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Ashvin B. Chhabra CFA Texas 2016 The Aspirational Investor
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The Problem Success in investing is defined as achieving “above average risk-adjusted returns”
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The Investor’s Worst Enemy
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Speculative Bubbles & Market Manias
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Behavioral Flaw
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Market Assumptions Financial markets, like floods, hurricanes, and other irregular and random phenomena in nature, are inherently unpredictable. They are not “mildly random,” …“but wildly random.” Benoit B. Mandelbrot: "New Methods in Statistical Economics," Journal of Political Economy, 71(5): 421‐440. (1963a)
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German Postcard Circa 1899
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Why Invest? M The Question What is the purpose of the Money?
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How much (Money) do I Need?
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Introduction: Classification of Goals
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Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs © Ashvin B. Chhabra, The Aspirational Investor. 2015
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The Digital Age
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Volatility of Markets during a Human Lifetime ( (US Home Prices – Data based on work of Robert J. Shiller, Yale University) © Ashvin B. Chhabra, The Aspirational Investor. 2015
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Fat Tails: Pound ‐ Guilder 1609 ‐ 2000 Source: Casper G. de Vries, “Fat Tails and the history of the guilder,” tinbergen magazine 4, fall 2001.
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Fat Tails: Pound ‐ Guilder 1609 ‐ 2000 Source: Casper G. de Vries, “Fat Tails and the history of the guilder,” tinbergen magazine 4, fall 2001.
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Owning the world
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How do People become (very) Wealthy?
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Wealth of America Ashvin B. Chhabra et al, “Modern Portfolio Theory’s Third Rail: Achieving Wealth Mobility through Idiosyncratic Risk”. (Journal of Wealth Management, Summer 2011) Source: Based on 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances Data
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The Wealth Allocation Framework
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Source: Chhabra, Ashvin, “Beyond Markowitz: A Comprehensive Wealth Allocation Framework for Individual Investors,” Journal of Wealth Management, Spring 2005
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Three Layers (Portfolios)
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Digging Deeper
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Don’t try this at Home
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Endowment Model
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Buffett’s Magic
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The Digital Age
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The Aspirational Society
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Ashvin B. Chhabra CFA Texas 2016 The Aspirational Investor
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