1. Changes in alcohol outlet trading hours and assault Status of evidence January 2016 Presented at: Queensland Coalition for Action on Alcohol (QCAA) “Tackling Alcohol-Fuelled Violence Legislation (Amendment Bill) 2015” Wednesday 17 February 2016 Premier’s Hall, Parliamentary Annexe, Parliament House, Brisbane Kypros Kypri PhD School of Medicine & Public Health, University of Newcastle

2. Stockwell & Chikritzhs [1]. Do relaxed trading hours for bars and clubs mean more relaxed drinking ? A review of international research on the impacts of changes to permitted hours of drinking. Crime Prevention and Community Safety 2009;11(3):153-70. ~14 controlled studies (Australia, Brazil, Canada, UK, USA,) “the balance of reliable evidence…suggests that extended late-night trading hours lead to increased consumption and related harms.” The science to 2010

3. Hahn, R. A., et al. (2010) [2]. Effectiveness of policies restricting hours of alcohol sales in preventing excessive alcohol consumption and related harms. American Journal of Preventive Medicine 39(6): 590-604. ~US Task Force on Community Preventive Services ~Reviewed: 10 studies examining changes of ≥2 hours 6 studies examining changes of <2 hours “There was sufficient evidence…to conclude that increasing hours of sale by 2 or more hours increases alcohol-related harms The evidence…was insufficient to determine whether increasing hours of sale by less than 2 hours increases excessive alcohol consumption and related.” [Not evidence of no effect but insufficient evidence]

4. Since 2010 Newcastle ↓ : Kypri et al 2011, 2014, 2015 Norway ↓ ↑ : Rossow & Norstrom, 2012 Sydney ↓ : Menendez et al, 2015; under review Amsterdam ↑ : de Goeij et al, 2015 Perth ↑ : Hobday et al, 2015

5. The Newcastle experiment Police and community complain to state govt about high levels of crime from pubs in CBD Liquor Administration Board forces 14 pubs to close earlier: 3am (with 1am “lockout” / “one-way door”) – previously 5am Took effect 21 March 2008 (weakened to 3.30am/1.30am on 29 July 2008)

6. Pop. 530,000 6 th largest city in Australia

8. CBD Before 3am After 3amChi-squared test N%N%StatisticP-Value Pre2000737382741.4881<.0001 Post369885212.. Before 3am After 3amChi-squared test N%N%StatisticP-Value Pre52279138210.15560.6933 Post124813020.. Hamilton

9. [6,9]

10. Rossow I & Norstrom T (2012) [5]. The impact of small changes in bar closing hours on violence. The Norwegian experience from 18 cities. Addiction 107(3) 530-7 8 cities extend hours  20% increase in assaults per additional hour of trading 15 cities restricted hours  16% decrease in assaults per hour restriction Norway

11. de Goeij MC, Veldhuizen EM, Buster MC, Kunst AE. The impact of extended closing times of alcohol outlets on alcohol-related injuries in the nightlife areas of Amsterdam: a controlled before-and-after evaluation. Addiction. 2015 Jun;110(6):955-64 Weekdays: 3am  4am Weekends: 4am  5am  35% increase in ambulance attendances compared to a within-city control area Amsterdam

12. Hobday M, Chikritzhs T, Liang W, Meuleners L. The effect of alcohol outlets, sales and trading hours on alcohol-related injuries presenting at emergency departments in Perth, Australia, from 2002 to 2010. Addiction. 2015 Dec;110(12):1901-9. 117 postcodes over 8 years (2002-10) ED injury presentations at night and weekends Weekend night injuries increased by 5% per on- premises outlet with an Extended Trading Permit and by less than 1% for outlets with standard trading hours. Perth

15. California model No alcohol consumed in licensed premises after 2am (‘last drinking’) One simple law Easy to understand and police Less incursion into people’s liberties

16. Thank you kypros.kypri@newcastle.edu.au

17. “The problem will simply move somewhere else or to earlier in the evening” ~geographic and temporal displacement Myths

18. “We need to educate young people about alcohol and how to drink sensibly” At best a naïve statement, at worst, Liquorspeak for “don’t interfere with the availability of alcohol to young people, our heaviest and most important consumers”. Overwhelming evidence shows no beneficial effect of education and persuasion programs in terms of risk behaviour or harms

19. “People are safer drinking in pubs than in unsupervised places” A favourite of the liquor industry. Three quarters of assault fatalities that occur outside the home occur in or around licensed premises (Langley, J., Chalmers, D. and Fanslow, J. (1996) Incidence of death and hospitalization from assault occurring in and around licensed premises: A comparative analysis. Addiction 91, 985-93.)

20. “You have to change the drinking culture” - Said as if the law wasn’t a determinant of culture and often to avoid action. The Newcastle CBD has a different drinking culture now than before March 2008 “There are no silver/magic bullets” - “If we can’t eliminate the problem we wont try anything” ?! [Note: Some people confuse prevention with elimination] “There are no one-size-fits-all approaches” - “We have to limit the spread of an intervention which will reduce profits” “It might work in X but it won’t work here” - The NZ Govt said that about drink-driving laws. Imagine if we applied that thinking to cancer drugs