Page 1© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 1 November 2007 BGE January 4, 2008 Strategic Midwest Area Renewable Transmission (SMART) Study October 06, 2009.

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Presentation transcript:

Page 1© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 1 November 2007 BGE January 4, 2008 Strategic Midwest Area Renewable Transmission (SMART) Study October 06, 2009

Page 2© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 2 Agenda/Objectives for Today’s Meeting  Introductions  Project Overview  Key Drivers  Project Sponsors  Project Contractor  Phase one – Identifying the Alternatives  Assumptions and Input Data  Metrics  Futures  Sensitivities

Page 3© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 3 SMART Study - Project Overview  Comprehensive study of the transmission needed in the Upper Midwest  Support renewable energy development and transporting that energy to consumers throughout the study area to other users in the rest of the US  Not in competition with any another study  Review existing studies and use their results as appropriate  Study focus is 20 years into the future  Transcends traditional utility and regional boundaries

Page 4© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 4 SMART Study - Objectives  Development of EHV overlay alternatives that ensures reliable service for sponsors’ communities, is environmentally friendly, and supports national energy policy  A reliability analysis and recommendation for technically sound solutions for integration of extra high voltage transmission into the existing transmission system  An economic analysis of those solutions identified in the technical analysis showing the benefits of extra high voltage transmission to the study regions

Page 5© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 5 SMART Study - Key Drivers  Open and Transparent Process  Steering Committee with Project Sponsors  Stakeholder Input  Multi-Regional Transmission Focus  Consistent with National, Regional, and Local Energy Policies  Technical and Economic Based Alternatives

Page 6© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 6 SMART Study - Project Sponsors  American Transmission Company (ATC)  Electric Transmission America, LLC (ETA)  American Electric Power (AEP)  MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company  Xcel Energy  Exelon Corporation  MidAmerican Energy Company  NorthWestern Energy

Page 7© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 7 SMART Study – Project Contractor  Quanta Technology  Independent consulting arm of Quanta Services  Many industry-renowned experts  Headquarters in Raleigh, NC and regional offices in MA and CA  Our Mission is to Provide business and technical expertise to solve strategic and operational problems for energy utilities and industry  Significant planning experience

Page 8© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 8 Quanta Technology Planning Experience SPP EHV Overlay Develop a 20 year vision of the future Support for significant investment in renewable energy resources Support for emerging energy markets Provide insight into near term transmission projects Midwest ISO (MISO) – Interconnection System Impact Studies: Biomass & Natural Gas,780MW Natural Gas, 500MW Wind Farm, etc Exelon Commonwealth Edison - Generator to Transmission Interconnection Support Direct Energy - ERCOT Reliability Assessment - objective was to increase ERCOT West-North transmission capability California Energy Commission - Intermittent Wind Generation Report of Impacts on Grid System Operations

Page 9© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 9 SMART Study – Geographical Area of Interest MRO SPP MISO/PJM PJM Primary Focus Areas - North Dakota - South Dakota – Iowa – Nebraska – Indiana – Ohio – Illinois – Minnesota – Wisconsin – Michigan

Page 10© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 10 SMART Study – Two Major Phases Phase One: Identifying the Alternatives  Steady State Analysis  Develop several alternatives  Develop performance metrics  Identify top performing alternatives Phase Two: Societal Benefits Evaluation  Security Constrained Economic Dispatch  Develop Societal Benefits Metrics  Evaluate top performing alternative  Provide final ranking

Page 11© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 11 Assumptions and Input Data for Phase 1 (con’t) Time Frame  20 year focus  Summer peak case , 2024, & 2019  Light load case , 2024, & 2019 Upper Midwest Focus  North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Nebraska, Indiana, Ohio, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan Extent of network modeled  Full Eastern Interconnection as outlined in the 2019 MISO case Future annual load growth from 2019 .85% for AEP service area  1% for MidAmerican service area and MN  1.4% other areas

Page 12© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 12 Assumptions and Input Data for Phase 1 (con’t) Geographic distribution of wind farms for updated EHV study  Since the precise data of wind farms MW and location for 2029 is not available, we will use appropriate amount of wind generation based on:  EIA, MISO, PJM, and other published resources  Each Project Sponsor  In addition, wider range of wind generation will be studied in sensitivity studies Wind energy contribution of wind farms at peak  20% for on-peak and 90% for off-peak  MISO uses 20% for on-peak and 90% for off-peak

Page 13© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 13 Assumptions and Input Data for Phase 1 (con’t) Generation additions – assumed mix  Known generation additions in queue will be included, if any  Proxy generation will be added based upon an agreed upon mix. A 50/50 mix of gas and conventional steam is assumed  MISO uses a 41,000MW high wind case which is made up of 21,000MW wind and 20,000MW other generation (50% natural gas CC and 50% conventional steam) Generation Retirements  Known retirements will be included, if any  Coal plants >= 40 years in 2009 will be run as a sensitivity in one or two levels; 100MW or less and/or 250MW or less Dispatch merit order  Provided by ISOs/RTOs and used for off-peak gen profile

Page 14© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 14 Assumptions and Input Data for Phase 1 (con’t) Reactive load support in 2029  The process is to scale up the load at constant PF and add capacitors to the lower voltages Contingencies  All N-1 contingencies with additional contingencies supplemented by each company  Initially start with the PJM and MISO 2019 contingency list  Contingencies will be performed down to the 345kV level and facilities 200kV and above will be monitored

Page 15© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 15 Assumptions and Input Data for Phase 1 (con’t) Reliability standards, policies and criteria that govern the area of study  NERC TPL 001 through 003 standards  More stringent regional and local standards EHV Voltage Criteria  ISOs/RTOs and each company will supply values for normal and contingent operations

Page 16© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 16 Metrics for Phase 1 Total alternative cost Total transmission circuit miles  Circuit miles is a key driver in Total Cost. Proxy metric to assess land owner issues Total new stations System Losses  Capacity Impact from On-Peak Analysis Number of Lines  Number of Lines is also a key driver in Total Cost. Proxy metric to assess community concerns

Page 17© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 17 Metrics for Phase 1 (con’t): FCTTC Imports & Exports in MW  Computed from load flow program based on specific network design  FCTTC – First Contingency Total Transfer Capability Project cost normalized by import and export capability ($/MW)

Page 18© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 18 SMART Study – Generation Futures & Sensitivities Generation Futures  Base future  High Gas future  High Hydro future  Low carbon future Sensitivities  Higher than forecasted load growth  Lower than forecasted load growth  Plant retirements – Coal plants >=40 years old - 100MW or less and/or 250MW or less  High wind capacity  Low wind capacity  High wind import and export SPP

Page 19© 2009 Quanta Technology LLCPage 19 SMART Study QUESTIONS?