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Oudet Souvannavong Executive Vice-President, Lao National Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LNCCI) East Asia Business and Investment Forum 24 August 2015,

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Presentation on theme: "Oudet Souvannavong Executive Vice-President, Lao National Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LNCCI) East Asia Business and Investment Forum 24 August 2015,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Oudet Souvannavong Executive Vice-President, Lao National Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LNCCI) East Asia Business and Investment Forum 24 August 2015, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

2 * Since the financial crisis and economic turn down in the USA and Europe has enhanced regional economic integration in East Asia * The ASEAN launched the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) * ASEAN-FTAs has increased its scope through Regional Comprehensible Economic Partnership (RCEP / ASEAN + 6) * Intra ASEAN trade and investment has grown drastically following the expansion of Global Value Chains (GVC) industry networks driven by Trans-National Companies. * Intra ASEAN and East Asia FDIs increased following the of capital flow to East Asia * The expansion of GVC in ASEAN and East Asia was facilitated by the ASEAN FTAs and is anticipated to be further expanded under the RCEP

3 Population (millions) Brunei0.408 Cambodia15.178 Indonesia250.585 Lao PDR6.828 Malaysia29.769 Myanmar53.377 Philippines98.735 Singapore5.408 Thailand67.108 Vietnam91.949 ASEAN619.345 China1,384.694 Japan126.981 S. Korea49.159 ASEAN+32,180.179 India1,210.193 Australia23.345 N. Zealand4.512 ASEAN+63,418.229 47.5% of World Population in 2013 ASEAN RCEP (ASEAN+6)

4 East Asia Regional Economic Integration Anticipated Impacts Economic Impacts Deepen the liberalization commitments (goods, services and ROO); Ease the “noodle-bowl” situation (not only in ROO but huge number of tariff schedules, and different rules) and thus enhance the utilization of FTA; Further ease the use of FTAs via its “accumulation”; Deepen economic cooperation for facilitation measures; and, Prevent the potential loss from competing initiatives (e.g., CJK FTA). + Political Impact for ASEAN and East Asia Maintain and strengthen the “ASEAN Centrality” (politically) under the pressure from TPP and CJK. 4

5 How Economic Gains Can be Maximized Under East Asia regional Economic Integration? * Trade in Goods * “Common concession” in tariff schedules: common in A+1 FTA * Consolidated ROOs with “co-equal” rules * Cumulation rules: common in A+1 FTA * Higher level of tariff elimination, e.g., 95% * Trade in Services * Substantive “WTO Plus” components (more than A+1 FTAs) * Trade Facilitation * Meaningful programs (many in ASEAN; but rare in A+1 FTAs) * Speed * Speedy conclusion the key for “ASEAN Centrality” 5

6 * Connectivity between the regions to facilitate the flow of goods and intra-regional trade and investment * Infrastructure (road, bridge, ports, logistics facilities, etc.) linking need to be put into place, this requires large investment to be made under PPP. * Trade in Goods facilitation: WTO agreements bind all members to decreasing the barriers in trade in goods * Reduction and Elimination of tariffs, Harmonize ROO, Elimination of NTM and NTBs, Facilitate Cross Border Transportation * Trade in Services: ASEAN FTAs need to focus more on the liberalization of trade in services and investment. * MRAs guaranteeing the standard of professional workers allowed to move across borders * SME Promotions * Young entrepreneurs promotions, SME information discrimination, SME finance schemes

7 * Further Improve Policy Environment and Public Service System * Harmonize and ensure the continuity and stability of fiscal system, financial and trade incentives * Establish joint public investment promotion service systems with bilateral or multilateral information service institutions for mutual investment. * Further Improve Investment Cooperation Mechanisms and Substances * Add, improve and sign the related legal agreements * Establish a multilevel standing institution to promote trade and investment cooperation * Establish a dispute settlement mechanism and a standing arbitration institution modeled NAFTA * Establish a security cooperation mechanism * Improve the standards for product tests, certification and traceability. * Sign relevant Mutual Recognition Agreements (MRA) * Strengthen cooperation in human resources development

8 * Strengthen Public Guidance for Investment Cooperation * Formulate a master blueprint for the development of related industries and a basic plan for development and construction in ASEAN * Jointly identify priority sectors for investment in ASEAN for promoting industrial development and use key and priority projects as the leverage and use cross-border economic cooperation zones and other important nodes as the platform to promote industrial investment * Develop competitive and special projects to enrich investment substances. * Establish Efficient Logistics Systems * In ASEAN Government should quickly harmonize freight transport and logistics standards * In the GMS Region it is the implementation of the CBTA

9 * Success Factors * The Progress of ASEAN Economic Integration – ASEAN Centrality – economy of scale with one single market * ASEAN FTAs with China, Korea and the Comprehensible Economic Relation with Japan * Improved conducive business environment and cost of “doing business” in CMLV countries * Improved cross-border trade and transport facilitation in ASEAN * Challenges * Increased NTBs and NTMs – “protectionism attitude” * Slow implementation of ASEAN Single Window, Cross Border Transport Agreement * MSMEs capacity to access East Asia Supply Chains, Finance and innovation technology.

10 * Shaping the East Asia Tourism Value Chains * Tourism in all East Asian countries covers more than 5% of GDP * Tourism creates jobs, farm production, SMEs and MSMEs creations in handicraft, retails and other services * Intra East Asia tourism increased and could be enhanced – benefit all countries * Challenges and what should be done * Open air policy – to reduce the cost of air fares and travelling * Ease the VISA procedures for tourism groups, one single VISA, implement the special immigration lane for East Asia – ASEAN Travel Cards -GMS Travel Cards * Promote investment in tourism infrastructure: airports, road access, hotels and other service facilities * Create join program within East Asia, ASEAN for Europe, USA, and the Rest of the World markets.

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