Optimal Growth Models One Sector Ramsey Model

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Presentation transcript:

Optimal Growth Models One Sector Ramsey Model Role of the Financial Sector

Cass (1965) Koopman(1965) type Optimal Growth Model

Steady State in an Optimal Growth Model

Optimal Growth Model with less than 100% depreciation

Steady State in an Optimal Growth Model with less than 100% depreciation

Optimal Growth Model with Financial Intermediation

Steady State in Optimal Growth Model with Financial Intermediation

Computations for Optimal Growth Excel based model GAMS based Models

Basics of an Optimal growth Model Capacity constraint Accumulation Terminal Capital First order condition For investment First order condition for consumption First order condition of capital market The marginal revenue product of capital

Steps for Implementing a Dynamic Optimal Growth Model *1. declare the time and define the first and last periods *2. declare and assign the values for the benchmark parameters *3. calibrate the model discount factors and assign the value for initial capital stock *4. declare variables and equations *5. derive the first order conditions for optimisation and market clearing conditions *6. write all equations *7. declare the model *8. Solve the model *9. produce the results in readable format *10. Interpret them using economic theory *11. modify the model to incorporate new issues.

Interpretation of Model Equations in GAMS Capacity constraint (K(t)/K0)**kvs*qref(t)**(1-kvs) =e= C(t)+I(t); Accumulation (1-delta)*K(t-1) +I(t-1) +K0*Kstock$tfirst(t) =G= K(t); Terminal Capital I(tlast) =e= (g+delta)*K(tlast); First order condition For investment P(t) =e= PK(t+1) +PTC(t)$tlast(t); First order condition for consumption P(t)*C(t)=e=C0*Alpha(t); First order condition of capital market Pk(t) +PTC(t)*(g+delta)$tlast(t)=e= P(t)*((kvs*K(t)**kvs*qref(t)**(1-kvs))/K(t)) +(1-delta)*pk(t+1); Marginal product of capital rk(t) =e= P(t)*((kvs*K(t)**kvs*qref(t)**(1-kvs))/K(t));

Ramsey Model: Benevolent Social Planner’s Problem Instantaneous utility Subject to or

Ramsey Model: Decentralised Market

Optimal Consumption-Saving Model while Young, Adult and Old Subject to: 1. 2. What is the optimal consumption and saving in each period ?

Derivation of the Marginal Productivity = User Cost of Capital Condition Producer’s Problem: Optimality Condition: Implication: Assumptions:

References Bhattarai (2003) Role of Financial Markets in an Economy, memio University of Hull. Cass, D. (1965): Optimum Growth in Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation, Review of Economic Studies, 32:233-240. GAMS User Manual, GAMS Development Corporation, 1217 Potomac Street, Washington D.C. Stokey, N. L. and R.E. Lucas (1989) Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics, Harvard UP, Cambridge, MA.