Coupling between fire and permafrost Effects of permafrost thaw on surface hydrology between better- drained vs. poorly- drained ecosystems Consequences.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Hydrologic Vulnerabilities and Risk in the San Jose Watershed R.D. (Dan) Moore PhD PGeo 1 Georg Jost PhD 1 Russell Smith PhD 2 1 Departments of Geography.
Advertisements

Cascading Thresholds Subsistence-related changes Warming to fire to permafrost loss to wetland drying to subsistence change Warming to fire to altered.
Climate Change, Arctic Plant Communities and Nutrient Feedbacks Rebecca Hale Biogeochemistry of Northern Ecosystems 20 April 2005.
Northern Ecohydrology Jessica M. Cable and W. Robert Bolton International Arctic Research Center (Fairbanks) Environment and Natural Resources Institute.
The Tundra Carbon Balance - some recent results with LPJ-GUESS contributions Paul Miller Ben Smith, Martin Sykes, Torben Christensen, Arnaud Heroult, Almut.
Modeling Changes in Vegetation Dynamics in Alaska: Implications for Arctic Herbivores Eugénie Euskirchen ESPSCoR All Hands Meeting, May , 2010.
The Downscaled Climate Projection Has Arrived – NOW WHAT?
Evergreen tree dynamics in tropical savanna
Impacts of Climate Change on Western Forests Dr. Mark Johnston Saskatchewan Research Council and Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative.
Soil CO 2 Efflux from a Subalpine Catchment Diego A. Riveros-Iregui 1, Brian L. McGlynn 1, Vincent J. Pacific 1, Howard E. Epstein 2, Daniel L. Welsch,
GISP 2003 / Khon Keaen, Thailand1 Summary and Follow on of GAME- Siberia Activity Takeshi OHTA Nagoya University, JAPAN FORSGC, JAPAN.
Watershed Delineation and Characteristics on Alaska’s North Slope Matt Khosh University of Texas at Austin Department of Marne Science.
Spatial-temporal variability in ecosystem processes and water service in the context of climate and land use /cover changes Mei YU and Qiong Gao Dept Environmental.
Overview of Proposed Climate Sensitivity Research.
Forest Hydrology Issue: Interaction of forests, fish, and climate One of the dominant pathways by which land cover change affects freshwater fish habitat.
Dennis P. Lettenmaier Lan Cuo Nathalie Voisin University of Washington Climate Impacts Group Climate and Water Forecasts for the 2009 Water Year October.
Effects of Climatic Variability and Change on Forest Resources: A Scale- based Framework for Analysis David L. Peterson USDA Forest Service, PNW Station.
Threshold Change Thresholds with a landscape or regional effect Driving variable Response variable.
Watersheds and Fire Where conditions are not too dry or too wet and where accumulated carbon from photosynthesis will not oxidize slowly or rot, fire cycles.
Climatic variability, land-cover change, and forest hydrology in the Pacific Northwest David W. Peterson JISAO Climate Impacts Group Forest Hydrology.
Ice-Atmosphere Interaction: Melting of Mountain Glaciers Rebecca Miller Atmospheric Sciences.
The observed responses of ecosystem CO2 exchange to climate variation from diurnal to annual time scale in the northern America. C. Yi, K.J. Davis, The.
Strategic sampling of microclimate, soil moisture and sapflux for improving ecohydrological model estimates in the California Sierra Kyongho Son and Christina.
Climate Sensitivity of Boreal Forest Ecosystem Carbon Dynamics A. David McGuire and Colleagues BNZ LTER Annual Symposium 5 March 2009.
Plant Ecology - Chapter 14 Ecosystem Processes. Ecosystem Ecology Focus on what regulates pools (quantities stored) and fluxes (flows) of materials and.
Climate Feedback Research: Consequences of climate and disturbance changes for the Carbon feedback in Interior Alaska Patrick Endres, AK photographics.
Modeling water and biogeochemical cycles in the Front Range, Colorado: effects of climate and landuse changes Landrum, Laura L., Natural Resource Ecology.
The role of vegetation-climate interaction on Africa under climate change - literature review seminar Minchao Wu Supervisor: Markku Rummukainen, Guy Schurgers.
Summary of Research on Climate Change Feedbacks in the Arctic Erica Betts April 01, 2008.
Fire Ecology and Fire Regimes in Boreal Ecosystems Oct 19, 2010.
CZO. Southern Sierra CZO: snowline processes CZO.
How do forest ecosystems respond to environmental change?
BIOME-BGC estimates fluxes and storage of energy, water, carbon, and nitrogen for the vegetation and soil components of terrestrial ecosystems. Model algorithms.
Overview of Proposed Climate Sensitivity Research.
Charge to Breakout Groups How do we achieve more effective integration? 1. Among climate sensitivity tasks 2. With tasks in successional and threshold.
Scott Goetz Changes in Productivity with Climate Change at High Latitudes: the role of Disturbance.
Objective: Have a working knowledge of the relationship between the vegetative cover in a watershed and water yield and water quality.
Modeling Modes of Variability in Carbon Exchange Between High Latitude Ecosystems and the Atmosphere Dave McGuire (UAF), Joy Clein (UAF), and Qianlai.
How Plants Grow & Respond to Disturbance. Succession & Disturbance  Community change is driven by successional forces: Immigration and establishment.
Growing season dynamics in high-latitude ecosystems: relations to soil thermal regimes, productivity, carbon sequestration, and atmospheric heating Bonanza.
Effects of Climate Change on Ecosystems and Natural Resources of the Yukon River Basin.
HYDROGRAPH SEPARATION
Midsummer Warming/Drought in the Boreal Forest. The inter- and intra-seasonal relationships between evaporation and rainfall, which are linked to summer.
Southern Sierra Critical Zone Observatory Integrating measurements for advances in hydrology & geochemistry A research platform for studying Earth surface.
Fire Effects on Water. The Watershed Concept What is a watershed? Area of land that drains into a common outlet Watershed condition- health or status.
Fine-Resolution, Regional-Scale Terrestrial Hydrologic Fluxes Simulated with the Integrated Landscape Hydrology Model (ILHM) David W Hyndman Anthony D.
Focus on “deep soil column” Spatial patterns Mechanism that control development and function Implications for ecology, biogeochemistry and hydrology What.
Goal: to understand carbon dynamics in montane forest regions by developing new methods for estimating carbon exchange at local to regional scales. Activities:
October 12, 2015 Iowa State University Indrajeet Chaubey Purdue University Water Quality.
Virtual Experiment © Oregon State University Models as a communication tool for HJA scientists Kellie Vache and Jeff McDonnell Dept of Forest Engineering.
Boreal forest resilience Some initial thoughts BNZ LTER meeting, March 2009 Terry Chapin & Jill Johnstone.
Intellectual Merit: NSF supported researcher Roger Bales and colleagues have developed a prototype instrument cluster for the study of mountain hydrology,
Flow prediction accuracy given DEM resolution  Model accuracy for snow-rain transition watersheds was more sensitive to DEM resolution than for snow-dominated.
Permafrost/Hydrology 2009 LTER Symposium Ted Schuur University of Florida Merritt Turetsky University of Guelph Jay Jones University of Alaska.
Tuesday, 17 January 2006 Synthesis of Arctic System Science Projects Online Meeting.
Detecting Thresholds How to detect thresholds? Major state changes (talik formation), first order understanding of ecosystem function (WT controls on peatland.
Picture of bear Meadows across the Sierra, extending knowledge from CZO Martha Conklin & Ryan Lucas Environmental Systems Long Meadow, Sequoia National.
Inorganic Nutrient Research Kellogg Biological Station LTER o Soils in managed agricultural systems and unmanaged fields and forests: o Carbon and nitrogen.
Resilience of Alaska’s boreal forest Terry Chapin Bonanza Creek LTER.
Inorganic Nutrient Research- Bonanza Creek LTER BNZ LTER Global permafrost soil organic C pool: 1,500 Pg 0-3 m depth Warming = 15% loss of pool by 2100.
Climate Sensitivity Succession Regime Shifts Integration Current Proposal: The Dynamics of Change Next Proposal (due in < 4 years!!) Human Dimensions K-12.
Arctic RIMS & WALE (Regional, Integrated Hydrological Monitoring System & Western Arctic Linkage Experiment) John Kimball FaithAnn Heinsch Steve Running.
S One of the primary roles of modeling in critical zone research studies is to provide a framework for integrating field measurements and theory and for.
Terrestrial-atmosphere (1)
Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS)
CARBON, WATER, LAND USE & CLIMATE
150 years of land cover and climate change impacts on streamflow in the Puget Sound Basin, Washington Dennis P. Lettenmaier Lan Cuo Nathalie Voisin University.
Fire Effects on Water September 27, 2006.
Streams Hydrodynamics
Forests, water & research in the Sierra Nevada
Presentation transcript:

Coupling between fire and permafrost Effects of permafrost thaw on surface hydrology between better- drained vs. poorly- drained ecosystems Consequences for ecosystem structure and function? Common measurements: soil environment (temperature, moisture, water table, and active layer depth) radiocarbon age of DOC exchange of CO 2 and CH 4 species composition and productivity

D5: Fire and permafrostD6: Upland catchment hydro-biogeochemistry D7: Boreal tundra landscapesD8: Wetlands 2 CURRENT DIRECTIONS

From Tague et al ENERGY VERSUS WATER LIMITATION – MOTIVATING LITERATURE ET and NPP along elevation gradient Earlier snowmelt/longer growing season Gradient: rain dominated snow dominated/water limited snow dominated/temperature limited With longer growing season, increased ET early in the season leading to increased water stress later in the summer Lower elevations/water limited: Earlier snowmelt leads to greater water stress and decreased ET & NPP Higher elevations/energy limited: Earlier snowmelt leads to increased ET & NPP

From Jones et al ENERGY VERSUS WATER LIMITATION Budyko framework: energy versus water limitation on hydrologic budgets AET/P vs. PET/P Deviations from line driven by: Snow melt Lateral fluxes of water Fire

From Donohue et al Departures: Change in proportion of precipitation as snowfall Permafrost thawing and loss Fire ENERGY VERSUS WATER LIMITATION

Time following permafrost thaw Soil moisture availability LTER Research: Effects of permafrost thaw on forest and tundra ecosystems Chronosequences combined with field experiments to extend variation in key drivers (soil temperature and moisture) Tie into Regional Site Network Wetlands and thermokarst formation Transition from black spruce to deciduous

Climate Variability and Change Δ Ecosystem Function and Structure Δ Successional Pathways Disturbance Regimes L ANDSCAPE T OPOGRAPHY e.g., uplands, floodplains, wetlands, tundra P RECIPITATION Timing and amount S URFACE RUNOFF Stream flow and solute exports N ET PRIMARY PRODUCTION W ETTING AND E COHYDROLOGY CLIMATE AND LANSCAPE STRUCTURE INTERACTIONS 7 P ERMAFROST Distribution, thaw, and stability T RACE G AS F LUXES V EGETATION AND S OIL S TRUCTURE AET PET

ENERGY VERSUS WATER LIMITATION CONTROLS ON ECOSYSTEMS – CONSEQUENCES FOR CARBON STORAGE AND FLUXES – EFFECTS ON PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY HOW HYDROLOGIC PARTITIONING AND CARBON FLUXES WILL RESPOND TO THAWING PERMAFROST AND WILDFIRE ACROSS THE LANDSCAPE SCALING FROM PLOT TO WATERSHED SCALES INCORPORATING LANDSCAPE TOPOGRAPHY (E.G., WETLANDS, BOREAL TUNDRA, UPLANDS) INTO A BROADER CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK INTEGRATING WITH THE REGIONAL SITE NETWORK 8 EFFECTS OF CHANGING WATER AVAILABILITY ACROSS LANDSCAPE HYDROLOGIC GRADIENTS

9

From Fletcher et al FIRE AND HYDROLOGIC PARTIONING – MOTIVATING LITERATURE Role of wildfire for altering vegetation feedbacks to soil moisture Initial condition: forest with high ET and aerated soil Post fire: loss of forest led to low ET and permanent water logging

LANDSCAPE WATER PARTITIONING Loss of Permafrost Dryness Index (PET/P+Q in -Q out )) Evaporative Index (AET/P) Water limit (AET=P) Energy limit (AET=PET) Energy limitedWater limited Spruce Wetlands Hardwoods