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GACTE Conference July 20, 2010 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline.

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Presentation on theme: "GACTE Conference July 20, 2010 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline."— Presentation transcript:

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2 GACTE Conference July 20, 2010 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline 4What Can We Do?

3 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

4 Academic Achievement Milestones School Readiness Literacy by 3 rd Grade Numeracy by 8 th Grade High School Graduation Workforce and/or College Ready

5 Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2008 Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center. Georgia 63% United States 61%

6 NAEP 2009 4 th Grade Reading At or Above Basic Source: National Center for Education Statistics Georgia 63% United States 65%

7 NAEP 2009 8 th Grade Math At or Above Basic Source: National Center for Education Statistics United States 71% Georgia 67%

8 SAT 2009 Scores – All States Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports. United States 1509 Georgia 1460

9 SAT 2009 Scores – States with Participation Rate At or Above 25% Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports. United States 1509 Georgia 1460

10 SAT 2009 Scores – States with Participation Rate At or Above 60% Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports. United States 1509 Georgia 1460

11 Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08. United States 74.9% Georgia 65.4% High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings

12 Georgia High School Graduation Rates Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. Year High School Graduation Rate Number of High School Non-Grads 200671%29,943 200772%28,883 200875%27,248 200979%23,567 Total109,550

13 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

14 Education Pays Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted. Data given are 1 st quarter 2010 averages. EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT Unemployment RateApril 2010 Median Wkly Earnings (& approx. annual) 15% 10%5%0%02006001000 4.4 Bachelor’s Degree & Higher $1,140 ($59,280) 8.1 Some college/ Associate Degree $738 ($38,376) 10.5 HS Graduates, No College $624 ($32,448) 14.5 Less than a High School Diploma $448 ($23,296)

15 Unemployment Rates by Education Level Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.

16 Unemployment Rates by County, Feb. 2010 Source: Georgia Department of Labor

17 State Service Delivery Regions

18 Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone? Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding. Region 1$2.2 billion Region 2$1.2 billion Region 3$4.2 billion Region 4$1.1 billion Region 5$1.1 billion Region 6$1.0 billion Region 7$1.1 billion Region 8$0.9 billion Region 9$0.9 billion Region 10$2.0 billion Region 11$1.0 billion Region 12$1.1 billion TOTAL$18 billion*

19 Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children. INDIVIDUALSTHE COMMUNITY Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity Higher health care & criminal justice costs Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood Higher public services costs Less voting; Less volunteering Low rate of community involvement

20 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

21 KEY ISSUE #1 Early Life Experiences KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12 KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College

22 Family Income Affects School Readiness Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99. Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten

23 Disparities in Early Vocabulary Growth Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.” Professional Families 1,116 words Working Class Families 749 words Welfare Families 525 words

24 Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

25 Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

26 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12

27 6 th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions. Flag in Sixth Grade Percent with this flag who… Attended ≤ 80% Failed Math Course Failed English Course Suspended Out of School Un- satisfactory Behavior Graduated on time 13 121624 Did not graduate 8381828071

28 Cost of Student Retention in Georgia 61,642X$8,909= More than $549 million Georgia students retained in 2009 Average annual cost of education per student Total cost of student retention in 2009 for Georgia Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation Example for Chatham County School System: 2,471X$9,702=$23,973,642

29 Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States Higher Standards Rigorous Curriculum Clear Accountability System Statewide Student Information System Leadership Training

30 3 rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education. % of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

31 8 th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education. % of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

32 High School Graduation Rates in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education.

33 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College

34 Are They College Ready? Source: Nat’l Center for Education Statistics. “The Condition of Education: Student Effort & Educational Progress.” 2004 Educational Attainment of Remedial Coursetakers

35 Source: College Board, “The 6 th Annual A.P. Report to the Nation: Georgia Supplement,” 2010. Participation & Performance in AP Courses

36 Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009. The Demands of America’s New Economy The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent. 12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.

37 Source: National Skills Coalition, “The Issues.” Middle-Skills Gap Between Jobs & Workers Persistent shortages of middle-skill workers inhibit industry growth and U.S. competitiveness

38 What Can We Do?

39 Improving the Pipeline – Low Birth Rates What would it take to make a 10% improvement in key KIDS COUNT indicators in your county? Current Data (2006) 10% Improvement Number of events 438394 Population 3,982 Rate 11.0%9.9% Chatham County would need 44 fewer babies born at low birthweight to improve by 10 percent.

40 Improving the Pipeline – HS Graduation What would it take to make a 10% improvement in key KIDS COUNT indicators in your county? Current Data (2007) 10% Improvement Number of events 1,3271,460 Population 2,141 Rate 62.0%68.2% Chatham County would need 133 more youth to graduate from high school to improve by 10 percent.

41 Aligning Educational Strategies Aligned Acts of Improvement Random Acts of Improvement GOALS

42 Insulating the Birth to Work Pipeline LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS Childcare Providers Afterschool Programs Academic Supports Job Training Civic Opportunities EarlyChildhood K – 12 System PostSecondary Work &Career ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES Transportation Health Housing Financial Source: The Forum for Youth Investment

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