0 25.8 29.5 40.1 41.3 1.56 22. ResMed Holdings 32.0 29.3 1.50 23. Cochlear 30.2 14.8 37.4 28.5 2.65 24. Technology One 28.10 29.7 30.8 29.6 25. Blackmores 30.0 34.5 25.5 1.96 Source: IBISWorld 17/06/15

57 The All Ordinaries To 2015 (25 August)
Trend Actual All Ordinaries Index IBISWorld/ASX 25/08/15 Year, ended June

58 6. Keys To Success

59 Note 1 Same industry division Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15
Best Enterprise Characteristics ROSF after tax (%), 5-Year Average to F2014 % ROSF Focus Focused (mainly single industry class) % Theme Conglomerates % Classic Conglomerates % Ownership Origin Local Owned % Foreign Owned % % Ownership Type Public Company % Proprietary Company % Government Body % % Industry Sector Primary (Agriculture, Mining) % Secondary (Manufacturing, Construction, Utilities) % Tertiary (Wholesale, Retail, Transport/Storage/Postal) % Quaternary (Information and/or finance related) % Quinary (Hospitality, Health, Recreation and other Services) % % Note 1 Same industry division Source: IBISWorld 11/06/15

60 What the Best Enterprises Are Doing
1. They stick to one business at a time and do not diversify 2. They aim to dominate1 segment (s) of their industry or market 3. They are forever innovative, valuing the business’ IP. 4. They outsource non-core activities to enable growth. 5. They don’t own “hard” assets. 6. They have good and professional financial management. 7. They plan from the outside-in not the inside-out 8. They anticipate any new industry lifecycle changes. 9. They follow world best practice for their own type of business. 10. They develop strategic alliances. 11. They develop unique organisational cultures. 12. They value leadership first and management second. Note: 1 Within official legislation, limits or guidelines of “dominance” Source: IBISWorld

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