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Children and young people’s plan profile September 2011.

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Presentation on theme: "Children and young people’s plan profile September 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 Children and young people’s plan profile September 2011

2 Important Key findings are focused on trends rather than snapshots

3 Aims and objectives To update key findings in the 2009-12 and 2010 refreshed children and young people’s plan. Further information underpinning key data in this needs analysis is available on Camden’s data observatory – www.camdendata.info www.camdendata.info

4 Camden continues to be one of the most polarised boroughs in terms of wealth and deprivation 40% of children in Camden are living in poverty (21% nationally) – in real number terms this represents about 15,000 children. 68% of these are within single parent households (NI 116, 2008 data). Around 28,000 residents in Camden are in receipt of housing benefit and council tax benefit – this reflects roughly 27% of all households. 30% of households with a claimant are families and single parent households make up over a third. 3,450 lone parents were on out-of-work income support in August 2009. 97% of all lone parents on income support were female and 60% had two or more dependent children. 11% of female lone parents on income support were aged under 25. 18% of families eligible for the child care element of working tax credit actually claim it. This is in line with national figures but lower than a number of other London boroughs.

5 A diverse school population, with high levels of mobile pupils, particularly in the primary phase 70% of school age children in Camden (excluding those who are privately educated) attend Camden maintained schools (Jan 2010 – as a % of 2009 mid year estimates (MYE)). 2010 estimates of those attending private/independent provision based on 2009 MYE are almost 3,000 11-15 year olds i.e. 32% of estimated Camden secondary aged pupils and an estimated 4,500 4 -10 year olds i.e. 29% of Camden primary aged pupils. 5,206 children who live in other London boroughs also attend Camden schools (1,044 primary - 9%, 4,162 secondary – 42%). 11% of children in Camden schools are considered ‘mobile’ as they arrive after 1 st October in Year 1 in primary (17% mobile) or Year 7 for secondary (8%). The school population is more ethnically diverse than the borough population with 76% of pupils in Camden primary and 72% in Camden secondary schools from black or minority ethnic groups. 61% of our primary school pupils and 48% of secondary school pupils speak English as an additional language. Over 100 languages are spoken in Camden schools. 4,526 pupils in Camden schools are identified as refugees i.e. 26% of the primary/ secondary school roll. 41% of primary school pupils and 32% for secondary pupils receive free school meals compared to London figures of 24% primary and 23% secondary (Jan 2010). No. of pupils% FSM% BME%EAL% refugee % out of borough % mobile pupils Primary1151541766127917 Secondary979932724824428 Special27459765626 29 All schools21588377455262413

6 Nearly a quarter of pupils have special educational needs and/ or disabilities 5074 pupils (23%) have special educational needs in Camden schools, which is in line with national figures. This includes 835 pupils (4%) who have a statement of special educational need. Far fewer pupils have moderate learning difficulty as their primary need than the national average (12% Camden; 24% nationally), and instead behavioural, emotional and social difficulty (particularly in secondary (39%; 30% nationally) and speech, language and communication needs in primary (36%; 27% nationally) have a higher representation. In January 2011, Camden maintained the statement for 991 pupils, down from a peak in January 2008 of 1,046. 71% of these (702) were in Camden maintained provision compared to 61% in 2008.

7 Good progress in a number of health areas but immunisation levels need to improve Infant mortalityBelow London and England averages at 3.5 per 1000 (2007-09 data). Differences between wards have narrowed in recent years. Smoking during pregnancyRates rose to 5% in 2009/10 (4.7% the previous year) however this remained below London and well below England average. 2010/11 figures to date remain at 5%. BreastfeedingRates of breastfeeding at 6-8 weeks are much higher than London or England averages – 76% in 2009/10 compared to 65% and 45% respectively. 2010/11 year to date figures show this rate is being maintained. Immunisations (MMR)In 2009/10, 73% of children in Camden received the MMR by their second birthday, well below London (82%) and England (88%) averages. 2010/11 figures show some improvement, with 77% receiving the MMR at age 2. High quality sportThe expectation is that pupils access 120 minutes of PE per week during curriculum time. 84% of all pupils are now accessing 120 minutes per week and over the past three years Camden has improved and narrowed the gap with the national participation rate of 86%. Camden primary schools now have an average of 128 minutes of PE on the curriculum compared with a national average of 123 minutes.

8 High levels of obesity in Camden schools Each year children in reception and year 6 classes have their height and weight measured. Latest data (2009/10) shows that 11.3% of reception pupils are obese, a slight decrease on previous year (11.6%). The figure is 21.2% in the year 6 cohort, an increase on the previous year (20.1%). Current rates are higher than England for both reception year and year 6. In both years, more prevalent in boys than girls, this is consistent with national findings.

9 Overall trend is a reduction in under 18 conception rates Teenage pregnancy rates in Camden have historically been high compared to national averages. The 2009 rates were the lowest ever in Camden at 28.4 per 1,000 15-17 year old females compared to 38.8 in 2008. Camden’s rate is now the second lowest in Inner London (2008 figure was 4 th lowest).

10 Increasing numbers of young people being referred for substance misuse services In January 2011 a refresh of the Camden young people’s substance misuse needs assessment was published. Key findings are shown below: Referral New referrals are increasing year on year, from 46 in 2005/6 compared to 168 in 2008/9 (tier 3 interventions). A large proportion of referrals were young offenders: YOS was the main referral source for 2008/9 (72%) followed by Education (13%). Parental substance misuse The total number of children under 18 affected by parental substance misuse is not exactly known but a low estimate is 4,176 children and a high estimate 6,682. 25-27% of adults in treatment are parents.

11 Cannabis and alcohol use are predominant Drug offences and arrest 8.1% of the 1366 offenders arrested for drugs offences were aged 17 or under in 2007/8. The total number of offences committed by young people was 814, of which 155 were drug related and 2 were alcohol related in 2008/9. Drugs of choice The majority of clients in treatment at Tier 3 throughout 2008/9 were either primary cannabis (65%) or alcohol users (34%). The proportion of young people using a primary Class A drug is low. Substance misuse related admissions Between April 2005 and March 2009 there were a total of 83 hospital admissions amongst children aged less than 18, in which alcohol was specifically mentioned as a cause. Of these, 54 were amongst girls and 29 amongst boys.

12 Reducing referral rates for children in need Referral rate for children in need (CIN) per 10,000 of local under 18 population has reduced from 799 in March 2007 to 568 in March 2011. 2009/10 is latest comparator data

13 Increasing rates of new child protection plans Camden has consistently had a higher rate of new child protection plans (per 10,000 of the under 18 population) compared with inner London and national averages. During 2010/11 there were 267 new plans, a rate of 64.3 compared to 210 new plans and a rate of 53 in 2006/7. 22% of all new protection plans in the first six months of 2010/11 were for children aged under 1; this is much higher than Camden’s 2009/10 figure of 18% and also higher than the national average for 2009/10 (17.5%).

14 Variety of reasons for becoming subject to a child protection plan There has been an increase in children being subject to a repeat protection plan over the last 5 years. In 2010/11, 16% (42) of all 267 new protection plans were repeat plans, compared to 10.5% in 2006/7. Between 2007/8 and 2009/10 there was a reduction in the proportion of new protection plans where domestic violence was identified as a factor – 68% down to 52%. However, with a figure of 77%, 2010/11 saw a marked increase. There was an increase in the percentage of referrals with abuse and neglect recorded as the main assessed need at the point of referral, was 37% in 2010/11, compared to 30% in 2009/10.

15 Reducing rates of looked after children (LAC) Over the past five years there has been a marked reduction in both the number and rate (per 10,000 children aged under 18) who are looked after. In March 2007 there were 344 LAC, a rate of 85.5. In March 2011 there were 276 LAC, a rate of 66.5. 2009/10 is latest comparator data

16 Some groups over-represented in the looked after children cohort Since 2008/9 there has been an imbalance between genders in Camden’s care population, with boys over-represented; further analysis shows that this is even more evident for the 10 to 15 years group (within this cohort as at 31/03/2011 there were 62% boys and 38% girls compared to 57% boys and 43% girls for the overall care population). The ethnicity of the care population has remained the same, in that overall, 163 (70%) children come from BME backgrounds (this includes children from mixed ethnic and white other backgrounds). There has been an increase in the number of 13 to 17 year olds (inclusive) coming in to care (28% in 2006/7 and 51% in 2010/11)

17 Progress in attaining a ‘good level’ of overall development in the foundation stage profile Early years foundation stage profile (EYFSP) - age 5 Sustained high level of pupils attaining a ‘good’ level of overall development from 50% in 2009 to 58% in 2011 and is now above 2010 national (56%). The gap between the lowest 20% and the median has narrowed to 30.3% but remains slightly behind 2010 national (32.7%).

18 Recent fall in attainment at age 7 Key stage 1 – age 7 (the age group where Camden pupils achieve below the national average). Nationally, % achieving expected levels (level 2+) have remained broadly unchanged. As such, the recent dip in Camden results shows a widening gap from 2010 national results.

19 High performing primary schools: pupils consistently achieve above national averages at key stage 2 at age 11 Key stage 2: Attainment at level 4 and above: English (86%), maths (84%) and combined English and maths (78%) above national averages (82% English, 80% maths and 75% combined English and maths). No schools were below the government ‘floor target’ of 65% in 2010 compared to 2009 when there were 5 below for English; 3 below for maths and 3 below for combined English and maths.

20 Attainment at 16 continues to improve, however the rate of increase is below that of neighbouring boroughs GCSE: Attainment of 5+ A*-C including English and maths increased by 7% in 2011and is now above the 2010 national average. Attainment of 5+ A*-C improved by 4%, though the gap with 2010 national average remains 73% Camden;75% national).

21 Attainment at 18 continues to improve and gaps with national results are narrowing Post-16 attainment: Level 3 attainment at key stage 5 has increased steadily in recent years, with the gap between the national average and Camden for points per candidate narrowing (gap was 88 points in 2006 and was 50 in 2010 – representing an average increase of 1 A level grade), and Camden remaining above the national for points per entry (218 Camden; 214 national).

22 Key stage 223% of pupils achieved level 5+ in English and mathematics in 2010, which was the same as in 2009 and also the same as national results in 2010 too. Key stage 426% of pupils achieved 3 or more A*-A grades, which is the highest proportion in 5 years and also represents a 2% increase since 2009. Key stage 510% of pupils achieved 3 or more A grades in the A levels (same for last 3 years); this is below the national results, which were 13% in 2010. Gifted and talented pupils There were 2410 pupils on the gifted and talented register in January 2011. This represents 10% of primary roll (9% nationally) 12% of secondary roll (15% nationally) 7% of special school roll. ‘Able’ pupils attain in line with national averages across all key stages

23 Gaps in attainment between Camden averages for key groups exist with gaps narrowing in some cases and widening in others, mirroring national trends NB: *2010 KS2 excludes schools which had boycotted KS2 exams **Mobile refers to pupils joining after 1 st October in Year 1 (primary schools) OR Year 7 (secondary schools) Some groups have relatively low numbers of pupils e.g. pupils with statement at FSP and should be interpreted with caution The key groups of concern are: Boys Pupils eligible for free school meals (FSM) Pupils on the special educational needs (SEN) register ‘Mobile’ pupils

24 Looked after children (LAC) While the standards reached by LAC at each key stage are well below Camden averages, results in 2010 for children looked after by Camden compare favourably in a number of areas with 2010 national figures for LAC and previous results. Areas where Camden LAC outperformed LAC nationally are: Reading at KS1, while writing was in line with national results English, mathematics and science at KS2, with all pupils making 2 levels of progress from KS1 in English, and almost all pupils making 2 levels of progress in mathematics. At KS4, Camden LAC underperformed LAC nationally in all areas. Attainment of looked after children (LAC) is lower than Camden averages, however compares well to national LAC averages for some Key Stages

25 Mixed attainment levels across different black and minority ethnic groups, with recent progress in some narrowing of the gaps between these groups and the Camden average NB: *2010 KS2 excludes boycott schools. Some groups have relatively low numbers of pupils e.g. Congolese and should be interpreted with caution The key groups of concern are: Bangladeshi pupils Black Caribbean pupils White British pupils entitled to FSM Congolese pupils Somali pupils

26 PrimaryImproving overall – from 93.5% in 2007/8 to 94.2% in 2009/10. Gap with national average (94.7%) continues to narrow from -1.2% to -0.5% in the last 3 years. Now ranked 7 th of 11 similar authorities compared to 10 th in 2007/8. SecondaryBig improvement i.e. +1.5% since 2007/8 (91.9%) to 93.4% in 2009/10, and now better than national (93.2% i.e. an improvement of +0.4% since 2007/8). Now ranked 6 th of 10 similar authorities compared to 8 th in 2007/8. In addition, persistent absence has fallen from 6.5% to 3.3% over the same period. Looked after children (LAC) Rates are improving (19.7% absence in 2006/7, 14% in 2008/9). Vulnerable groupsGroups with relatively high proportions of persistent absentees and relatively low attendance respectively in 2009/10 are:  pupils entitled to FSM  on the SEN register, particularly those identified with BESD (behaviour, emotional and social difficulties)  white UK entitled to free school meals. Secondary schools only: white UK not entitled to free school meals and those in Year 10 and Year 11. These are largely the same as identified in 2008/9. Increasing levels of attendance across both primary and secondary schools over the last three years

27 Low levels of exclusions – both permanent and fixed term exclusions Fixed-term exclusions The proportion of pupils receiving fixed-term exclusions has remained stable in primary schools and continued to decrease in secondary schools: For primary schools, this rate remained at 0.7% in 2009/10 For secondary schools, this rate decreased from 5.8% in 2008/9 to 5.4% in 2009/10. The proportion of fixed-term exclusions incidents has decreased from 1.3% to 1.1% in primary schools and from 8.8% to 8.4% in secondary schools in 2009/10. Permanent exclusions The number of permanent exclusions in primary schools remains low; whilst in secondary schools, the number decreased from 12 to 11 in 2009/10.

28 Increasing numbers of young people at post 16 attain level 2 and 3 qualifications The proportion of young people in Camden (who were in Camden aged 15) reaching attainment level 2 and level 3 by age 19 has risen, against a year on year increase nationally.

29 High levels of young people staying in education, employment or training Alternative provision: Alongside the 9 school sixth forms, Camden also has an FE college (Westminster Kingsway) and number of work-based learning providers. Year 11 pupils The proportion of year 11 pupils staying on in education or training remains steady at 94% (compared to 95% in 2008/09). Year 13 pupils The proportion of year 13 pupils going on to higher education, employment or training also remain steady, at 89% (the same as in 2008/9). 753 pupils (74%) went to university, though 142 of these planned on having a gap year before starting their studies in autumn 2011. Youth unemployment The monthly claimant count shows a lower % of young people aged 16-24 were unemployed in March 2011 (11.5%) compared with March 2010 (20.4%) and a reduction on March 2009 (16.9%). The gap between the rate for 16-24s and all ages has also fallen over the same period (14.5% higher in March 2010, 6.2% higher in March 2011). Care leavers More care leavers are going to university: 17 in 2010, compared to 3 in 2004.

30 There are variations in the number of young people not in education, employment and training (NEETS) The number of NEET young people varies through the year; though for the last few years we have maintained low figures, equating to around 250-300 young people. There is great deal of mobility within this figure, with 33% of the March 2011 NEET cohort being ‘long term NEET’ (more than 200 days) (compared to 34% in Inner London). The proportion of 16-18 year olds in Camden who are NEET has increased recently from 5.5% to 6.4%, and this is now above the national and London average. The number of NEETs is lower, and the increase in proportion is the result of changes to the wider cohort (a reduction in cohort size), e.g. young people moving away or attending education outside of the borough. Inner London is taken from unadjusted Jan figures

31 Increasing number of young people engaging with positive activities In 2010/11 youth services ‘reached’ 38% of young people aged 13 to 19, exceeding the target of 35% and continuing the year on year increase. This represented 5,838 young people. Of these young people, 3,049 (52%) went on to participate in 5 or more sessions of positive activities. This is a slight reduction on the previous year.

32 Reducing trend in the number of first time entrants to the youth justice system Despite an increase in the past 12 months, when compared to 2006/7, the 5 year trend for first time entrants is down, with local recording showing a reduction from 214 to 177. The official measure for first time entrants is as a rate per 100,000 10 to 17 year olds. The Camden trend is again downward and currently in line with London and slightly above the England average. Re-offending is expressed as a rate of offences per 100 young offenders. Camden’s baseline in 2007/8 stood at 1.49. This reduced in 2008/9 to 1.37 but rose to 1.53 in 2009/10. 2010/11 data shows a reduction, standing at 1.25. The latest comparator is 2008/9 and stood at 1.06 for London and 1.05 for England

33 More young offenders are engaging in education, training or employment (ETE) In 2009/10 the proportion of young offenders engaging in ETE was 74%, above the England average of 73% but below the London average of 77%. This has risen to 81.5% in 2010/11 and we anticipate this will remain above the England average and close the gap on London when comparator data is published. 2009/10 is latest comparator data


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