1 Objective Compare of two matched-paired means using two samples from each population. Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals of two dependent means use the t-distribution Section 9.4 Inferences About Two Means (Matched Pairs)

2 Definition Two samples are dependent if there is some relationship between the two samples so that each value in one sample is paired with a corresponding value in the other sample. Two samples can be treated as the matched pairs of values.

3 Examples Blood pressure of patients before they are given medicine and after they take it. Predicted temperature (by Weather Forecast) and the actual temperature. Heights of selected people in the morning and their heights by night time. Test scores of selected students in Calculus-I and their scores in Calculus-II.

4 Example 1 First sample: weights of 5 students in April Second sample: their weights in September These weights make 5 matched pairs Third line: differences between April weights and September weights (net change in weight for each student, separately) In our calculations we only use differences (d), not the values in the two samples.

5 Notation d Individual difference between two matched paired values μ d Population mean for the difference of the two values. n Number of paired values in sample d Mean value of the differences in sample s d Standard deviation of differences in sample

6 (1) The sample data are dependent (i.e. they make matched pairs) (2) Either or both the following holds: The number of matched pairs is large (n>30) or The differences have a normal distribution Requirements All requirements must be satisfied to make a Hypothesis Test or to find a Confidence Interval

7 Tests for Two Dependent Means Goal: Compare the mean of the differences H 0 : μ d = 0 H 1 : μ d ≠ 0 Two tailedLeft tailedRight tailed H 0 : μ d = 0 H 1 : μ d < 0 H 0 : μ d = 0 H 1 : μ d > 0

8 t =t = d – µ d sdsd n degrees of freedom: df = n – 1 Note:  d = 0 according to H 0 Finding the Test Statistic

9 Test Statistic Note: Hypothesis Tests are done in same way as in Ch.8-5 Degrees of freedom df = n – 1

10 Steps for Performing a Hypothesis Test on Two Independent Means Write what we know State H 0 and H 1 Draw a diagram Calculate the Sample Stats Find the Test Statistic Find the Critical Value(s) State the Initial Conclusion and Final Conclusion Note: Same process as in Chapter 8

11 Example 1 Assume the differences in weight form a normal distribution. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that for the population of students, the mean change in weight from September to April is 0 kg (i.e. on average, there is no change) Claim: μ d = 0 using α = 0.05

12 H0 : µd = 0H1 : µd ≠ 0H0 : µd = 0H1 : µd ≠ 0 t = t α/2 = 2.78 t-dist. df = 4 Test Statistic Critical Value Initial Conclusion: Since t is not in the critical region, accept H 0 Final Conclusion: We accept the claim that mean change in weight from September to April is 0 kg. -t α/2 = Example 1 t α/2 = t = 2.78 (Using StatCrunch, df = 4) d Data: Sample Stats n = 5 d = 0.2 s d = Use StatCrunch: Stat – Summary Stats – Columns Two-Tailed H 0 = Claim

13 H0 : µd = 0H1 : µd ≠ 0H0 : µd = 0H1 : µd ≠ 0 Two-Tailed H 0 = Claim Initial Conclusion: Since P-value is greater than α (0.05), accept H 0 Final Conclusion: We accept the claim that mean change in weight from September to April is 0 kg. Example 1 d Data: Sample Stats n = 5 d = 0.2 s d = Use StatCrunch: Stat – Summary Stats – Columns Null: proportion= Alternative Sample mean: Sample std. dev.: Sample size: ● Hypothesis Test ≠0≠ P-value = Stat → T statistics→ One sample → With summary

14 Confidence Interval Estimate We can observe how the two proportions relate by looking at the Confidence Interval Estimate of μ 1 –μ 2 CI = ( d – E, d + E )

15 Example 2 Find the 95% Confidence Interval Estimate of μ d from the data in Example 1 Sample Stats n = 5 d = 0.2 s d = CI = (-2.8, 3.2) t α/2 = t = 2.78 (Using StatCrunch, df = 4)

16 Example 2 Find the 95% Confidence Interval Estimate of μ d from the data in Example 1 Sample Stats n = 5 d = 0.2 s d = Level: Sample mean: Sample std. dev.: Sample size: ● Confidence Interval Stat → T statistics→ One sample → With summary CI = (-2.8, 3.2)