Time Value of Money Increases in value over time/inflation Increases in value over time/inflation Interest (principle * rate * time) Interest (principle * rate * time) – Simple – Compound Value in long-term capital budgeting decision Value in long-term capital budgeting decision – Present value – Future value
Capital Budgeting Planning process used to determine a firm’s long term investments Limited resources – efficient use – produce goods and services Prudent investment decisions – great care, deliberate analysis Cost vs. benefits Cost – current outlay, benefits – future value Minimum required rate of return – discount future cash flows – present value Interest rate to borrow? Present ROA
Capital Budgeting Methods - not consider time value of money: Payback method - length of time to recover the cost of an investment, cash inflows = initial investment Accounting rate of return – uses cash inflows and depreciation Simple rate of return – net operating income (estimated revenue – estimated costs)
Capital Budgeting Payback method – Easy to do, simple to understand Shortest route – get back initial capital Does not measure the total value of the project Initial investment/annual cash inflows Using estimates of yearly profits I.e. - if a project costs $100,000 and was expected to return $20,000 annually, the payback period would be $100,000/$20,000, or five years
Capital Budgeting Accounting rate of return (Annual cash inflows – depreciation)/initial investment Depreciation – noncash expense – lower taxes I.e. - if a project costs $100,000 and was expected to last 10 years and return $20,000 annually, the ARR would be (20,000-10,000)/100,000 = 10%
Capital Budgeting Simple rate of return Annual incremental net operating income/initial investment
Capital Budgeting If appears to be profitable - more complex capital budgeting analysis is done NPV - net present value - using expected returns and cost of capital, add value to firm after making the required cost of capital Measures excess or shortfall of cash flows Year 1 - Interest: $100 * 10% = $10 + $100 = $110 NPV: $110 / 1.1 = $100 Year 2 – Interest: $110 + ($110 * 10 %) = $11 + $110 = $121 NPV: $121/(1.1 * 1.1) = $100 IRR - internal rate of return - equates the estimated profits to the cost to see what rate of return actually is NPV = $0
Oceanic Company Oceanic Company – Invest in machinery – increase revenue $1 million/year for next 10 years, cost = $5.6 million – Present value of $1 million/year for 10 years = $5,650,200 – Benefit – cost = $5,650,200 - $5, 600,000 = $150,200 – project accepted
South Pacific Corporation South Pacific Corporation – Invest $700,000 – Uneven cash flows of $200,000 – 1 st year $200,000 – 1 st year $350,000 – 2 nd year $350,000 – 2 nd year $250,000 – 3 rd year $250,000 – 3 rd year
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Read Chapters 8 and 9, Assignment – Rowe Case – use format