TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES When we simple events like rolling a die, the number of possible outcomes is easily found. When you start to have multiple.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Introduction to Probability Uncertainty, Probability, Tree Diagrams, Combinations and Permutations Chapter 4 BA 201.
Advertisements

What is Probability? The study of probability helps us figure out the likelihood of something happening. In math we call this “something happening” or.
What is Probability? The study of probability helps us figure out the likelihood of something happening. In math we call this “something happening” or.
Elementary Probability Theory
Math 310 Section 7.2 Probability. Succession of Events So far, our discussion of events have been in terms of a single stage scenario. We might be looking.
Chapter 5 Section 6 Further Counting Problems. Two types of problems Two main types of problems in section 6: 1.Tossing a coin several times. 2.Draw several.
Conditional Probability and Independent Events. Conditional Probability if we have some information about the result…use it to adjust the probability.
Chapter 11 and 12 Review JEOPARDY -Algebra 2-.
Algebra1 Independent and Dependent Events
Elementary Probability Theory
Key Concepts of the Probability Unit
Unit 4 – Combinatorics and Probability Section 4.4 – Probability with Combinations Calculator Required.
Elementary Probability Theory
Probability of Independent and Dependent Events
Math 409/409G History of Mathematics
Find the probability and odds of simple events.
Copyright © Ed2Net Learning Inc.1. 2 Warm Up Use the Counting principle to find the total number of outcomes in each situation 1. Choosing a car from.
Chapter 4 Correlation and Regression Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze.
Lesson Counting Techniques. Objectives Solve counting problems using the Multiplication Rule Solve counting problems using permutations Solve counting.
Aim: How do we use permutations and combinations to solve probability problems? Do Now: Six students are arranged at random on a bench. What is the probability.
Statistics 1: Elementary Statistics Section 4-7. Probability Chapter 3 –Section 2: Fundamentals –Section 3: Addition Rule –Section 4: Multiplication Rule.
1 Discrete Structures – CNS2300 Text Discrete Mathematics and Its Applications (5 th Edition) Kenneth H. Rosen Chapter 5 Counting.
Topic 4A: Independent and Dependent Events Using the Product Rule
Probability 2 Compound Probability.  Now lets consider the following:  2 dice are rolled and the numbers are added together.  What are the numbers.
7th Probability You can do this! .
PROBABILITY. Probability of an Event….. Example….. What is the probability of rolling a “3” on a six sided die? Answer…… There is one “3” on a die and.
1 Chapter 4, Part 1 Repeated Observations Independent Events The Multiplication Rule Conditional Probability.
Probability u Tree Diagrams. Tree Diagrams u Shows all possible outcomes – Total amount of choices from a group of items – How many of a particular item.
Probability of Independent and Dependent Events CCM2 Unit 6: Probability.
Section 7.4 Use of Counting Techniques in Probability.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. Elementary Probability Theory 4.
ProbabilityProbability Counting Outcomes and Theoretical Probability.
Basic Counting Principle
Section 4.3 Trees and Counting Techniques Organize outcomes in a sample space using tree diagrams. Define and use factorials. Explain how counting techniques.
Examples 1.At City High School, 30% of students have part- time jobs and 25% of students are on the honor roll. What is the probability that a student.
Section 1.3 Each arrangement (ordering) of n distinguishable objects is called a permutation, and the number of permutations of n distinguishable objects.
1 Discrete Structures - CSIS2070 Text Discrete Mathematics and Its Applications Kenneth H. Rosen Chapter 4 Counting.
Probability. Probability of an Event A measure of the likelihood that an event will occur. Example: What is the probability of selecting a heart from.
Section Basic Counting Principles: The Product Rule The Product Rule: A procedure can be broken down into a sequence of two tasks. There are n 1.
An urn contains 1 green, 2 red, and 3 blue marbles. Draw two without replacement. 1/6 2/6 3/6 2/5 3/5 1/5 3/5 1/5 2/5 2/30 3/30 2/30 6/30 3/30 6/30.
2-7 Probability of Compound Events. Independent Events – events that do not effect each other To calculate the probability of 2 independent events: Find.
AP STATISTICS LESSON AP STATISTICS LESSON PROBABILITY MODELS.
Chapter 12: Data Analysis & Probability 12.4 Counting Outcomes & Theoretical Probability.
Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. 4-1 CHAPTER 4 Counting Techniques.
Tree Diagrams Objective: To calculate probability using a tree diagram. Lesley Soar Valley College Five balls are put into a bag. Three are red.
Tree Diagrams Objective: To calculate probability using a tree Lesley Hall Five balls are put into a bag. Three are red. Two are blue.
1 What Is Probability?. 2 To discuss probability, let’s begin by defining some terms. An experiment is a process, such as tossing a coin, that gives definite.
Key Concepts of the Probability Unit Simulation Probability rules Counting and tree diagrams Intersection (“and”): the multiplication rule, and independent.
Aim: What is the multiplication rule?
Elementary Probability Theory
What Is Probability?.
Probability Theoretical Probability
4 Elementary Probability Theory
4 Elementary Probability Theory
Probability of Independent and Dependent Events
Probability of Multiple Events
BASIC PROBABILITY Probability – the chance of something (an event) happening # of successful outcomes # of possible outcomes All probability answers must.
4 Elementary Probability Theory
Combined Probabilities
Section 6.2 Probability Models
Stochastic Processes and Trees
Section 14.5 – Independent vs. Dependent Events
Predicting Outcomes of Events
Wed + nes + day! Warm-Up… Quickwrite…
1.7 Addition Rule - Tree Diagrams (1/3)
5 Elementary Probability Theory
Probability Tree Diagrams
Tree Diagrams Section 5.
Compound Events – Independent and Dependent
Lesson 56 – Probability of Dependent Events – Conditional Probabilty
Presentation transcript:

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES When we simple events like rolling a die, the number of possible outcomes is easily found. When you start to have multiple or complex events occurring, finding the total number of outcomes can become difficult. Trees and counting techniques help us find the total number of outcomes.

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES

A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes.

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 Sherry had 2 sections of psychology to choose from so we have 2 branches to start…

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 Sherry had 2 sections of physiology to choose from so we have 2 branches coming off EACH of the psychology paths… Physiology sections

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 Sherry had 3 sections of Spanish II to choose from so we have 3 branches coming off EACH of the physiology paths… Physiology sections Spanish sections

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 Sherry had 3 sections of Spanish II to choose from so we have 3 branches coming off EACH of the physiology paths… Physiology sections Spanish sections If you count the number of end branches, we get 12 possible outcomes…

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 We also can see possible schedules… Physiology sections Spanish sections

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 We also can see possible schedules… Psyche 1, Physio 2, Spanish 2 Physiology sections Spanish sections

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES A tree diagram gives a visual display of the total number of outcomes of an experiment consisting of a series of events. From a tree diagram, we can also see possible individual outcomes. Using our last example : start Psychology sections 1 2 We also can see possible schedules… Psyche 1, Physio 2, Spanish 2 OR Psyche 2, Physio 1, Spanish 3 Physiology sections Spanish sections

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram…

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Color of 1 st ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red We have 4 possible outcomes … Blue, Blue Blue, Red Red, Blue Red, Red Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Now let’s find the probabilities… Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Now let’s find the probabilities… The first paths are easy, we have 5 total objects, 2 are blue and 3 are red. Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Now let’s find the probabilities… The first paths are easy, we have 5 total objects, 2 are blue and 3 are red On the second paths we did not replace the ball, so now there are only 4 balls left; 1 blue and 3 red if blue was drawn on the 1 st draw, and 2 red and 2 blue if red was the 1 st draw. Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES Tree diagrams and probability : Suppose there are 5 balls in an urn. They are identical except for color. Three of the balls are red and two of the balls are blue. You are instructed to draw one ball, note its color, and set it aside. Then you are to draw out another ball and note its color. a)Use a tree to find the possible outcomes of the experiment b)Find the probability of each outcome Let’s first set up the tree diagram… Blue Red Start Blue Red Color of 1 st ball Color of 2 nd ball

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES

Counting rule for Permutations What if you are having a party for eight people and you have a table that seats five. How many different ways could your guests seat themselves at that table ?

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES

Counting rule for Combinations With permutations we are considering groupings and order. With Combinations, we don’t care about the order, just the groupings. For example : John is taking AP Literature and has to read four novels from a list of ten over the summer. How many groups of four could we have from a list of ten books ?

TREES AND COUNTING TECHNIQUES