Developing a Spatial Hazard Index Methodology Using ModelBuilder Joe Ludwig Geography 596A January 6, 2009 Advisor: Dr. Todd Bacastow Photo Source: NOAA

Overview Background Objectives Methodology Limitations Timeline Progress Anticipated Results

Background Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP)‏ US Transportation Command (TRANSCOM)‏

Background

Aggregation to Political Boundaries Pattern Analysis VS

Background Geographic Information Science & Technology (GIS&T) Body of Knowledge

Objectives

Methodology PROCESS Geodatabase Hazard Raster Surfaces Reclassified Surfaces Weighting Matrix Monthly Hazard Surfaces Monthly Composite Hazards Index OUTPUTS Composite Hazards Index Data Preparation Spatial Analysis Reclassification Weighting Temporal Analysis Hazard Impact Analysis Hazard Maps

Data Preparation

Data Sources National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)‏  Tornadoes, large hail, severe wind,extreme heat, freezing precipitation, snowfall data US Geologic Survey (USGS)  Seismic and landslide hazard areas Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)‏  Flooding Geospatial Multi-Agency Coordination (GeoMAC) group  Wildfires Source: USGS Source: NOAA NHC Source: GeoMAC Source: USACE

Data Sources National Transportation Atlas Database (NTAD)‏  Airports, major highways, railroads Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)‏  Population density Illinois Emergency Management Agency (IEMA)‏  Emergency management areas and offices

Spatial Analysis

Reclassification

Weighting

Composite Index [flood]* [tornado]* [hail]* [wind]* [winter_wx]* [drought]* [landslide]* [earthquake]*0.0625

Geoprocessing Model

Temporal Analysis JANFEB MARAPRMAYJUN DECNOV OCTSEPAUGJUL

Hazard Impact Analysis Key InfrastructuresPopulations Emergency Management Areas

Potential Limitations Data  Availability  Resolution Scope of hazards  Natural, technological, man-made Source: CNN

Timeline Prepare Project Abstract Hazards Research Literature Review Data Collection & Preparation Prepare Final Presentation Prepare Final Paper Prepare Proposal Paper & Presentation Spatial Analysis & Methodology Model Development Apply Model to Illinois Oct 08Nov 08Dec 08Jan 09Feb 09Mar 09Apr 09 Project Proposal Presentation Submit Abstract for ESRI Federal User Conf. Conference Presentation ESRI Federal User Conf. GEOG 596B Course End Date

Progress Literature review Data preparation Spatial analysis Model development Apply model to Illinois Final Presentation In Progress In Progress Starting FEB

Summary Composite and monthly hazard index Geoprocessing model Hazard impact map products  Key infrastructure  Population exposure  Emergency management areas

Questions