1. Monitoring the Paris Declaration Emerging Findings Brenda Killen, OECD Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Helsinki, Finland 30 August

2. Overview 1.Monitoring the Paris Declaration and the 2011 Survey: Why? What? How? 2.What do the findings tell us? 3.What does this mean for Busan and beyond?

3. Monitoring the Paris Declaration and the 2011 Survey – Why? What? How? 3

4. Monitoring the Paris Declaration 2005: Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness 5 principles, 56 commitments... and agreement to monitor progress against targets established for 2010 12 indicators of progress measured at the country level

5. Monitoring the Paris Declaration - Why? - Stimulate dialogue at the country level: Identify opportunities and bottlenecks to make aid more effective Foster a shared understanding Track progress over time - At the global level: Monitor implementation of the Paris Declaration, supporting political accountability Evidence and learning – a key input to HLF-4

6. Monitoring the Paris Declaration - What? – Progress towards agreed targets using standard indicators – Efforts in other areas not captured by the indicators e.g. elements of the Accra Agenda for Action Qualitative observations on opportunities and challenges at the country level Complementary evidence through optional modules (gender equality; inclusive ownership) Monitoring the Fragile States Principles

7. Monitoring the Paris Declaration - How? – Three successive surveys 2006 Baseline Survey: the state of play in 2005 2008 Survey: stock-taking, informing HLF-3 2011 Survey: were the 2010 targets met? – A country-led process Managed by national co-ordinators in partner countries, with support from donors Dialogue with a broad range of stakeholders Global co-ordination and support (OECD, UNDP and World Bank)

8. What do the findings tell us? 8

9. Good progress in a number of areas Progress is happening in the right direction, but too slowly Globally, developing countries seem to have made more progress than donors More partner countries have sound national development strategies Higher quality results-oriented frameworks are in place in many partner countries 9

10. Mixed progress More participatory approaches in development strategies, but challenges for civil society activity in some countries Technical cooperation better co-ordinated, but further efforts needed to ensure support for demand-driven capacity development Improved country systems in 1/ 3 of countries, but a decline observed in others Donors not making systematic use of country systems where these are more reliable No progress in untying aid across the survey sample, but donors continue to untie aid to the poorest countries Transparency – some promising initiatives, but work in progress 10

11. Little or no progress Aid not captured systematically in partner countries’ budgets and public accounts Little progress towards common arrangements or procedures, joint missions and analytical work Aid fragmentation is worsening Limited efforts to enhance medium-term predictability of aid Most countries have yet to strengthen mutual accountability 11

12. Looking beyond the headlines Significant variations across countries and donors on many indicators and issues Particular challenges in fragile states and situations Indicators and associated targets are proxies for assessing progress

13. An interesting finding – increasing coverage Also broader stakeholder participation – emerging donors, civil society, parliamentarians % of global core aid covered by the Survey (est.) 34 partner countries 36% of global aid 55 partner countries 58% of global aid 78 partner countries 78% of global aid

14. What might this mean for Busan? 14

15. Key messages for Busan Aid effectiveness matters for development A political agenda – need for sustained high-level engagement Need for an inclusive agenda Further progress on mutual accountability for results needed Capacity development is a central concern Transparency and shared approaches to risk management important in going forward Demand for future monitoring and accountability at both global and country levels 15

16. Further information Aid Effectiveness 2005-2010: Progress in Implementing the Paris Declaration (official launch on 22 September) Survey website: www.oecd.org/dac/pdsurvey www.busanhlf4.org 16