Economic Systems Ohio Wesleyan University Goran Skosples 17. China.

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Presentation transcript:

Economic Systems Ohio Wesleyan University Goran Skosples 17. China

1 China Population: 1.34 billion (July 2012 est.) Size: 9,596,960 sq km (slightly smaller than US) GDP per capita: $8,400 (PPP 2011) Exchange rate: 1 USD = 6.2 CNY ( Yuan Renminbi)

2 Chinese socialism The first decade  Mao Zedong proclaims PRC in 1949  imitation of the Soviet model nationalization of industry - investments into the heavy industry – capital- intensive collectivization of land - land redistributed to peasants - creation of communes  difficulties with central planning: China is large Warlordism

3 Chinese socialism The Great Leap Forward ( )  a plan to rapidly transform the primarily agrarian economy dominated by peasants into a modern, industrial communist society  human capital and investments poured into heavy industry (steel)  an economic disaster

4 Chinese socialism The Cultural Revolution ( )  Mao’s attempt to retake supreme leadership of the Communist party  Mao thought that the only way that China (Asia) could be self-reliant is to completely reject the western influence  lost generation of leadership as universities closed and students sent to countryside  bureaucrats and planners stripped of authority and sent to the countryside for “____________ _________________”  poor economic performance

5 The Reform  Deng Xiaoping takes power in 1978  initiated a ________ reform that is still in progress  a combination of _______ and __________  “_____________ approach” coexistence of a plan track and a market track two phases: : –reforms in the agricultural sector – liberalization –creation of township and enterprise village (TVE) –service sector slowly privatized : dual-track approach in industry

6 Dual-track approach  transition from central planning to free markets necessarily creates winners and losers  opening free markets while planned supply unchanged at ____________ prices  adjust planned prices _________________ as planned supply quantity fixed or lowered  meanwhile market supply is growing so fixed planned supply gets ______ as a proportion of total supply  final elimination of planned prices when planned supply becomes almost ___________

7 Agriculture  communes abandoned  household responsibility system (HRS) improving incentives each plot had a production quota at set prices the rest sold in the market at whatever prices a sharp increase in agricultural productivity - higher standard of living in rural area - portion of labor force could move into entrepreneurship - creation of TVEs

8 Industry  moving away from the Soviet-style gross-value indicators to ___________________________  enterprises allowed to retain profits and reinvest less focus on budget-financed projects  4 types of enterprises: state-owned enterprises (SOEs) corporatized state enterprises township-village enterprises (TVEs) joint (foreign) ventures

9 Township Village Enterprises (TVEs) Characteristics  face _____ budget constraints  fall outside planning  had to identify demand & supply and work on quality and product development  not burdened by social expenditure  more flexible with hiring/firing workers  retained profits

10 Township Village Enterprises (TVEs)  Why TVEs? light industry ________ by the state sector large _________________ in rural areas growth incentives to develop local economy  between 1980 and 1996, the number of TVEs increased from a few to 23.3 million and employing 135 million workers (20%)  were able to absorb excess labor  recently TVEs begin privatized: joint-stock companies, proprietorships and partnerships emerging problems for rural employment

11 State-owned Enterprises (SOEs)  inefficient, unprofitable (SBC), corrupt  why not close them? “important sectors” arbitrage/rent  source of income for bureaucracy  contract responsibility system (CRS) dual track, just like in agriculture incentives to ↓ quota and ↑ inputs  managers lacking the power to reward key personnel

12 Corporatized State Enterprises  “retain large SOEs and release small ones”  a transfer of state ownership from direct state supervision and management to state “shareholding” operated by “independent” managers   the idea is to operate these SOEs as corporations in industrialized market economies  have not performed better than regular SOEs  lack of clear ______________ and shareholders’ ______________________

13 Building institutions  Property rights and the rule of law neither is clearly defined relational contracting  Financial system central bank: The People’s Bank of China (PBC) commercial banks: the Big Four reliance on banks  equity markets small directed credit dictated by the plan opened up to foreign banks in December 2006 high proportion of ______________________ exceptionally high savings rate

14 Foreign Trade and Investment  world’s top recipient of foreign direct investment (FDI)  1990s: 40% of capital formation financed with FDI  a large trade surplus vis-à-vis the rest of the world

15 Special Economic Zones  started in 1979  “_______________” weak property rights and inefficient courts  preferential tax treatment  economic reasoning for SEZs 1.absorbing unemployment 2.economies of scale 3.technological spillovers 4.limit geographical activity - -

16

17 Coastal growth

18 Transition in China  gradualist  decentralization of decision-making  the economy did not contract with the onset of transition economy less reliant on directed trade the agricultural sector did not depend on a complex set of markets and suppliers as in the SU  econ. liberalization w/o political democratization