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Survey on Competitiveness in the Textile/Clothing and Leather Sectors of the New Member Countries and Bulgaria and Romania Import and Export in the 10.

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Presentation on theme: "Survey on Competitiveness in the Textile/Clothing and Leather Sectors of the New Member Countries and Bulgaria and Romania Import and Export in the 10."— Presentation transcript:

1 Survey on Competitiveness in the Textile/Clothing and Leather Sectors of the New Member Countries and Bulgaria and Romania Import and Export in the 10 Participating Countries Budapest, 19 May 2005 This documenthas been produced with the financial support of the European Community’s BSP2 programme. The views expressed herein are those of CAST and can therefore in no way be taken to reflect the official opinion of the European Commission

2 ANALYSIS OF IMPORTS - EXPORTS HUNGARY 2001 - 2003 YARNS AND FABRICS GARMENTS LEATHER SHOES

3 IMPORTS

4 METHODOLOGY The analysis has the goal of identify “winner” and “losers” In the competition in the Hungarian market. Parameters: imports in value years 2001/2003 Variables: - the trend (increase or decrease % in value) between 2001 and 2003 - the position (import share %) for each pre-selected country (27 + EU15 + Others)

5 A COMPETITION MATRIX HIGH GROWTH >AVERAGE Code 1 LOW GROWTH < AVERAGE Code 0 SMALL SHARE <5% Code 0 LARGE SHARE >5% Code 1 11 WINNERS 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS 10 INCREASING

6 YARNS AND FABRICS

7 COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF YARNS AND FABRICS Total imports have increased +9,39%, and show a high concentration since only one country EU15 reaches over 75%. This share, combined with a positive trend slightly over the average qualifies the EU15 as a WINNER. The residual cluster of “Others” is the only LOSER. The Czech rep. and China are growing at a pace of about 40% in two years; despite that, its share is still minor and these countries are classified as INCREASING.

8 YARNS AND FABRICS COMPETITION MATRIX 11 WINNERS 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS 10 INCREASING EU 15 China Czech Rep. TurkeyOthers

9 GARMENTS

10 COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF GARMENTS Total imports have increased significantly: +41,90%, Their concentration is low, 6 countries are needed to overcome 80%. The largest supplier is still the EU15 (33%) but it is a LOSER due to a negative growth trend (- 11,35%). The WINNERS are Romania and Hong Kong, China and Slovakia. Turkey, India and Bulgaria are INCREASING.

11 GARMENTS COMPETITION MATRIX 11 WINNERS 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS 10 INCREASING EU 15 Others Romania China Hong Kong Slovakia Thailand Czech rep. India Turkey Bulgaria

12 LEATHER

13 COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF LEATHER Total imports have decreased : - 30%, Import concentration is very high due to the overwhelming share of EU15, the largest supplier, with 75 %. EU15 is classified as WINNER though its performance is heavely negative in terms of growth but slightly better than the average. The true WINNERS are China and Poland. Vietnam, India and Hong Kong are rapidly INCREASING.

14 LEATHER COMPETITION MATRIX 11 WINNERS 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS 10 INCREASING EU15 China Poland Vietnam India HongKong Romania Pakistan

15 SHOES

16 COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF SHOES Total imports have decreased : - 40%. Import concentration is rather low, and five countries make up 80% of total imports. Hong Kong (China?) is the WINNER. Also Romania and Vietnam are classified as WINNERS. LOSERS are EU15 (negative trend of 62%), and China (?). Turkey and Poland increasing at a fairly high pace.

17 SHOES COMPETITION MATRIX 11 WINNERS 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS 10 INCREASING EU15 China Hong Kong Romania Vietnam Indonesia Turkey Poland

18 EXPORTS

19 YARNS AND FABRICS Hungary exports increased only 45,16%, significantly above the average. EXPORTS TREND 2003 -2001 COUNTRY % ROMANIA76,61 BULGARIA62,22 HUNGARY45,16 POLAND 37,05 LATVIA14,05 LITHUANIA5,85 SLOVAKIA1,04 CZECH-2,17 ESTONIA-4,29 SLOVENIA-26,99 TOT AV.20,85

20 GARMENTS COUNTRY % TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 Hungary shows a positive trend slightly above the average. ROMANIA47,09 BULGARIA22,78 LATVIA19,48 HUNGARY9,11 ESTONIA1,91 POLAND 0,05 SLOVAKIA-0,65 LITHUANIA-2,25 SLOVENIA-6,25 CZECH-12,56 TOT AV.7,87

21 LEATHER TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 Hungary shows the best performance. COUNTRY % HUNGARY126,04 LATVIA49,22 SLOVAKIA12,13 SLOVENIA6,56 CZECH-9,72 BULGARIA-22,22 LITHUANIA-28,31 ROMANIAna POLAND na ESTONIAna TOT AV.19,10

22 SHOES TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 Hungary shows a decrease well below the average. The negative average demonstrates that the overal sectoral competition is weak. COUNTRY % SLOVAKIA38,38 BULGARIA12,13 LATVIA2,42 POLAND -14,93 HUNGARY-26,40 CZECH-37,99 LITHUANIA-43,31 ROMANIAna SLOVENIAna ESTONIAna TOT AV.-9,96

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