THE BUSINESS CYCLE “The roller coaster of Macroeconomics”
WHAT IS THE BUSINESS CYCLE??
BUSINESS CYCLE Measures real GDP over time Shows the increase or decrease in Y throughout time in a graphic way. Phases of the Business Cycle Expansion/Recovery Phase- real GDP increases over time (Economic Growth) Potential Problem - inflation Contractionary/Recessionary Phase- real GDP decreases over time Recessions are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth Potential Problem – deflation and unemployment Peak- the highest point in an Expansion phase before a recessionary phase Trough- the lowest point in a recessionary phase before an expansionary phase Growth Trend Line- average constant growth rate of the economy over time
THE BUSINESS CYCLE vPEHRRE
WHAT CAUSES THE UPS AND DOWNS?? Capital Expenditures WHY???
WHAT CAUSES THE UPS AND DOWN??? Inventory WHY???
WHAT CAUSES THE UPS AND DOWNS???? Innovation WHY???
WHAT CAUSES THE UPS AND DOWNS??? External / Exogeneous Shocks- Demand side Supply side WHAT ARE SOME REAL EXAMPLES?
WHAT CAUSES THE UPS AND DOWNS??? Government Policy Fiscal Regulatory
WHAT CAUSES THE UPS AND DOWNS??? EXPECTATIONS!!!
THE US BUSINESS CYCLE Please provide one CD/One CM