China Property Market – an overview of the Major Cities Margaret Brooke, FRICS CEO, Professional Property Services
PPSPPS What is China? Population of 1.3 billion 150 or more cities of over 1 million people Rapid GDP growth and demographic changes over last two decades Accounts for 4-5% of world trade Largest recipient of FDI – US$53.5 billion in 2003 Low cost base, growing services sector
PPSPPS Major first and second tier cities
PPSPPS What drives China’s development? FDI WTO Membership Manufacturing and exports Property development Auto industry Technology development Power and steel
PPSPPS Construction Boom! 50% of the world’s cement !
PPSPPS Controlling Demand for Property Development Controls on lending to real estate sector following signs of bubble developing Incentives to developers of mass market residential properties Land use rights disposal by auction Selected planning/investment controls Massive infrastructure spending – subject to reviews to prevent overheating
PPSPPS Infrastructure developments
PPSPPS Huangpu Port – Largest Container Port in Southern China
PPSPPS Infrastructure Shanghai
PPSPPS 2003 – Economic Statistics (JLL) Beijing Beijing Shanghai Shanghai Population Population million million Transient population Transient population 3.08 million 3.87 million GDP GDP RMB billion RMB billion Growth rate of GDP Growth rate of GDP10.5% 10.9 % Contracted FDI Contracted FDI US$ 3.27 billion US$ billion Total retail sales Total retail sales RMB billion RMB billion Retail sales growth rate Retail sales growth rate16.6%9.3%
PPSPPS 2004 – Property Market US$ psm pm Beijing Beijing Shanghai Shanghai Office Rents/Grade A $20.00$19.10 Office Vacancy Rate 14.5% 17.7% / 13.3% Office Prices/Yield $2,500/9%$2,455/8.3% Residential Rents $17.8$20.50 Residential Prices $1,650/8%$2,350/7.5% Residential Vacancies 23.8%18.3%/17.8%
PPSPPS Beijing - Key Drivers Administrative capital Science and technology centre Centre of higher education Culture/tourism Olympics 2008
PPSPPS Beijing Projects
PPSPPS Shanghai and the Yangtze River Delta - Key Drivers Financial and Commercial Centre Proactive City Governance Pudong Development Zone City Branding Tourism World Expo 2010
PPSPPS Pudong 1990
PPSPPS Pudong 2003
PPSPPS Notable projects in Shanghai
PPSPPS Pearl River Delta (PRD)
PPSPPS Pearl River Delta – Key drivers Guangzhou and Shenzhen major centres Manufacturing and trade centre Recipient of highest levels of manufacturing FDI Excellent external and export links SEZ and SAR advantages Tourist attractions
PPSPPS
PPSPPS Some current foreign players
PPSPPS Shenyang
PPSPPS Dalian
PPSPPS Tianjin
PPSPPS TEDA Industrial Park Founded in sq.km. By June 2003, 3651 from 69 countries registered 15% return on industrial capital achieved Fortune 500 tenants
PPSPPS Wuhan
PPSPPS Suzhou
PPSPPS Suzhou Industrial Park Land Purchase Price: US$ 20/sqm Factory Rental Price: RMB 0.60/sqm/day Factory Purchase Price: US$365/sqm
PPSPPS Hangzhou
PPSPPS Chengdu
PPSPPS Chongqing
PPSPPS Sustainability Government is conscious of sustainability issues and attempting to curb inter-city competition and encourage more integrated planning and development China is a signatory to Agenda 21 and has strong environmental regulations – strong implementation is the problem Difficult to achieve highest standards when so much needs to be done in central and western provinces
Thank you for your interest
Professional Property Services Limited