When you studied probability in earlier lessons, you focused on probabilities of single events (for example, one draw of a card, or picking one cube from.

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To calculate the probability of compound, dependent events.
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When you studied probability in earlier lessons, you focused on probabilities of single events (for example, one draw of a card, or picking one cube from a bag). You also examined probabilities of either one or another of two events occurring (for example, winning either a raffle ticket or cash; drawing either a king or queen). In this lesson, you will begin to investigate when one and another event both occur, such as flipping two coins or spinning a spinner multiple times. Throughout this lesson, use these questions to help focus your team’s discussion: Does the result of one event affect the other? How many possibilities are there?

5-43. In Chapter 1, you met Chris and her older sister, Rachel, who made a system for determining which one of them washes the dishes each night. Chris has been washing the dishes much more than she feels is her fair share, so she has come up with a new system. She has proposed to Rachel that they get two coins, and each day she and Rachel will take a coin and flip their coins at the same time. If the coins match, Chris washes the dishes; if they do not match, Rachel washes the dishes. Explore using CPM Probability eTool.

5-43 cont. Rachel thinks that this is a good idea and that her little sister is very silly! She thinks to herself, “Since there are two ways to match the coins, Heads-and-Heads or Tails-and-Tails, and only one non-match, Heads-and-Tails, then Chris will STILL wash the dishes more often. Ha!” a. Do you agree with Rachel? Why or why not? b. Does it matter if they flip the coins at the same time? That is, does the result of one coin flip depend on the other coin flip?

5-43 cont. c. What are all of the possible outcomes when the girls flip their coins? Organize the possibilities. Use the word “and” when you are talking about both one thing and another occurring. d. Look at your list from part (c). Imagine that the coins are a penny and a nickel instead of two of the same coin. Does your list include both the possibilities of getting a heads on the penny and tails on the nickel and vice versa? If not, be sure to add them to your list. e. Is Rachel right? Does this method give her an advantage, or is this a fair game? What is the theoretical probability for each girl’s washing the dishes?

Is Rock-Paper-Scissors a fair game? How can you tell? Imagine that two people, Player A and Player B, were to play rock-paper-scissors 12 times. a. How many times would you expect Player A to win? Player B to win? b. Now play rock-paper-scissors 12 times with a partner. Record how many times each player wins and how many times the game results in a tie. c. How does the experimental probability for the 12 games that you played compare to the theoretical probability that each of you will win? Do you expect them to be the same or different? Why?

5-47. Identify the situations below as either dependent or independent events. Flipping a “heads” on a quarter and then flipping another “heads.” a. Choosing a jack from a standard deck of cards, not putting it back in the deck, and then choosing a king. b. Picking a blue marble from a bag of marbles, putting it back, and then picking a blue marble again. c. Rolling a 6 on a number cube three times in a row.

Practice Pick up the practice packet and begin working.