© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN200803-2013997 Role of Immediate Annuities in Retirement.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Brethren Pension Plan Bethany Seminary — March 10,
Advertisements

Copyright ©2005 Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Variable Annuity Investing Securities offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer, 1300.
For Producer or Broker/Dealer Use Only. Not for Public Distribution.
The Insured Annuity Concept
Annuities: The Whole Story Presented by: Matthew J. Curfman, CFP® Senior Vice President of Investment Services Richmond Brothers Financial Management Specialists,
Beyond The Uncertainty: Strategies to Secure your Retirement Income for Life.
Meeting Your Income Needs in Retirement Expectations & Expenses.
Chapter 4 Return and Risks.
Investment Basics A Guide to Your Investment Options Brian Doughney, CFP® Wealth Management Senior Manager.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Risk and Volatility.
Financing Retirement in Ageing Societies William F. Sharpe Iseo Summer School, 2013.
Copyright ©2005 Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Portfolio Performance Securities offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer, 1300 S. Clinton.
Investment and Financial Services: What Every Financial Educator Should Know.
Lesson 16 Investing for Retirement. Key Terms  401(k) Plan  Annuity  Defined-Benefit Plan  Defined- Contribution Plan  Employer- Sponsored Retirement.
© 2009 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2009 Long-Term Investment Performance.
Payouts from 401(k) Plans September 25, By the end of this lecture, you should be able to: Explain payout options from 401(k) plans Discuss the.
© 2009 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2009 Stocks and Bonds.
Investing Wisely to Avoid the Financial Risk of Longer Life Expectancy Seminar #3.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Stocks and Bonds.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Principles of Investing.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Long-Term Investment Performance.
19-1 Reasons for the Retirement Risk 1.Retirement risk arises from uncertainty concerning the time of death 2.It is influenced by physiological and cultural.
Retirement Income.
1 (of 23) FIN 200: Personal Finance Topic 22–Retirement Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.
Chapter 18. Learning Objectives (1 of 2) Define the characteristics of a tax- favored savings program Explain the key features of the different IRA programs.
©2007 Lincoln National Corporation For agent or broker use only. Not for use with the public. LCN (FAX ) 8/07 Lincoln Living Income.
Asset Allocation and the Efficient Frontier: Optimizing a portfolio’s risk/return profile J.P. Morgan Investment Academy SM FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY.
TM. Step 1 Selecting your Benchmark Asset Allocation Step 1 Selecting your Benchmark Asset Allocation.
Retirement Planning and Employee Benefits for Financial Planners
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Understanding Deferred Annuities.
Retirement Planning: It’s Never Too Soon – or Too Late – to Start AFN5600.
(0415) © 2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. By accessing this presentation, you agree to the following terms. If you do not agree to these.
For educational and informational purposes only. © 2007 Lincoln National Corporation UBP LFD Success is an attitude Get ready for retirement!
Learning Objective # 5 Determine your planned retirement income. LO#5.
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Education Canada 6-1 Defined-contribution Pension Plans The reverse of defined-benefit plans Contribution is known up-front The.
Chapter 14 Annuities and Individual Retirement Accounts
LCN For broker/dealer use only. Not for use with the public. From income to heirs Help protect your client’s estates and increase their assets.
Income Strategies with Annuities. The environment for annuities Systematic withdrawal Annuitization Income hybrids of the future Agenda.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Investing for Retirement.
1 Combined Accumulation- and Decumulation Plans with Risk- Controlled Capital Protection 13th International AFIR Colloquium Maastricht, September 17th.
Will You Outlive Your Retirement Income?. 2 Everyone is Living Longer 1340 BC 1400 AD 1800 AD 1900 AD 2000 AD 2040 AD Source: “The Exponent of Life Expectancy”
Financial Risk Management of Insurance Enterprises Finding the Immunizing Investment for Insurance Liabilities: The Case of the SPDA.
The Retirement Issue. Principles Discussed  Time Value of Money  Individual Retirement Account (IRA) Traditional Roth  Simplified Employee Pension.
Session 4 Basic Investment Concepts PERSONAL INVESTMENTS HELPING YOUR CLIENTS REACH THEIR GOALS.
Investing in Retirement Funds Difference in mutual funds and fixed/ variable annuities Structure of mutual funds and fixed/variable annuities Types of.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Portfolio Performance.
Copyright ©2005 Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Investing for Retirement Securities offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer, 1300 S.
5847 San Felipe, Suite 4100, Houston, Texas (713) (800) (713) (Fax) INVESTING IN RETIREMENT THE GAME HAS CHANGED … OR HAS.
“A-Day” – a pensions bonanza? More choice and a fundamental change Pensions – NOT products, investments “Long-term tax-relieved like ISAs or PEPs”* To.
© 2015 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. Investing for Retirement.
©2007 Lincoln National Corporation LCN FAX For agent or broker use only. Not for use with the general public. Lincoln SmartIncome SM.
© 2014 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved. The images contained in the Presentations and Education modules are provided as a single user license (‘Authorized.
For internal use only Baby Boomers retire in next 17 years.
For Continuing Education Use Only. Not for use with the general public. The transformation, challenges and solutions to the “new” retirement. Name Title.
Copyright ©2005 Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Principles of Investing Securities offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer, 1300 S.
Will You Outlive Your Retirement Income?. Everyone is Living Longer 1340 BC 1400 AD 1800 AD 1900 AD 2000 AD 2040 AD Source: “The Exponent of Life Expectancy”
Annuities Mark Ricklefs CLU ChFC CFP. Caveat This presentation is for informational purposes only. The speaker appearing at this meeting is solely responsible.
Topic: Case Study – Managing Individual Investor
Single Pay & Flexible Pay Longevity Annuities Refreshing NEW look at Longevity Annuities.
Protecting your retirement with guaranteed lifetime income Presenter: Date: © 2016 RiverSource Life Insurance Company. All rights reserved. Variable Annuities:
Uncertainty and Retirement Planning Lecture for FIN 352 Professor Dow CSUN 2016.
Post-Retirement Financial Strategies: Forecasts and Valuation
Tax Advantaged Distribution Strategy
Retirement Income.
Indexed Annuity Withdrawal Benefits
Index Annuity Withdrawal
Retirement Income.
The Income Flow Presentation
Ibbotson® SBBI® Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation
Best Practices for Retirement Income Planning
Presentation transcript:

© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 LCN Role of Immediate Annuities in Retirement

Retirees Should Plan for a Long Retirement Probability of a 65-year-old living to various ages Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Tables. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/ % 65 years old Male Female At least one spouse

Personal Savings Expected to Play a Larger Role in Retirement Survey of retirement income sources Source: Employee Benefit Research Institute, 2007 Retirement Confidence Survey. Data presented in 2007 Retirement Confidence Survey may not total 100 due to rounding and/or missing categories. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 Today’s workers (Expected sources of retirement income) Today’s retirees (Actual sources of income) Social Security Pension plans Personal savings/other 40% 21% 37% 71% 14% 13%

Potential Shortfall: The Risk of High Withdrawal Rates Annual inflation-adjusted withdrawal as a % of initial portfolio wealth Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Hypothetical value of $500,000 invested at the beginning of Portfolio: 50% large stocks/50% intermediate-term bonds. Assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 $500k % 6% 7%8% 9%Withdrawal rate:

What is an Immediate Payout Annuity? © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 An insurance product designed to protect against outliving one’s assets  Payable for the life of annuitant or over a specified period Fixed payout annuity  A series of payments fixed in amount Variable payout annuity  A series of variable payments based on the investment performance of a separate account

Inflation Affects Immediate Fixed Annuity Payments Payment stream in real dollars from a $1,000,000 premium fixed annuity Assumes a 65-year-old male living in Illinois and a $1,000,000 premium. Estimated annual payments are $80,640 adjusted for inflation of 3.1%. Quote obtained from This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/ $100k Annual payment 65 years old Fixed annuity payments (after inflation) Fixed annuity payments

Discussion of Simulation Criteria and Methodology © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008  Many of the following images were created using parametric simulation. This model estimates the range of possible outcomes based on a set of assumptions including arithmetic mean (return), standard deviation (risk), and correlation for a set of asset classes. The inputs used herein are the historical 1926–2007 figures. The risk and return of each asset class, cross-correlation, and annual average inflation over this time period follow. Stocks: risk 20.0%, return 12.3%; Bonds: risk 5.7%, return 5.5%; Correlation 0.04; Inflation: return 3.1%.  Note that other investments not considered may have characteristics similar or superior to those being analyzed. Each simulation produces 35 randomly selected return estimates consistent with the characteristics of the portfolio to estimate the return distribution over a 35-year period. Each simulation is run 5,000 times, to give 5,000 possible 35-year scenarios. A limitation of the simulation model is that it assumes that the distribution of returns is normal. Should actual returns not follow this pattern, results may vary.

Interpreting Confidence Levels in Simulation This table is intended to help interpret 50%, 75%, and 90% confidence levels illustrated in the following images. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/ % 75% 90% (More conservative) 50% 75% 90% 25% 10% 50% Confidence levelChance of exceeding Chance of falling short

Simulation Can Illustrate the Probability of Achieving Outcomes A visual interpretation of confidence levels in simulation IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/2008 $10 mil 1 mil 100k 10k 65 Years old % confidence level 75% confidence level 90% confidence level

Simulated Immediate Variable Annuity Payments Inflation-adjusted payments with life only payout option IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/ $80k Annual payment 65 years old % confidence level 75% confidence level 90% confidence level

Simulated Immediate Variable Annuity Term Payments Inflation-adjusted payments with 15-year payout option IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/2008 $100k Annual withdrawal payment (real dollars) years old % confidence level 75% confidence level 90% confidence level

Simulation of Systematic Withdrawals and Annuitization Income level with 50% systematic withdrawal and 50% immediate variable annuitization IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/ % confidence level 75% confidence level 90% confidence level $100k Annual payment 65 years old

Sample Allocations With and Without Immediate Payout Annuities Moderate bequest desire These allocations will be used in many of the following illustrations. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 Traditional portfolios Annuitized portfolios ConservativeModerate Aggressive ConservativeModerate Aggressive 10% 90% 40% 60% 100% 2% 8% 24% 66% 46% 13% 27% 14% 28% 72% Stocks Bonds Fixed annuities Variable annuities 46%

$60k 100k 10 $1 mil 65 years old Retirement Portfolios Without Payout Annuities Simulated probabilities for a moderate risk traditional portfolio IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/ % confidence level 75% confidence level 90% confidence level Wealth (today’s dollars) Income (today’s dollars)

Retirement Portfolios With Immediate Payout Annuities Simulated probabilities for a moderate risk annuitized portfolio IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/ $60k 100k 10 $1 mil 65 years old Wealth (today’s dollars) Income (today’s dollars) 50% confidence level 75% confidence level 90% confidence level

Immediate Annuities May Lessen Income Gap Percent of target income met assuming 5% withdrawal rate (90% confidence level) IMPORTANT: Projections generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/2008 With annuitiesW Aggressive risk profile Moderate Conservative No annuities Aggressive risk profile Moderate Conservative Age Age % 79% 100% 0% 100% 44% 100% 26% 24% 20% 23% 20% 17% 23% 17% 14% Since both the withdrawal rate and the results are in percentage terms, the results illustrated apply to any beginning portfolio value and income need. For example, a starting portfolio of $1 million with 5% initial withdrawal (=$50,000) is expected to produce 26% of its income target by age 90, if annuitized into an aggressive portfolio.

Assessing Suitability of Immediate Annuities in an Asset Allocation © 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008 Immediate annuities FactorReason Age increases Higher wealth consumption Increased subjective survival (a perception of better than average health) Greater apprehension about turning over money to purchase annuity Greater bequest (a desire to leave an estate) Higher fees Greater wealth More sources of guaranteed income (Social Security, pensions) Mortality credit Preference to consume wealth Long personal life expectancy requires portfolio protection Decision to annuitize is irreversible or permanent Want to leave more to heirs Fees reduce returns Wealthy less likely to need income guarantees Smaller income gaps (less need for guaranteed sources of income from other sources) Less suitableMore suitable