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Using and Understanding 95% Confidence Intervals in BIOL 1011.

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Presentation on theme: "Using and Understanding 95% Confidence Intervals in BIOL 1011."— Presentation transcript:

1 Using and Understanding 95% Confidence Intervals in BIOL 1011

2 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) # of bubbles produced (your bench) 03153849 mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 0.254.3518.6536.2051.15

3 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) # of bubbles produced (your bench) 03153849 mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 0.254.3518.6536.2051.15 are they different?

4 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) # of bubbles produced (your bench) 03153849 mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 0.254.3518.6536.2051.15 are they different? 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 06.7520.0041.6562.85 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 1.12.2514.8522.4538.35

5 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) # of bubbles produced (your bench) 03153849 mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 0.254.3518.6536.2051.15 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 06.7520.0041.6562.85 100 cm (light off) 100cm (light on) 50cm (light on) 25cm (light on) 12 cm (light on) mean # of bubbles produced (n = 6 ) 1.12.2514.8522.4538.35 sample means for Bacopa at 50 cm with 100W light

6 sample means vary around the population mean 20.0018.65 14.85

7 sample means vary around the population mean 20.0018.65 14.85 standard error tells us how much a sample mean tends to vary from the population mean

8 sample means vary around the population mean 20.0018.65 14.85 standard error tells us how much a sample mean tends to vary from the population mean standard error = standard deviation / √ n

9 sample means vary around the population mean 20.0018.65 14.85 standard error tells us how much a sample mean tends to vary from the population mean standard error = standard deviation / √ n 2SE 95% of sample means fall within 2 standard errors of the population mean

10 sample means vary around the population mean 20.0018.65 14.85 standard error tells us how much a sample mean tends to vary from the population mean standard error = standard deviation / √ n 2SE 95% of sample means fall within 2 standard errors of the population mean so, an interval of sample mean ± 2 standard errors is 95% likely to contain the population mean: it’s a 95% confidence interval

11 Using 95% confidence intervals to compare two means Calculate standard error (SE) for each mean using standard deviation and n Construct 95% confidence interval for each mean: sample mean ± 2SE Compare the two intervals: do they overlap? YES the means are not likely to be significantly different NO the means are likely to be significantly different

12 Location Mean Age (years) Standard Deviation n West End3.500.9556 East End3.600.7442 Does mean age differ between west and east?

13 Location Mean Age (years) Standard Deviation n West End3.500.9556 East End3.600.7442 Does mean age differ between west and east? Null hypothesis: There is no difference between mean age at west and east ends.

14 Location Mean Age (years) Standard Deviation n West End3.500.9556 East End3.600.7442 Does mean age differ between west and east? Null hypothesis: There is no difference between mean age at west and east ends. 1. Find standard error for each.2. Construct 95% confidence intervals for each.

15 3. Construct graph to visually compare confidence intervals. Do they overlap? sample means error bars (mean ± 2SE)

16 3. Construct graph to visually compare confidence intervals. Do they overlap? The intervals overlap, so we can say that the means are not likely to be different. We will not reject the null hypothesis that the means are not different.


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