Overview of Geologic Hazards From water movement (coastal flooding from hurricanes, beach erosion, inland flooding, drought) From earth movement (earthquakes, mudflows, landslides, subsidence, expansive soils) From dangerous minerals (arsenic, asbestos, radon) From contaminated water (groundwater, surface water, distribution system water)
Magnitude and Frequency
Coastal Flooding
Living in harm’s way – behind the levee
Storm moves 30 mph Wind speed 120 mph Net 150 mph Net 90 mph Hurricanes
Katrina (Mississippi, Louisiana) Katrina2005$100 billion (Mississippi, Louisiana)
Property Damage Costliest U.S. Atlantic hurricanes Cost refers to total estimated property damage RankHurricaneSeasonDamages, $billion 2 Ike2008 $29.5 1Katrina 2005 $108 4 Wilma2005 $21 7 Rita2005 $12 5 Ivan2004 $ Charley2004 $ Frances2004 $ Jeanne2004 $ Allison2001 $9 3 Andrew1992 $26.5 Source: NOAA[2]
Katrina: Fatalities > 1800
Levee design and construction inadequate
Geologic Changes – New Inlet
Hurricane Magnitude Saffir-Simpson scale IntensityWind speed mphStorm surge ft Category Category 296 to Category 3111 to Category Category 5> 155> 18
Hurricane Magnitude - Frequency Saffir-Simpson scale IntensityWind speed mphStorm surge ftNumber Category Category 296 to Category 3111 to Category Category 5> 155> 18 3
Hurricane Frequency
Hurricane Cyclicity Long-term trend
Remediation 1.Building codes 2.Levees 3.Evacuation
Inland Flooding --Cinti dead, one million homeless, $500 million in property damage (= $7.6 billion today)
Flood intensity – gage height
Flood Frequency (Cinti)
Remediation Flood wall Barrier dam
Beach Erosion Longshore drift
Beach Erosion -- Intensity
Beach Erosion -- Frequency
Beach Erosion -- Remediation Walls
Beach Erosion -- Remediation Nourishment
Earth Movement
Earthquakes
Earthquake Susceptibility
Earthquakes-- Frequency MagnitudeAcceleration# per year ,000
Remediation 1.Building codes
Landslides
Landslide frequency Cincinnati OH: remediation of landslides on public property Feet/yrDollars/yr Pier walls ,780 Mt Adams165044,489,926
Remediation Pier walls - $1000 per lineal foot
Subsidence
Volcanoes
Volcanoes -- Lahars
Lahars – magnitude (extent)
Lahars – magnitude (thickness)
Lahars – frequency Mt Rainier recurrence intervals Large lahars (reach ocean) – 1000 years Intermediate (confined to apron of the mountain) – 100 years Small (confined to slopes) – 10 years
Dangerous minerals – Pb phosphate
Occurrence of Arsenic in Groundwater in US SW Ohio
Radon – enters home from soil
Contaminated water
Water Pollution – Inorganics in Groundwater GW flow
Significant solvent contamination has traveled through the groundwater outside the plant boundaries at Pristine. flow Water flow Water Pollution – Organics in Groundwater
Water Pollution – Magnitude
Water Pollution -- Surface Water GCWW intakes Proposed sewer outfall
Cryptosporidium
Water Pollution – From the distribution system Litharge Cu sulfate Mn oxide Plattnerite Litharge Cu sulfate Mn oxide Plattnerite + Mn oxide Pb carbonate
Water Pollution – From the distribution system
Pb islands
What do we do? 1.Understand the underlying geology 2.Calculate probability of an event 3.Estimate the severity of possible effects 4.Establish risk to populations & environment
What do we do? 5. Reducing the risk A.Avoidance B.Building codes C.Evacuation plans D.Removal of endangered structures E.Protective engineering