Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 8-9 December 2011 Craig Lewis Executive Director Clean Coalition 650-204-9768 Clean.

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Presentation transcript:

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 8-9 December 2011 Craig Lewis Executive Director Clean Coalition Clean Coalition Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now

2 Clean Coalition Vision = DG+DR+ES+EV+MC2

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 3 Clean Coalition – Mission and Advisors Mission Mission To implement policies and programs that transition the world to cost- effective clean energy now while delivering unparalleled economic benefits Board of Advisors Jeff Anderson ED, Clean Economy Network Josh Becker General Partner, New Cycle Capital Jeff Brothers CEO, Sol Orchard Jeffrey Byron Former Commissioner, California Energy Commission Rick DeGolia Executive Chairman, InVisM, Inc. Mark Fulton Managing Director, Global Head of Climate Change Investment Research, DB Climate Change Advisors, a member of the Deutsche Bank Group John Geesman Former Commissioner, California Energy Commission Patricia Glaza Principal, Arsenal Venture Partners L. Hunter Lovins President, Natural Capitalism Solutions Dan Kammen Chief Technical Specialist for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency, World Bank Fred Keeley Treasurer, Santa Cruz County, and Former Speaker pro Tempore of the California State Assembly Felix Kramer Founder, California Cars Initiative Governor Bill Ritter Director, Colorado State University’s Center for the New Energy Economy, and Former Colorado Governor Terry Tamminen Former Secretary of the California EPA and Special Advisor to CA Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger Jim Weldon CEO, Solar Junction R. James Woolsey Chairman, Woolsey Partners, and Former Director of the CIA Kurt Yeager ED, Galvin Electricity Initiative

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 4 Wholesale DG is the Critical & Missing Segment Distribution grid Transmission grid Project Size

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 5 Superior Value of Wholesale DG Solar Solar Markets: Germany vs California (RPS + CSI + other) Germany added 28 times more solar than California in Even though California’s solar resource is 70% better!!! Sources: CPUC, CEC, SEIA and German equivalents.

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 6 German Solar Capacity is Small WDG (Rooftops) Source: Paul Gipe, March 2011 Germany’s solar deployments are almost entirely <2 MW rooftop projects interconnected to the distribution grid (not behind-the-meter) 22.5% 26% 23.25% 9.25% 19%

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 7 WDG is about Maximizing Economics for California Wholesale DG = 3x job creation + $50 billion added private investment UC Berkeley study (Dan Kammen)

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 8 Wholesale DG has Superior Value The most cost-effective solar is ground-based WDG, not central station as commonly thought; due to immense transmission costs Distribution GridT-Grid PV Project size and type 100kW roof 500kW roof 1 MW roof 1 MW ground 5 MW ground 50 MW ground Required PPA Rate 15¢14¢13¢12¢11¢10¢ T&D costs0¢0-1¢1¢ 1-2¢2-4¢ Ratepayer cost per kWh 15¢14-15¢14¢13¢12-13¢12-14¢ Sources: CAISO, CEC, and Clean Coalition, July 2011 Total Ratepayer Cost of Solar

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 9 Policies Need to Reduce Costs and Risks Current solicitation/auction and interconnection processes result in massive failure rates: roughly 97% of the bid capacity fails to reach contract. Current California Policies Result in ~97% Failure Rates

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 10 Potential TAC Savings From DG are Massive Potential Future Transmission Investment (and potential future stranded costs) Current TAC Rate (TAC 0 ) = 1.1 TAC 0 O&M Level 2.5 Business As Usual TAC Growth Business as Usual Year-20 TAC (TAC 20 ) = 2.5

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 11 75% of California IOU capital expenditures are made on the distribution grid (D-grid) and California ratepayers deserve maximized returns on their MASSIVE investments (2007 IEPR) Investment needs to be future-proofed to allow significant penetrations of clean local energy Confidentiality rules need to change to allow proper regulatory oversight of these massive ratepayer investments Germany and Spain are excellent proxies for assuring that California’s existing D-grid can accommodate significant penetrations of clean local energy (May 2011 CEC/KEMA report) MPR is determined at point-of-interconnect and Wholesale Distributed Generation (WDG) and a Locational Benefits (LBs) adder is needed to compensate for extra value of WDG Average extra LBs value of DG is in the neighborhood of 25% (Transmission Access Charges of 1.5 cents/kWh plus 10% for transmission line/congestion losses) The LBs adder should be handled just like the Time-of-Delivery (TOD) adder Ratepayers currently get massive free value from WDG in the form of uncompensated LBs Connecting-the-Dots to Reform

Making Clean Local Energy Accessible Now 12 Currently, developers are responsible for 100% of D-grid upgrade costs without any opportunity for reimbursement, EVER This is different than transmission upgrade costs that are ALWAYS borne by the ratepayer Recommendation for the 50% of the D-grid where LBs value is above average, utilities pay for D-grid upgrades and recover through the rate-base. Ratepayers currently get massive free value from WDG in the form of uncompensated D-grid upgrade costs Wholesale Distributed Generation (WDG) interconnections need to be far more timely and transparent WDG interconnection processes in IOU D-grids are expected to require an average of 2 years WDG interconnection processes in the SMUD D-grid requires 6 months Interconnection studies for 100 MW of WDG projects in its Feed-In Tariff program were completed in 2 months (performed by 2 guys) 100 MW of WDG in SMUD territory is equivalent to 2,500 MW of WDG statewide TWO GUYS for TWO MONTHS should be an achievable benchmark for all utilities Connecting-the-Dots to Reform (continued)