1. Urbanization in China Speaker: Huizhong Shen College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China

2. Climate 1982 1990 2000 2010 2030

3. Climate  Urban area NL data: DMSP-OLS (1992-2012) MODIS (2010) Seto projection (2030) 1992-2000 2010-2000 NL data intercalibration

4. Climate  Urban area DMSP-OLS (1992-2012) MODIS (2010) Seto projection (2030) 20012010 Beijing built-up area (MODIS)

5. Climate ShanghaiShenyangPearl River Delta DMSP-OLS GLC30

6. Climate BeijingZhengzhou DMSP-OLS Landsat TM/ETM 1992 2010

7.  Population distributions LandScan (1998~2012) GPW v3 (1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015) CAS-China (1990 2000 2005 2010) Climate

8.  Population distributions National census: 1982, 1990, 2000, 2010 2030 projection Provincial population: Logistic growth model Urban/rural: UN method Climate

9.  Rural/urban energy consumption Questionnaires from Beijing residents Climate

10.  Per capita consumptions - empirical model Residential: Rural Urban Climate UrbanRural

11.  Per capita consumptions - empirical model Transportation Climate

12.  Per capita consumptions - empirical model Regional adjustment Climate predict Empirical model Report

13.  Energy structure – technology split method Transition of fuel type  S-Curve Climate Coal Oil Gas Elect Straw Firewood Biomass Hebei province – rural, 1980~2030 Coal / fuel excluding biomass

14. Climate  Spatial allocation Urban Rural Transport 198220002030 Shanghai p ≥ 95%

15. Climate

16. Thank You !