1 Statewide Retirement Systems Funding Updates Presentation to the Legislative Commission on Pensions & Retirement Dave Bergstrom, MSRS Executive Director.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Statewide Retirement Systems Funding Updates Presentation to the Legislative Commission on Pensions & Retirement Dave Bergstrom, MSRS Executive Director Mary Most Vanek, PERA Executive Director Laurie Fiori Hacking, TRA Executive Director January 13, 2010

22 Why Are We Having These Discussions? Comparison of SBI Average Returns – for periods ending 6/30/2008 and 6/30/2009 Return for FY 2010 through 12/31/10: 17% 8.5% Actuarial Return - 5% % 8.1% - 3% 10.3% 2.8% 5.7% 2.4% 8.9% 7.2% 10.1% 9.4% 10.7% 9.5%

33 Basic Pension Funding Principle C + I = B + E Contributions + Investments = Benefits + Expenses

44 Common Modifications to Address Funding Elements of funding principle the Boards and Legislature could modify to address recent investment losses  C – Contribution rates Proposed employee and employer contribution rate adjustments  B – Benefits annual retiree increases prospective deferred augmentation interest rate interest on future lump sum refunds interest on re-employed retiree accounts

55 Financial Status of PERA General Fund Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) %53.81 % Current Contributions*12.88 % of pay Contributions Needed15.55 % of pay19.61 % of pay Contribution Deficiency(2.67) % of pay(6.73) % of pay * Employee rate = 6%; Employer rate = 7% (effective 01/01/10) Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 annual actuarial valuation

66 Financial Status of PERA P&F Fund Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) %63.55 % Current Contributions*23.50 % of pay Contributions Needed29.99 % of pay39.13 % of pay Contribution Deficiency(6.49) % of pay(15.63) % of pay *Employee rate = 9.4%; Employer rate = 14.1% Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 annual actuarial valuation

77 Financial Status of PERA Correctional Fund Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) %72.93 % Current Contributions*14.58 % of pay Contributions Needed14.03 % of pay16.77 % of pay Contribution Deficiency 0.55 % of pay(2.19) % of pay *Employee rate = 5.83%; Employer rate = 8.75% Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 annual actuarial valuation

88 Baseline – 8.5% return for years after FY2009. Based on 2039 amortization date. What if we do nothing to PERA General? 53.81% 47%* *Projected Funding Ratio Source: Mercer Consulting Services

99 Path to PERA Long-Term Sustainability Where do we go from here?  Shared responsibility and sacrifice– active members, employers, deferred members and benefit recipients will need to be part of the solution. Reduce annual benefit recipient adjustment Decrease annual adjustment from 2.5 percent to 1 percent until plans are again at least 90 percent funded (market value). Increase contributions 0.5 percent Coordinated Plan shared equally between employees & employers Police & Fire Plan – shared between employees and employers Reduce certain active and former member benefits o Reduce interest rate on refunds from 6 percent to 4 percent o Reduce deferred interest for current deferred members and future terminated vested members to 1 percent --currently 3 percent to age 55 and 5 percent thereafter for those hired prior to July 1, 2006 or 2.5 percent for all years for those hired after July 1, o Increase vesting to five years o Eliminate interest on re-employed retiree accounts.

10 Path to PERA Long-Term Sustainability What do we save if Board’s recommendations are adopted? PERA GeneralPERA P & F Actuarial Value Contribution Deficiency (2.67) %(6.49) % Modify Annual Increase: 1.0 percent for future yrs. * 3.6 %9.45 % Reduce deferred interest0.45 % Increase contributions0.50 % Cost Change/adoption of assumption changes (0.40) %N/A Resulting actuarial contribution sufficiency 1.48 %3.91 % Projected Market Value contribution deficiency (6.73)%(15.63)% Remaining Market Value contribution deficiency (2.58)%(5.23)% * Until plans are 90 percent funded. Source: Mercer Consulting Services

11 Path to PERA Long-Term Sustainability The funding line moves back in the right direction, but contribution requirements continue to rise, so additional considerations will be studied over the next several years for future consideration. 11% return for 3 years after FY2009, 8.5% return for all years after 86% Source: Mercer Consulting Services

12 Financial Status of MSRS General Plan Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value 30 Year Amortization (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value 30 Year Amortization (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) 85.9 %65.61% Current Contributions10 % of pay Contributions Needed**11.5 % of pay16.25 % of pay Contribution Deficiency**(1.5) % of pay(6.25) % of pay Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 annual actuarial valuation – EE rate = 5%; ER rate = 5% (eff. 07/01/10) ** 2010 Legislation to propose 30 year amortization; amounts estimated using FY09 valuation results

13 Financial Status of State Patrol Plan Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) %62.05 % Current Contributions26.0 % of pay Contributions Needed38.16 % of pay50.21 % of pay Contribution Deficiency(12.16) % of pay(24.21) % of pay * Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 annual actuarial valuation - EE rate = 10.4%; ER rate = 15.6%

14 Financial Status of MSRS Correctional Fund Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) %55.62 % Current Contributions20.70 % of pay Contributions Needed24.85 % of pay28.57 % of pay Contribution Deficiency (4.15) % of pay(7.87) % of pay * Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 annual actuarial valuation – EE rate = 8.60%; ER rate = 12.10% eff. 7/1/2010

15 Baseline – 8.5% return for years after FY2009. Based on 2039 amortization date. 65% 18% Projected funded ratio What if we do nothing ? Source: Mercer Consulting Services

16 Path to MSRS Long-Term Sustainability Where do we go from here?  Shared responsibility– active members, employers, deferred members and benefit recipients will need to be part of the solution. Reduce annual benefit recipient adjustment Decrease annual adjustment from 2.5 percent to 2 percent until plans are again at least 90 percent funded (market value). Extend amortization to 30 years and modify some actuarial assumptions. Reduce certain active and former member benefits o Reduce interest rate on refunds from 6 percent to 4 percent o Reduce deferred interest for current deferred members and future terminated vested members to 2 percent --currently 3 percent to age 55 and 5 percent thereafter for those hired prior to July 1, 2006 or 2.5 percent for all years for those hired after July 1, o Increase vesting to five years o Eliminate interest on re-employed retiree accounts.

17 Path to MSRS Long-Term Sustainability 17 What do we save if the Board’s recommendations are adopted? 17 GeneralCorrectionalState Patrol Actuarial Value Contribution Deficiency (1.5) %(4.15) %(12.16) % Modify Annual Increase: 2.0 percent for future yrs. *.9%1.7%4.10% Reduce deferred interest 0.7%1.2%0.20% Increase contributions 0.0% 10.00% Cost Change/adoption of assumption changes 1.10%N/A Resulting actuarial contribution sufficiency 1.20%(1.25)%2.14% Projected Market Value contribution deficiency (6.25)%(7.87)%(24.21)% Remaining Market Value contribution deficiency (3.55)%(4.97)%(9.91)% Future savings from longer vesting and benefit reductions* Until 90% funded Source: Mercer Consulting Services

18 Path to MSRS Long-Term Sustainability Baseline with rebound – 11.0% return for 3 years after FYE 2009, 8.5% return after. Based on 2039 amortization date. Source: Mercer Consulting Services

19 Financial Status of TRA Fiscal Year 2009 July 1, 2009 Actuarial Value (5 yr smoothing of investment losses) July 1, 2009 Market Value (no smoothing of investment losses) Funding Ratio (Assets as % of Liabilities) 77 %60 % Current Contributions11.69 % of pay Contributions Needed16.81 % of pay22.76 % of pay Contribution Deficiency(5.12) % of pay(11.07) % of pay * Source: Mercer Consulting, FY 09 valuation – EE rate = 5.5%; ER rate = 5.5%

20 Purple Funded %: Current Contributions (11.75%), 8.5% investment return in all years Green Funded %: Current Contributions (11.75%), 11% investment return for 3 years; 9.5% thereafter What if we do nothing? 20 60% Funded Ratio FY09 Assumes no changes in contributions or benefits 0% Normal Investment Assumptions Optimistic Investment Assumptions

21 How did we get here? 1.Severe market downturns in 2000’s Market declines in – down 15%+ Market plummets in – down 24% 2.Extra investment returns of 1990’s not retained in TRA Fund – Large increases in retiree annual increases – 9.7%/year, ; 3/4 th of current unfunded liability is due to Post Fund; over 60% of TRA liabilities are for retirees Precipitous rollback in TRA’s employER & employEE contributions EmployER rate cut from 8.14% to 5.0% EmployEE rate cut from 6.5% to 5.0% Rate cut = to $176 million/year

22 Employer Rate Employee Rate Full funding reached Low funding ratio/deficit TRA Contributions Higher in Past Employer /Employee Contributions in Other States

23 Path to TRA Long-Term Sustainability Where do we go from here?  Shared sacrifice – active members, employers, deferred members and benefit recipients will need to be part of the solution. Reduce annual benefit recipient adjustment Temporary 2-year suspension (Jan and Jan. 2012) 2 percent annual increase thereafter until plan is stabilized Increase employee and employer contributions - phased in over 4 years 2 percent for employers – phased in 0.5% per year, July 1, 2011 – July 1, percent for employees – phased in 0.5% per year, July 1, 2011 – July 1, 2014 Reduce certain active and former member benefits Reduce interest rate on refunds to 4%; reduce deferred interest for current deferred members and future terminated vested members to 2%; eliminate interest on re-employed retiree accounts.  Re-evaluation of all elements in 5 years – Investment returns will have a major impact (unknown).

24 Path to TRA Long-Term Sustainability TRA Board Recommendations Deficiency Market value (11.07%) Modify Annual Increase: 2 percent for future years until fund stabilized2.0 % Suspend Annual Increase for two years ( )1.0 % Increase contributions: 2% employers, phased in 0.5%/yr, % Increase contributions: 2% employees; phased in 0.5%/yr, 2011 – % Reduce deferred interest rate to 2%, reduce refund rate to 4% and ELSA rate to 0%0.55 % Savings from assumption changes0.20 % Expected revenue/savings from changes7.75 % Net remaining actuarial contribution (deficiency)/sufficiency(3.42 %)

25 Path to TRA Long-Term Sustainability 25 60% Funded Ratio FY09 0% No Change - Normal Assumptions No Change - Optimistic Assumptions * Source: Mercer Consulting actuarial projections, 12/16/09 Proposal – Optimistic Assumptions Proposal – Normal Assumptions 94% 76% Purple: Current Contributions (11.69%), no changes in contributions/benefits, 8.5% return in all years Green: Current Contributions (11.69%), no changes in contributions/benefits, 11% return for 3 yrs; 9.5% thereafter Blue: Higher Contributions (15.69%), 2 year COLA suspension with 2% thereafter, reset amortization period in 2016, 8.5% return in all yrs Red: Higher Contributions (15.69%), 2 year COLA suspension with 2% thereafter, reset amortization period in 2016, 11% return for 3 yrs; 9.5% thereafter

26 MN Public Pensions Important to State  MN’s public pension systems serve nearly one-half million persons, 1 in 10 Minnesotans  More than 90 percent of the systems’ benefit recipients reside in Minnesota  Systems paid out over $2.5 billion in benefits which added $3.3 billion on state economy and led to 22,500 additional jobs statewide  State/local taxes paid by recipients and holders of new jobs exceeded public employer pension contributions to the systems by $80 million annually  Economic impact of pension benefits was larger than the gross state product from mining and 92% of agricultural (crop/animal) production. 26 Source: Lubov, Andrea. “Measuring the Impact of Minnesota’s Retirement Systems, March 2008