1. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture 1 Lecture 5: Chapter 4, Section 1 Single Variables (Focus on Categorical Variables)  Displays and Summaries  Data Production Issues  Looking Ahead to Inference  Details about Displays and Summaries

2. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.2 Looking Back: Review  4 Stages of Statistics Data Production (discussed in Lectures 1-4) Displaying and Summarizing  Single variables: 1 categorical, 1 quantitative  Relationships between 2 variables Probability Statistical Inference

3. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.3 First Process of Statistics SAMPLE POPULATION SAMPLE 1. Data Production: Take sample data from the population, with sampling and study designs that avoid bias.

4. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.4 Second Process of Statistics POPULATION SAMPLE 2. Displaying and Summarizing: Use appropriate displays and summaries of the sample data, according to variable types and roles. 1. Data Production: Take sample data from the population, with sampling and study designs that avoid bias. CQ CQCQ CCCCQQQQ

5. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.5 Third Process of Statistics: POPULATION SAMPLE PROBABILITY 3. Probability: Assume we know what’s true for the population; how should random samples behave? 2. Displaying and Summarizing: Use appropriate displays and summaries of the sample data, according to variable types and roles. 1. Data Production: Take sample data from the population, with sampling and study designs that avoid bias. C CQ QQQQ

6. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.6 Fourth Process of Statistics 4. Statistical Inference: Assume we only know what’s true about sampled values of a single variable or relationship; what can we infer about the larger population? POPULATION SAMPLE PROBABILITY INFERENCE 3. Probability: Assume we know what’s true for the population; how should random samples behave? 2. Displaying and Summarizing: Use appropriate displays and summaries of the sample data, according to variable types and roles. 1. Data Production: Take sample data from the population, with sampling and study designs that avoid bias. CQ CQCQCCCCQQQQ

7. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.7 Focus on Displaying and Summarizing

8. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.8 Handling Single Categorical Variables  Display: Pie chart Bar graph  Summary: Count Percent Proportion

9. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.9 Definitions and Notation  Statistic: number summarizing sample  Parameter: number summarizing population  : sample proportion (a statistic) [“p-hat”]  p: population proportion (a parameter)

10. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.10 Example: Issues to Consider  Background: 246 of 446 students at a certain university had eaten breakfast on survey day.  Questions: Are intro stat students representative of all students at that university? Would they respond without bias?  Responses: Yes, if years and class times are representative. Yes (not sensitive). Looking Back: These are data production issues. Practice: 4.4e p.79

11. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.11 Example: More Issues to Consider  Background: 246 of 446 students at a certain university had eaten breakfast on survey day.  Questions: How do we display and summarize the info? Can we conclude that a majority of all students at that university eat breakfast?  Responses: Display: pie chart Summary: 246/446= 55% or 0.55 ate breakfast. Can’t yet say if majority eat breakfast overall. Looking Ahead: This would be statistical inference.

12. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.12 Example: Statistics vs. Parameters  Background: 246 of 446 students at a certain university had eaten breakfast on survey day.  Questions: Is 246/446=0.55 a statistic or a parameter? How do we denote it? Is the proportion of all students eating breakfast a statistic or a parameter? How do we denote it?  Responses: 246/446=0.55 is a statistic denoted. Proportion of all students eating breakfast is a parameter denoted p. Practice: 4.3c p.79

13. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.13 Example: Summary Issues  Background: Location (state) for all 1,696 TV series in 2004 with known settings: 601 in California (601/1696=0.35) 412 in New York (412/1696=0.24) 683 in other states (683/1696=0.40)  Questions: 0.35+0.24+0.40=0.99  mistake? Why is it not appropriate to use this info to draw conclusions about a larger population in 2004?  Responses: No mistake; roundoff error There is no larger population (data is for all series in 2004).

14. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.14 Definitions  Mode: most common value  Majority: more common of two possible values (same as mode)  Minority: less common of two possible values

15. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.15 Two or More Possible Values Looking Ahead: In Probability and Inference, most categorical variables discussed have just two possibilities. Still, we often summarize and display categorical data with more than two possibilities.

16. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.16 Example: Proportions in Three Categories  Background: Student wondered if she should resist changing answers in multiple choice tests. “Ask Marilyn” replied: 50% of changes go from wrong to right 25% of changes go from right to wrong 25% of changes go from wrong to wrong  Question: How to display information?  Response: Use a pie chart: Instructor may survey students: To which category do your changes typically belong ?

17. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.17 Definition  Bar graph: shows counts, percents, or proportions in various categories (marked on horizontal axis) with bars of corresponding heights

18. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.18 Example: Bar Graph  Background: Instructor can survey students to find proportion in each year (1 st, 2 nd, 3 rd, 4 th, Other).  Questions: How can we display the information? What should we look for in the display?  Responses: Construct a bar graph:  years 1, 2, 3, 4, Other on horizontal axis  counts or proportions in each year graphed vertically Look for mode (tallest bar) to tell what year is most common; compare heights of all 5 bars. Practice: 4.6a p.80

19. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.19 Example: Bar Graph  Background: Instructor can survey students to find proportion in each year (1 st, 2 nd, 3 rd, 4 th, Other).  Questions: How can we display the information? What should we look for in the display?  Responses: For the particular sample whose data accompany the book, mode is 2 nd year, next is 3 rd, then 1 st and 4 th, then Other. Practice: 4.6a p.80

20. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.20 Overlapping Categories If more than two categorical variables are considered at once, we must note the possibility that categories overlap. Looking Ahead: In Probability, we will need to distinguish between situations where categories do and do not overlap.

21. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.21 Example: Overlapping Categories  Background: Report by ResumeDoctor.com on over 160,000 resumes: 13% said applicant had “communication skills” 7% said applicant was a “team player”  Question: Can we conclude that 20% claimed communication skills or team player?  Response: No: adding 13%+7% counts those in both categories twice.

22. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.22 Processing Raw Categorical Data Small categorical data sets are easily handled without software.

23. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.23 Example: Proportion from Raw Data  Background: Harvard study claimed 44% of college students are binge drinkers. Agree on survey design and have students self-report: on one occasion in past month, alcoholic drinks more than 5 (males) or 4 (females)? Or use these data:  Question: Are data consistent with claim of 44%?  Response: % “yes”=28/66=42%, very close to 44% Practice: 4.7a p.80

24. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.24 Example: Proportion from Raw Data  Background: Harvard study claimed 44% of college students are binge drinkers. Agree on survey design and have students self-report: on one occasion in past month, alcoholic drinks more than 5 (males) or 4 (females)? Or use these data: Looking Ahead: How different would the sample percentage have to be, to convince you that your sample is significantly different from Harvard’s? This is an inference question.  Question: Are data consistent with claim of 44%?  Response: % “yes”=28/66=42%, very close to 44% Practice: 4.7a p.80

25. ©2011 Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning Elementary Statistics: Looking at the Big Picture L5.25 Lecture Summary (Categorical Variables)  Display: pie chart, bar graph  Summarize: count, percent, proportion  Sampling: data unbiased (representative)?  Design: produced unbiased summary of data?  Inference: will we ultimately draw conclusion about population based on sample?  Mode, Majority: most common values  Larger samples: provide more info  Other issues: Two or more possibilities? Categories overlap? How to handle raw data?