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National data bases and classification of death in Sweden Sven Cnattingius, MD, PhD
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The Swedish Birth Register Population-based Population-based ~100,000 births per year ~100,000 births per year Prospectively collected information on maternal, pregnancy and infant characteristics Prospectively collected information on maternal, pregnancy and infant characteristics
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Variables in the Birth Register Maternal characteristics: Maternal characteristics: Age, parity, smoking, height, weight, country of birth – No SES; Pregnancy and delivery complications; Pregnancy and delivery complications; Birth weight, sex, gestational age; Birth weight, sex, gestational age; Infant diagnoses Infant diagnoses Stillbirths and live births Stillbirths and live births
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Stillbirths in the Birth Register ≥28 completed weeks ≥28 completed weeks Antepartal and intrapartal Antepartal and intrapartal No registration of causes of death No registration of causes of death No information from autopsy, about chromosomal anomalies or infections No information from autopsy, about chromosomal anomalies or infections
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TWO CLASSIFICATIONS OF CAUSES OF DEATH IN STILLBIRTHS AND NEONATAL (0-27) DEATHS Ingrid Winbo Fredrik Serenius Gisela Dahlquist Bengt Källén
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I.IMPLICATIONS FOR CLINICAL MANAGEMENT ”THE MODIFIED WIGGLESWORTH CLASSIFICATION” (INT J EPIDEMIOL 1997;26:1298-1306)
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”THE MODIFIED WIGGLESWORTH CLASSIFICATION” LETHAL MALFORMATIONS LETHAL MALFORMATIONS SPECIFIC CONDITIONS* SPECIFIC CONDITIONS* ANTEPARTAL STILLBIRTHS* ANTEPARTAL STILLBIRTHS* INTRAPARTAL ASPHYXIA* INTRAPARTAL ASPHYXIA* IMMATURITY IMMATURITY UNCLASSIFIABLE CAUSES UNCLASSIFIABLE CAUSES
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ALL DEATHS IN SWEDEN 1983-90 % Lethal malformations23 Specific conditions 5 Antepartal death43 Intrapartal asphyxia11 Immaturity16 Unclassifiable 2
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Validation using medical records Total concordance: 88% Computer programme overestimates antepartal stillbirths (237 vs. 209) at the expense of: at the expense of: lethal malformations lethal malformations specific conditions specific conditions intrapartal asphyxia intrapartal asphyxia
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II. Neonatal and Intrauterine death Classification according to Etiology (NICE) Etiology-oriented, similar to the Aberdeen model Winbo et al. Int J Epidemiol 1998;27:449-504
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CLASSIFICATION OF DEATHS BY ” NICE” % 1. CONGENITAL ANOMALIES 23 2. MULTIPLE BIRTHS* 7 3. MATERNAL DISEASES* 4 4. SPECIFIC FETAL CONDITIONS* 1 5. UNEXPLAINED SGA* 9 6. PLACENTAL ABRUPTION* 8 7. OBSTETRIC COMPLICATION* 4 8. UNEXPLAINED PRETERM AP DEATH* 10 9. UNEXPLAINED TERM AP DEATH* 16 10. SPECIFIC INFANT CONDITIONS 2 11. UNEXPLAINED ASPHYXIA* 7 12. UNEXPLAINED IMMATURITY 8
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WIGGLESWORTH VS. NICE WIGGLESWORTH VS. NICE WIGGLESWORTH NICE AP STILLBIRTHS (%) MULTIPLE BIRTH 6 MATERNAL DISEASE 5 SPECIFIC FETAL CONDITION 0 UNEXPLAINED SGA 16 PLACENTAL ABRUPTION 10 OBSTETRIC COMPLICATION 4 UNEXPLAINED PRETERM AP STILLBIRTH 23 UNEXPLAINED TERM AP STILLBIRTH 36 36 TOTAL100
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VALIDATION OF NICE UNEXPLAINED SGA (yes/no) RECORDS COMPUTERYESNO YES 3012 42 NO 2 559461 32 571603 32 571603 SENSITIVITY:30/32: 94% POSITIVE PREDICTIVE VALUE:30/42: 71%
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VALIDATION OF NICE MATERNAL DISEASE (yes/no) RECORDS COMPUTERYESNO YES 29 5 34 NO 16 553569 45 571603 45 571603 SENSITIVITY:29/45: 64% POSITIVE PREDICTIVE VALUE:29/34: 85%
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VALIDATION OF NICE VALIDATION OF NICE SENSITIVITY % MULTIPLE BIRTH 88 MATERNAL DISEASE 64 SPECIFIC FETAL CONDITION 64 UNEXPLAINED SGA 94 PLACENTAL ABRUPTION 91 OBSTETRIC COMPLICATION 38 UNEXPLAINED PRETERM AP STILLBIRTH 76 UNEXPLAINED TERM AP STILLBIRTH 88
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SMOKING AND RISK OF DEATH NICE Classification CAUSE OF DEATH OR MATERNAL DISEASE 1.0 UNEXPLAINED SGA 2.0 PLACENTAL ABRUPTION 2.8 OBSTETRIC COMPLICATION 1.1 UNEXPLAINED PRETERM AP DEATH 1.1 UNEXPLAINED TERM AP DEATH 1.1 Winbo et al. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2001;80:235-44
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HIGH MATERNAL AGE (>35 YEARS) AND RISK OF DEATH NICE Classification CAUSE OF DEATH OR MATERNAL DISEASE 1.8 UNEXPLAINED SGA 2.0 PLACENTAL ABRUPTION 1.2 OBSTETRIC COMPLICATION 1.4 UNEXPLAINED PRETERM AP DEATH 1.6 UNEXPLAINED TERM AP DEATH 1.9 Winbo et al. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2001;80:235-44
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CLASSIFICATION OF STILLBIRTHS –”REVISED NICE” estimated % 1. MULTIPLE BIRTHS 5 2. MATERNAL DISEASES 5 3. UNEXPLAINED SGA 16 4. PLACENTAL ABRUPTION 10 5. OBSTETRIC COMPLICATION 4 6. UNEXPLAINED PRETERM AP DEATH 22 7. UNEXPLAINED TERM AP DEATH34 8. INTRAPARTAL STILLBIRTHS 4
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OUTCOME IN SECOND BIRTH Source: Surkan et al, N Eng J Med. 2004; 350:777-85
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