NWS Peachtree City, Georgia June 2, 2016June 2, 2016June 2, 2016.

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Presentation transcript:

NWS Peachtree City, Georgia June 2, 2016June 2, 2016June 2, 2016

6/2/20162 Current Weather Radar/ SatelliteTemp/Fronts

Today (Thursday): Cold front will move southeast Marginal risk of severe storms Damaging wind threat Above normal temps- no heat advisory

Today: Greater Storm Threat Severe Risk: Marginal What Isolated Severe Storms Expected Hazards Damaging winds Frequent lightning Locally Heavy Rainfall Where Central Georgia & Parts of North When 1pm to 10 PM *Some questions regarding:* Dry air moving into far N Georgia Influence of upper ridge

Friday Cold front will stall across central Georgia (middle image) Cold front/lingering moisture will be a source for isolated-scattered thunderstorm development across central Ga (30-40% chance of storms-right image). No severe expected Drier/more stable air will push into north Georgia-limited rain/storm chance (left image) Some uncertainty how far south dry air will push

6/2/20166 This Weekend Saturday Sunday Cooler temps/lower humidity gradually spreading south

Next Week (Mon-Tues) Continued dry- lingering front across central Ga may spark a few thunderstorms Monday Front will dissipate by Tuesday (secondary, dry front coming??) Increasing temps/humidity likely by Tues

Next Wednesday Models begin to diverge on overall pattern. One suggests dry weather, the other suggests moisture increase Latest forecast will trend on the drier side (for now) Top: One model solution of Wednesdays pattern: moist flow from Southwest Right: Another, different model solution of Wednesdays pattern: Dry flow from Northwest

7 Day Outlook from North Ga to South Ga Continued warm Mostly dry forecast Friday-Tuesday Highest rain chances Fri-Monday across central Ga *Relatively*lower humidity this weekend-early next week Low confidence in expected pattern by mid-week

Glance at the Tropics

Summary Cold front will bring marginal risk of severe storms today (Thursday) across N and C Georgia – Strong winds the main threat Drier air and limited storm chances will gradually spread from north to south across the state Fri-Sun – Weak, stalled front could lead to isolated storms across central Ga Warm temps return next week: – Mostly dry Mon-Tues, models diverge Wed Tropics slightly more active but no threat to Georgia Slides: