1. Dan Noah NWS Ruskin Email to reach Operations sr-tbw.ops@noaa.gov Download this and archived Webinar PPTs & PDFs at http://go.usa.gov/9ark http://go.usa.gov/9ark Tropical Storm Colin

2. Monday Watches and Warnings Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch Flood Watch

3. Potential Impacts Tropical Storm Colin formed in the Gulf of Mexico near the Yucatan Peninsula 1.Flooding rain of 4”-6” Mon-Mon Night, isolated 8” River flooding possible Monday afternoon and persisting into Wednesday. Urban flooding around Tampa Bay. 2.Tropical Storm Wind possible in warned area Branches on roads, light structures damages 3.Above normal tides 1-3 ft Mon afternoon into Tues morning Flooding of low lying coastal/Bay roads 4.Moderate Risk for tornadoes Monday & Monday evening Promote: Do you know where you would hide if a tornado was headed toward you?

4. 6-8 inches 4-6 inches 1-2 inches 3-4 inches Heavy Rainfall Forecast Mon-Tue Morning 3-5 inches 3-4 inches 2-3 inches 3-4 inches 4-8 inches 3-5 inches 2-4 inches

5. Rainfall / Flood Impacts If realized: Impact Monday & Tuesday Heaviest rain expected to be in Levy, Citrus, Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas & Hillsborough Rivers could and overspill their banks, mainly in historically vulnerable places Areas of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas Flood waters may prompt several evacuations and road closures

6. T.S. Wind Timing – Mon Afternoon & Evening 11 PM Monday Max wind to be within rain bands as they pass through county Barrier Islands and areas near coast Sustained 45-50 mph with higher gusts Inland 35-40 mph with gusts to 50 mph

7. Potential Wind Impact Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored and older mobile homes Branches on roads and a few shallow rooted trees downed on homes Unsecured objects blown about Scattered powers and communication outages

8. Coastal and Bay Flooding Potential Cedar Key to Hernando Beach 12 pm – 9 pm Monday 3 ft AGL @high tide (5 ft MSL on Tide Poles in Levy County) Hernando Beach to Longboat Key – High Rip Current Risk Barrier Islands: 2-3 ft AGL 10 am – 2 pm Monday Tampa Bay 3-4 ft AGL in Bay 12p-6p. Bayshore Blvd floods at 3.5 ft at high tide. Flooding along Alafia. Longboat Key to Englewood – High Rip Current Risk Barrier Islands 2 ft AGL 10 am – 3 pm Monday Charlotte Harbor 2-3 ft AGL 1 pm – 7 pm Monday 1 - 2 ft AGL Englewood south – High Rip Current Risk

9. New Alafia River Forecast Point http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=tbw Flooding of homes at 4.2 ft near where Highway 301 crosses the Alafia

10. Know Your Tides http://www.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/gmap3/index.shtml?type=TidePredictions&region= Click on Pin then click here

11. Visualize Surge Flooding Potential https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/ Sea Level Rise & Coastal Flooding Impacts: 1-6 feet surge at high tide Crystal River - Kings Bay 3 ft Surge + High Tide

12. Tornado Threat Monday 8 am – 9 pm Moderate risk including all counties in west central and southwest Florida Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failure. Identify your safe room at school, work, and/or home

13. Potential Tornado Impact Pass-a-Grille Lake Placid Kerr and Peng @UF Lake Winterset, Winter Haven WTSP 2012 Tropical Storm Debby Remind teachers to know where to shelter children if a tornado is headed toward the school Wireless Emergency Alerts should ensure wide distribution

14. Potential Impacts Tropical Storm Colin formed in the Gulf of Mexico near the Yucatan Peninsula 1.Flooding rain of 4”-6” Mon-Mon Night, isolated 8” River flooding possible Monday afternoon and persisting into Wednesday. Urban flooding around Tampa Bay. 2.Tropical Storm Wind possible in warned area Branches on roads, light structures damages 3.Above normal tides 1-3 ft Mon afternoon into Tues morning Flooding of low lying coastal/Bay roads 4.Moderate Risk for tornadoes Monday & Monday evening Promote: Do you know where you would hide if a tornado was headed toward you?

15. http://weather.gov/tampabay http://twitter.com/NWSTampaBay http://facebook.com/NWSTampaBay Hurricane Threat & Impact Graphics http://digital.weather.gov http://youtube.com/NWSTampa sr-tbw.ops@noaa.gov Download this and archived Webinar PPTs & PDFs at http://go.usa.gov/9ark http://go.usa.gov/9ark Contact Us