1 National Aeronautics and Space Administration NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Software Engineering Division Introduction of CCMC and SWRC Yihua Zheng NASA Goddard Space Flight Center January 2013 International Space Weather Winter School 1

2 Outline Intro of CCMC and NASA Space Weather Research Center Services and Capabilities ISWA Summary

3 “A US multi-agency partnership to enable, support, and perform the research and development for next generation space science and space weather models” CCMC: Community Coordinated Modeling Center

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6 ✦ Serves models to the research community ✦ Develops advanced on-line visualization and analysis tools ✦ Highly utilized world-wide: > 6000 runs (~ 40 per week), 100s publications/presentations ✦ Tests models, facilitates improvements ✦ Develops innovative space weather prediction systems ready to be used by space weather forecasters and decision makers. CCMC

7 Objectives: provide the latest space weather information to NASA’s robotic mission operators, as well as DoD partners. NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center Primary Objective: Provide the latest space weather information to NASA’s robotic mission operators and bring space weather knowledge to the public. since March 2010

Space Weather NASA/SWRC iSWA System NASA, Other, (near) Real-time Data Streams Protecting NASA’s Missions Space Weather Research Center Tools for Citizen Scientists Partnering Space Weather Related Research Education & Training Community Coordinated Modeling Center

9 Support R2O Transition Facilitate Community Research Facilitate Community Research Knowledge to the Public (in operation since 2000) CCMC (in operation since 2010) SWRC Test Drive RT SWx Products Space Weather Services to NASA’s Robotic Missions Community Coordinated Modeling Center Space Weather Research Center ultimate test of accuracy and robustness

10 PFSS WSA Heliospheric Tomography ENLIL Fok RC/RBE CTIPe SWMF SC/IH/BATSRUS+RCM/GITM AbbyNormal 10 RELeASE PBMOD – ionospheric scintillation WSA+Cone+ENLIL ASAP Ovation Prime Leveraging CCMC Modeling Capabilities Comprehensive Collection Of Models Running In Real-time Leveraging CCMC Modeling Capabilities Comprehensive Collection Of Models Running In Real-time …enabling the creation of next generation prediction systems CME & ambient solar wind forecasting (WSA+ENLIL+Cone, WSA+ENLIL, HELTOMO) Flare forecasting/monitoring (ASAP) Radiation (ions and e-) forecasting/now casting (RELeASE, RBE) 3-D States of the magnetosphere and ionosphere (SWMF, CTIPe, Fok RC, RBE) Scintillation, HF absorption, drag effects, Aurora, etc (PBMOD, AbbyNormal, CTIPe, OP). Forecasting GICs (SWMF and its coupling with other models). CME & ambient solar wind forecasting (WSA+ENLIL+Cone, WSA+ENLIL, HELTOMO) Flare forecasting/monitoring (ASAP) Radiation (ions and e-) forecasting/now casting (RELeASE, RBE) 3-D States of the magnetosphere and ionosphere (SWMF, CTIPe, Fok RC, RBE) Scintillation, HF absorption, drag effects, Aurora, etc (PBMOD, AbbyNormal, CTIPe, OP). Forecasting GICs (SWMF and its coupling with other models).

Monitor and analyze space environment (~16 h/day) using innovative tools (web-based, smartphone apps, +). Daily logs and Database of space weather events. Watch for interesting/unusual features. Sending out timely space weather notifications and forecasts of adverse conditions throughout the solar system to NASA mission operators & involved personnel. 6 SWRC Activities I

Weekly space weather reports and event summaries. Assistance in spacecraft anomaly resolution. Material for SWRC website and social media Daily 15 min tag-ups. 7 SWRC Activities II

13 SWRC Youtube videos Weatherhttp:// Weather

Space Weather Event Logging System Forecasters log space weather events and activities Allow events/activity chains, establish cause and effect relationships Multi user/forecaster system designed to promote community involvement Entry point for initiating alerts, cataloging events Knowledge management system for human generated logs, analysis Report s SWx Events SWx Activitie s Event Chain s Space Weather Event Logging System iSWA website twitter Facebook

15 Innovative Dissemination: iSWA ISWA has ~300 products including modeling results and comprehensive sets of observational data. Web-based. User configurable. Available world-wide. One-stop shop for state-of-the-art information! Web-based. User configurable. Available world-wide. One-stop shop for state-of-the-art information!

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18 iSWA enables tracking space weather events in interplanetary space (throughout the solar system) and analyzing their expected impacts iSWA One iSWA layout for the 12 July 2012 space weather event This web link provides a dynamic (and rather comprehensive) view of this solar event

19 Forecasting Earth-Directed CME and its impact the 12 July 2012 solar eruption a minor radiation storm (SEP) But a major geomagnetic storm

20 Modeling of the 12 July 2012 CME V=1400 km/s, associated with an X1.4 class solar flare

21 Earth’s Response to the CME’s Arrival The CME seen by STEREO A Resulting in a Kp = 7- on a scale from 0 – 9, Kp: a measure of geomagnetic disturbances

22 2 July 2012 CME heading towards STEREO B History of the same active region

23 History of the Active Region CME Arrival at STEREO B

24 High spatial/temporal res runs can be done through CCMC run-on- request The above results are from our real-time runs in supporting SWRC functions

25 Students’ Opportunites Research projects using CCMC/SWRC capabilities. run-on-request services database of interesting space weather events CCMC Student Research Contest winners (spring semester). Emily Hyatt, Embry-Riddle (talk at GEM workshop). Corinna Gressl, Institude of Physics in Gratz (presentation at SHINE). Space Weather REDI Summer Camp (June , 2013) An intense 2-week training camp including teaching basic space weather knowledge and how SWRC does SWx operations

26 Solar-Helio Models

27 Summary CCMC/SWRC: valuable tools/resources for research, education and space weather needs Suggestions on further improvement are always welcome

28 ENLIL

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