Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Goodbody Stockbrokers Private Clients Investment Seminar Dublin, Thursday, 23 rd October 2008 Eugene Sheehy Group Chief Executive.

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Presentation transcript:

Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Goodbody Stockbrokers Private Clients Investment Seminar Dublin, Thursday, 23 rd October 2008 Eugene Sheehy Group Chief Executive “Managing in Turbulent Times”

2 A number of statements we will be making in our presentation and in the accompanying slides will not be based on historical fact, but will be “forward- looking” statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, global, national and regional economic conditions, levels of market interest rates, credit or other risks of lending and investment activities, competitive and regulatory factors and technology change. Any ‘forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Group speak only as of the date they are made. visit Forward looking statements The following commentary is on a continuing operations basis. The growth percentages (excl. EPS) are shown on an underlying basis, adjusted for the impact of exchange rate movements on the translation of foreign locations’ profit and excluding interest rate hedge volatility.

3 AIB has a diverse business mix AIB Bank RoI€591m  3%€502m  5% Capital Markets€313m  4%€295m  7% AIB Bank UK£169m  10% £150m- PolandPln 635m  11%Pln 615m  3% M&T *US$ 704m  10%US$ 544m  7% H1 2008Pre-provision operating profitOperating Profit Strong pre-provision operating performance; more difficult credit environment * 100% M&T, AIB owns Jun ’08

4 Income  3% Loans  6%; deposits  9% (6 months to June 2008) Lower customer demand for loan products & services Growth fully funded by customer deposits Net interest margin 2.21%,  1 bp Exceptional growth in Global Treasury interest income Increased funding costs are persisting Continued market dislocation has affected trading income, asset valuations and asset management activities

5 Jun Underlying €m2008 yoy change % Costs  2% Staff costs 761 (4) Other costs 3691 Depreciation & amortìsation744 Operating expenses 1,204(2) Moderating trend Transformation of operations including new core banking and common operating systems People redeployment to more productive roles More efficient product and service delivery channels Streamlined back office operations Material reduction in error & re-work rate Continuing to invest for growth in Poland Costs  6% excluding Poland Full year 2008 guidance: flat % H

6 Cost / income ratio %

7 Loan portfolios by sector % of Group loan portfolio 36% 37%

8 % June 2008ROIUK*CMPoland*Group Commercial Investment Residential Investment Commercial Development Residential Development Contractors27153 Total Balances €m29,6639,8247,1302,25848,874 Property & construction – sub sector diversity * An element of management estimation has been applied in this sub-categorisation

9 Republic of Ireland property & construction Overview Trends are deteriorating in all sub-sectors and the book is being very closely managed Many borrowers are involved in more than one sub-sector Each sub-sector carries different risk characteristics and loss potential Structuring, recourse to sponsor / independent cash flows, cross collateralisation are all key to risk mitigation

10 Asset quality – deteriorating trends 0.8Impaired loans (ILs) Criticised loans / total loans Gross new ILs Total provisions / ILs57 9Bad debt charge bps21 Dec 2007 %June 2008

11 Solid capital position Total capital ratio 10.6% No requirement for recourse to shareholders Range of capital management options Tier 1 capital ratio 7.7% Core Tier 1 ratio 6.2%

12 Strong and diverse funding sources 9% % * Deposits by banks unsecured when netted against “loans to banks” is 8% in 2007 and 6% in H Government guarantee an important step in the slow repair of market confidence Steady improvement in key funding measurements 91% of customer loans funded by customer deposits & funding maturing beyond Dec ‘08 Incremental loan growth fully funded by €5.7bn increase in customer deposits Improved loan / deposit ratio 153% (157% Dec ‘ 07) Diversified debt programmes; multiple geographies, investor types & tenors Very robust liquidity position Significant surplus in qualifying liquid assets/contingent funding over regulatory requirement Ongoing successful refinancing of term funding maturities for 2008 Senior Debt Capital Deposits by banks – unsecured * Deposits by banks – secured Customer a/cs ACS CDs & CPs % 48% 5% 13% 4% 13% 8% 9% 50% 5% 14% 4% 11% 7% 9%

13 Intense focus on risk management Common, consistent and effective operating systems / platforms AIB today Resilient business model founded on customer revenues Diverse premium positions in chosen markets / niches Proactive, disciplined cost management Strong capital and funding positions