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Urbanization and poverty in Africa: encouraging shared growth Cecilia Tacoli International Institute for Environment and Development, UK
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Urbanization – what is it, and why it is important Urbanization (%) and urban growth (absolute numbers) have different causes More than half the world’s population live in areas classed as urban since 2008 But there are wide regional variations The fastest urbanizing regions to 2050 will be Africa and Asia Most of the growth of the world’s total population and urban population will be in these regions But not necessarily in the large cities
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What drives urbanization? Changes in the % of GDP from industry and services, employment sectors and population in urban areas, 1950-2005 (all low and middle income nations. Source: Satterthwaite 2007)
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Urbanization in sub-Saharan Africa: a ‘special case’?
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Some myths on urbanization in SSA ‘Urbanization without economic growth’, or the underestimation of informal sector activities? ...but also the underestimation of urban poverty The role of rural-urban migration, natural population growth and circular migration Large cities or urban networks? Changes in family farming and their links with urbanization and seasonal mobility The impacts of urban growth on natural resources and its contribution to climate change are lower than usually thought and can be positive
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Urban governance and urban poverty Almost 60% of urban Africans live in small urban centres (less than 500,000 inhabitants) and only 9% in cities of over 5 million inhabitants Urban poverty is increasing and is under-estimated by income-based measurements Living conditions are just as important as income, and can be addressed by appropriate governance There has been much progress in decentralisation, but more needs to be done in small urban centres with regard to technical capacity, revenue and accountability
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Beyond internal rural-urban migration: international remittances help build small towns in Senegal – but not without problems...
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Urbanization, climate change and rural livelihoods The impacts of climate change contribute to mobility, but are not the only reason for it Mobility, migration and income diversification are a key element of rural poverty reduction and adaptation to CC – and often revolve around urban centres Urbanization is good for farmers, as demand for high value food increases (and is more stable than int’l markets) Remittances and non-farm incomes encourage farmers’ innovation through cash investment
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Some implications for policy A regional (rural-urban) approach rather than a sectoral approach Urbanization is not the cause of growing urban poverty – this is the consequence of the failure to plan for and manage urban growth Local governments have a key role to play – they need support from national governments and donors for this, but it is important to keep in mind that it takes time for decentralisation to succeed Migration (not only rural-urban) will increase as a result of climate change, but this is a positive adaptation and not necessarily a problem
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